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  • in reply to: Spanish Derby #1444415
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    Thank you very much Tonge. Very kind of you to post the replay.
    Looked one of the more straightforward reversals.

    in reply to: Derby 2019 #1443613
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    On the logistics side of things I am attending the Derby on Saturday.
    Will be in London on Friday and looking for a good racing pub south of the river in the Waterloo-Southwark-London Bridge area to view the oaks and Epsom card. Any suggestions?

    FWIW my shortlist is AVD, Circus Maximus, Japan, Norway & Telecaster. My 1-2-3 would be…
    1. Japan
    2. Circus Maximus
    3. Telecaster

    Good luck everyone.

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2019 #1430439
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    Anyone know where the stalls will be placed on the track…for the Guineas?
    Thanks

    in reply to: 2019 Grand National #1416012
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    Looking at the Bet365 National specials I see they go 7/4 less than 15 finishers. I think that may be significantly overpriced.
    Since the new fences were introduced we might expect an average of around 17 finishers on good to soft ground.
    However, with the current sensitivity around persevering when winning chances have gone, I can see a lot more horses than usual pulled up on the second circuit.
    I would estimate around 12 finishers to be more likely on Saturday.

    in reply to: RTV vs SSR #1405746
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    Some good points from JamesH re 6th of July and other dates will be similar.

    I have thought for some time that RTV should attempt to make a virtue out of a necessity by trialling a totally different broadcasting approach on these ‘busy’ days.
    They should take a look at NFL’s ‘Red Zone’ coverage where the difficulty of covering 8 or 9 concurrent games is handled by a talented host (Scott Hanson) with sufficient aplomb that some viewers prefer this over the old school format. Red Zone is fast paced, irreverent and dramatic and whilst racing would be more difficult to package exactly the same way I think a workable format is possible.

    Personally, I would make it studio based for that day, have long (free to air) race previews from breakfast time and have a rotating panel with one host as a hub (Nick Luck spings easily to mind but others may be possible).
    The whole day – Breakfast Preview – Live Racing coverage – In depth review can be packaged as a new style format and possibly product (with one day cheap price), attendant competitions/prediction products, customer interaction.

    It is fairly clear the current approach wont please many and whilst a new format as suggest above will certainly not work perfectly first time, I think quite a few practical approaches may emerge from different radical thinking and application.

    in reply to: Japanese racing request #1402805
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    Thank you so much MV and Wit, those look very valuable. Very much appreciated.
    RR

    in reply to: 20 man brawl at Goodwood. #1356684
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    Wit,

    Whilst the circumstances you quote re the Duncan Ferguson case are true you have omitted the most important fact.
    Ferguson had two previous convictions for assault…the judge at the second case (an unprovoked attack on a 72 year old man at a bus stop!) stated that if Ferguson was before the bench again for any violence related offence he could expect a custodial sentence.

    So agreed an unusual imprisonment but not at all irrational given the circumstances.

    in reply to: Derby 2018 #1355480
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    My Derby ratings, hybrid of pedigree, speed and form ratings.
    Some good years with these and some not so much.
    When there is an clear top rated the figures tend to be elongated as they are calculated comparatively within each section and weighted towards pedigree slightly. Not meant to represent the difference in pounds between runners but top rated converted towards the BHA 0-140 scale for easier reference. Just a bit of fun for me to calculate.

    I have backed SW in the Guineas/Derby double so hopefully he prevails. An unusually clear leader, in most years 2 or 3 pts between top and 2nd rated.

    Saxon Warrior 128
    Masar 112
    The Pentagon 105
    Roaring Lion 84
    Kni’ To Behold 84
    Zabriskie 84
    Young Rascal 77
    Hazapour 77
    Del’ Roosevelt 70
    Sevenna Star 70
    Kew Gardens 70
    Dee Ex Bee 63

    good luck

    in reply to: Oaks 2018 #1355478
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    My Oaks ratings below…a hybrid of pedigree, speed and form ratings, slightly weighted for pedigree in the classics.
    Had a decent record previously in some years, first 3 last year (though not necessarily in the right order).
    Personally, in the eye, I like Perfect Clarity… but here is what the numbers say.

    Bye Bye Baby 119
    Magic Wand 112
    For’ Together 112
    Flattering 112
    Wild Illusion 105
    I Can Fly 105
    Perfect Clarity 98
    Give And Take 91
    Ejtyah 70

    The ratings are converted to a BHA scale to make them more normalised and comparable. Think this works ok with the higher ratings but tends to dilute the lower scorers.
    Good luck everyone.

    in reply to: Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2018 #1355464
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    Yes, a reasonable review of likely Arc runners does narrow down very quickly to Cracksman & Saxon Warrior in an otherwise uninspiring year…at this stage.
    Cracksman is a real beauty isn’t he? However, it is just so difficult for a 4yo colt to win the Arc due to the weight allowances and the fact that often the best of that crop are already in the breeding shed. About 3 in the last 30 years only have won it!
    A good 3yo or a top filly/mare seems to appear an take it most years. That is why I was against Cracksman missing the race last year. Though all was well from J Gosden’s POV in the end.

    If successful in the Derby (I very much hope so) it is hard to see Saxon Warrior taking in the Irish Derby and the King George before the Leger and the Leger might well mean no Arc bid.
    It also had occurred to me as MV outlined above that an Epsom defeat might well improve his Arc chances (in an antepost sense).
    So given the race is in October the main 3yo is a doubtful runner and the clear form pick is already 5/2 it is hard to find a bet in the race.

    in reply to: Derby 2018 #1354860
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    I remember the run up to the 1989 Derby quite well SC (I was tipped up Nashwan for the Guineas in early spring by a resident of East Ilsley but didn’t back him!) but I was on for Epsom at much tighter odds.
    There was a lot of talk about whether Nashwan would handle Epsom….clearly he had the best form and was the best athlete but was he too rangy? too big? or had too long a stride to handle Epsom’s gradients.
    From memory there was much more doubt and chatter on negatives for Nashwan than has been expressed about Saxon Warrior this year. Nashwan started about evens or 10/11 I think and Guy Harwood had a good horse Cacoethes who was well fancied with decent form also.
    In the end Nashwan was just too good.

    I expect SW will prove too good also, I certainly hope so and I do believe he should be odds on.

    I think comparisons with Saxon Warrior & Nashwan’s Guineas are fair enough and fans can agree or not.
    Hard to do anything other than speculate re Epsom as one has run there and the other not as yet.

    in reply to: Derby 2018 #1354859
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    I remember the run up to the 1989 Derby quite well SC (I was tipped up Nashwan for the Guineas in early spring by a resident of East Ilsley but didn’t back him!) but I was on for Epsom at much tighter odds.
    There was a lot of talk about whether Nashwan would handle Epsom….clearly he had the best form and was the best athlete but was he too rangy? too big? or had too long a stride to handle Epsom’s gradients.
    From memory there was much more doubt and chatter on negatives for Nashwan than has been expressed about Saxon Warrior this year. Nashwan started about evens or 10/11 I think and Guy Harwood had a good horse Cacoethes who was well fancied with decent form also.
    In the end Nashwan was just too good.

    I expect SW will prove too good also, I certainly hope so and I do believe he should be odds on.

    I think comparisons with Saxon Warrior & Nashwan’s Guineas are fair enough and fans can agree or not.
    Hard to do anything other than speculate re Epsom as one has run there and the other not as yet.

    in reply to: Derby 2018 #1354846
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    SW was top class at a mile in the Guineas because he is top class.

    The horse he reminded me most of at Newmarket, was Nashwan. Take a look at his Guineas and it is very similar to Saxon Warrior in his size, style and distance.
    Nashwan did just fine in the Derby with a pedigree which gave a great deal of hope without being absolutely nailed on.

    in reply to: Sky Sports Racing #1352716
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    I am currently not subscribing to either dedicated channel although I have been a longterm subscriber to both in the past and until last year. At the moment work commitments and location mean getting value from subscriptions is difficult.
    I also deliberately removed my Sky subscription on what were, in effect, political grounds.

    Not had a major impact on my lifestyle but one thing I have noticed is that some sports where I previously had an interest, namely Cricket, Golf and Rugby League, and viewed via my Sky subscription have become dead to me and I have subsequently neglected to follow them through other available channels.
    I think this experience/action is not uncommon and highlights the danger of paywall barriers. The replacement of ITV terrestrial with Sky would require a long hard think by the rights holders.
    I think other factors such as ability to advertise gambling products (Bookmakers) on terrestrial television will in the end be the deciding factor on the destination of TV rights.

    in reply to: Frankel's Guineas – your thoughts at halfway? #1352714
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    Honestly?…at halfway I said to my friend, “July Cup horse”.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 172 total)