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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

TheTinMan87

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 1,410 total)
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  • in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2026 #1765682
    TheTinMan87
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    A gap that big back to 3rd either means the front 2 are Frankel or the rest aren’t that good over a mile. We’ll see but law of averages probably says its the latter

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2026 #1765677
    TheTinMan87
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    I think it probably panned out how it looked on paper. Appleby horses not running great so write off them but the rest behind the front two won’t win much this season

    in reply to: 1000 Guineas 2026 #1765593
    TheTinMan87
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    Unlike the 2000, this looks stacked with quality if they have all trained on and I don’t have any issue with the one at the top of the market. Aidan O’Brien still does well in this and one with the profile of Precise being a Moyglare and Fillies Mile winner normally goes very well but it is interesting that she wasn’t their number one heading into that Moyglare and Venetian Sun was shorter in the betting for it. True Love is interesting too if she stays having all that form at Group 1 level over sprint trips, her mum ran in Enable’s Oaks so maybe there is untapped stamina there. Fabre sending anything over has to be interesting too.

    Despite all of that I do think there’s a Group 1 filly somewhere in Touleen, whether she will show it here having hung in the Rockfel I’m not sure but she looked a bit overpriced to find out. Huge field of course, which is good to see but also creates a bit of an unknown regards the draw and where you want to be too.

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2026 #1765527
    TheTinMan87
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    Very keen to oppose Gstaad. Partly because Aidan just doesn’t seem to be able to train them for this these days. Partly because hes very quick on his pedigree and I think some of these others have more stamina without being slow themselves, if they have the requisite class. Won the mile in America but that is much more speed favouring than the Rowley Mile.

    in reply to: 2000 Guineas 2026 #1765526
    TheTinMan87
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    Thesecretadversary was the one I liked. Obviously loads of these are beautifully bred but St Marks Gleanagles mare cross caught my eye, seems to be improving with each run. Feels very open without the 2yo UK/Ireland Group 1 winners from Dewhurst, Racing Post Trophy, National Stakes. Can’t recall any renewals in the past where that happened.

    in reply to: Bet365 Gold Cup 2026 #1764740
    TheTinMan87
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    Having taken out the Scottish National last weekend Livin On Luco interests me, maybe they split them up to try and take both prizes. Token interest anyway.

    in reply to: Sandown Mile 2026 #1764655
    TheTinMan87
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    He bled according to the stewards report

    in reply to: Greenham 2026 #1764143
    TheTinMan87
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    Slower time marginally than the Fred Darling incidentally carrying the same weights, similar closing sectionals. Einstein would have dead heated for 4th in the fillies race lol. Interested to hear how they market this one.

    in reply to: Grand National 2026 #1763469
    TheTinMan87
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    He might have had more in the tank, he might not. We can’t be sure he actually stays the trip. I’m not even sure Iroko stays to be honest. You keep increasing IAM official rating and in effect giving Iroko weight, I don’t think it makes any odds. IAM has two Aintree and one Irish Nationals in the bank. He stays all day. Iroko seldom wins even when he’s running ‘honestly’.

    Its a unique test in terms of the fences and the trip and I don’t mean the fences being hard to jump, if anything its the opposite but so many horses waste time in the air over them. There are other marathon tests but few of them are weights headed by G1 placed horses who if we are being kind probably could go closer still in those G1s if being honestly run.

    in reply to: Aintree Competition 2026 #1762839
    TheTinMan87
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    Day 3
    12.45 Kala Conti NB (Salvator Mundi)
    1.20 Get On George (Kakas Cousin)
    1.55 Montemares (Lord Byron)
    2.30 Cruz Control NAP (Mr Hope Street)
    3.05 Take No Chances (Hiddenvalley Lake)
    4.00 Champ Kiely & Quai Du Bourbon (Stellar Story)
    5.00 The Perfect Poet (One Knight)

    Wellington on Lecky Watson please in the big one. 🙏 If hes a non-runner could it go on Champ Kiely and then sub in Stellar Story too for Lecky Watson but not the Wellington on Strellar Story if that makes sense?

    Thanks for running it again guys.

    in reply to: Aintree Competition 2026 #1762547
    TheTinMan87
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    Friday
    1.45 Wellington Arch NB (Favour And Fortune)
    2.20 Crest Of Fortune (Miami Magic)
    2.55 La Conquiere (Sober Glory)
    3.30 Gidleigh Park (Solness)
    4.05 Gentleman De Mee & Bill Baxter NAP (O’Moore Park)
    4.40 Dalston Lad (Zeus Power)
    5.15 Sherminator (Wandering Ego)

    in reply to: Aintree Competition 2026 #1762334
    TheTinMan87
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    Just to say I am entering but I am out of the country from tomorrow morning so if I do miss a day or non-runners, its probably bad wifi ;-) :good:

    Thanks for running as always.

    1.45 Selma De Vary NAP (Maestro Conti)
    2.20 Koktail Divin (Jax Junior)
    2.55 Impaire Et Passe (Protektorat)
    3.30 Lets Go Champ & Gaboriot (Barton Snow)
    4.05 El Fabiolo NB (Alexei)
    4.40 Brookie (Sans Bruit)
    5.15 Tiktok Casey (Ti’mamzel)

    in reply to: Irish National 2026 #1762256
    TheTinMan87
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    Rushmount sadly passed Ruby. Racing Post race commments refer to him going wrong but I had to do some digging as I didn’t see it mentioned anywhere that a horse had in fact died which I thought was very poor. Timeform reference it in their race comments but you have to dig deep to find it. RIP and commiserations to connections.

    in reply to: Irish National 2026 #1762152
    TheTinMan87
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    Having moaned about JP’s numbers in the race I must confess I’m most drawn to two of his and at the prices it’ll be Sa Majeste and Better Times Ahead for me. Will be fun trying to pick them out of the crowd lol

    in reply to: Irish National 2026 #1761901
    TheTinMan87
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    Haven’t properly looked at this yet but if there was ever a case for restricting owners runners this race might be it. I think a third of the field roughly are either Gigginstown or JP. Commentators nightmare I should imagine. How many different caps needed? I’m sure I’ve made this comment about this race in the past.

    in reply to: Constitution Hill On The Flat #1760970
    TheTinMan87
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    My word he was keen. I’d be a tad worried some of these group race staying flat races tend to be very small fields, tactical messy affairs. They may not suit him at all.

    Delighted to see he’s backed it up today anyway and even more delighted some of the Twatter celebrities have done their conkers on distance bets. Responsible gambling indeed.

    in reply to: Lincoln 2026 #1760874
    TheTinMan87
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    Potential interesting little story to this one on the cards with apprentice Jack Callan pencilled in to ride VTC’s fancy Galeron and his dad Neil down to ride Metal Merchant.

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 1,410 total)