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Irish National 2026

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Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 50 total)
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  • #1762003
    Avatar photovikingflagship
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2952

    Showurappreciation

    VF x

    #1762013
    Red Rum 77
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5792

    Not really a lucky race for me, but I’ve had the winner a few times. So it’s a token bet on SEARCH FOR GLORY, THE JUKEBOX KID, ONE BIG BANG and SHOWURAPPRECIATION

    You've got to accentuate the positive.
    Eliminate the negative.
    Latch on to the affirmative.
    Don't mess with mister in between.

    #1762125
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9064

    Shecouldbeanything has been put away for this and telling Kennedy has picked her , e.w play with old Duffle Coat who’s been struggling but a proper test will be right up his street

    Pick 3 on Saturday champion 2025/2026

    #1762135
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3294

    Better Times Ahead 16/1 win only
    :good:

    #1762136
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6337

    Will Duffle Coat have a hood?

    #1762137
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6337

    Here’s Claude’s verdict (AI using Horseracebase Trends)

    FINAL SELECTIONS
    🥇 1st Selection — WIN: Kiss Will (FR)
    Jockey: P. Townend | Trainer: W.P. Mullins | OR: 139 | Weight: 10-11 | Age: 6 | Odds: 13.0
    The trends point strongly toward Kiss Will. OR 139 is one of the productive rating brackets (1 win, 3 places — 25% place rate), and the placed-horse data significantly reinforces what looks modest in win-only figures. Age 6 has a 10% win rate. Weight 10-11 has produced 2 placed horses. Mullins as trainer has a 6% win rate with 9 places from 31 runners — the best placed-horse record of any trainer in the data. Townend rides, and he has 1 win and 3 places from 9 Irish Grand National runs — the placed profile adding weight to his credentials. Days since last run (25) puts him in the C bracket, the most productive. The odds of 13/1 sit just inside the H bracket (17/2–12/1) which is winless, but he is very close to the productive G bracket (13/2–8/1) — see market flag below.

    🥈 2nd Selection — EACH-WAY: Goraibhmaithagat (IRE)
    Jockey: Harry Cobden | Trainer: C.A. Murphy | OR: 137 | Weight: 10-9 | Age: 6 | Odds: 15.0
    OR 137 is the single strongest rating bracket in the trends — 3 winners and 13% strike rate. Age 6 has produced 2 winners (10%). Days since run (29) sits in bracket C, the most productive. Weight 10-9 has only 1 placed horse but the OR bracket is compelling enough to override this softly. Murphy has a small dataset in this race but C.A. Murphy is an emerging handler at this level. Cobden is a proven big-race jockey. At 15/1 the each-way case is strong given the OR alignment.

    🥉 3rd Selection — WATCH: The Enabler (IRE)
    Jockey: D.J. Gilligan | Trainer: Gordon Elliott | OR: 136 | Weight: 10-8 | Age: 7 | Odds: 26.0
    The weight bracket is the compelling factor here — 10-8 has produced 2 wins at 18%, the highest rate of any weight carried by more than a handful of runners. OR 136 has 1 win and 2 places. Age 7 has the best absolute win count (4). The Elliott negative trainer record (1 win from 69 runs) and the 26/1 odds (bracket J — 1 win, 1%) are significant concerns, but the 10-8 weight and age alignment make him a legitimate each-way watch if you are looking for a longer-priced option.

    ⚠️ MARKET CONDITION FLAGS
    Kiss Will: Currently 13/1 — sitting in odds bracket H (17/2–12/1) which has produced zero wins from 36 runners. If he shortens to 6/1 or below by race time (bracket F or G), his profile becomes significantly more compelling and he would represent a strong win selection. Watch the market closely.
    The Jukebox Kid: Currently 5.5/1 — sits in bracket F (9/2–6/1), the joint-strongest odds bracket (29% win rate). Market position 1 (favourite) also has a 20% win rate. The OR (144) is a concern with 0 wins at that rating, and days since run (51) is in bracket D (2 wins, 2%). The odds and market position are right; the OR and days bracket work against him. A conditional contender — the odds profile is correct but the rating history is a genuine negative.

    #1762152
    TheTinMan87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1411

    Having moaned about JP’s numbers in the race I must confess I’m most drawn to two of his and at the prices it’ll be Sa Majeste and Better Times Ahead for me. Will be fun trying to pick them out of the crowd lol

    #1762155
    Tizaaards Cider
    Participant
    • Total Posts 966

    I’ve gone for an each way double of Flicker of Hope in this with Twig next week at Aintree.

    #1762161
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5847

    Main bets:
    Showurappreciation 16/1 WIN
    Flicker Of Hope 20/1 EW

    Savers:
    The Enabler 33/1 EW
    Shanbally Kid 40/1 EW
    Search For Glory 20/1 EW

    #1762162
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3294

    Added
    Hartur D’Arc each way at 90/1 (Lads boost)
    :good:

    #1762165
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5847

    Added:
    Kurasso Blue 33/1 EW (unexposed, going the right way, stable in form, hopefully more to come)
    Better Times Ahead 16/1 WIN only (two course wins could be helpful)

    #1762170
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1351

    Search for Glory was my bet in the Ultima … very unlucky there, he was running a big race. Hope will be more lucky tomorrow.

    Search for Glory 22/1

    #1762174
    Red Rum 77
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5792

    Banbridge, Gerri Colombre, Spillane’s Tower and Firefox are all doubly engaged. Along with L’Homme Presse could see the running order down to Pied Piper on the list.

    You've got to accentuate the positive.
    Eliminate the negative.
    Latch on to the affirmative.
    Don't mess with mister in between.

    #1762184
    All Jeff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 727

    This looks tougher than usual, but I’ve ended up with Shecouldbeanything 33-1 ew, and Hartur D’Arc 125-1 ew, and both of them are 6 plcs

    #1762188
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9135

    Ews on
    The Enabler
    Joystick
    Sa Majeste

    The first two had decent runs at Cheltenham and trip fine for all I think

    #1762190
    sergeantcecil
    Participant
    • Total Posts 681

    Taken 3:
    C’est ta Chance 18s win
    O’Toole 45s win
    Weveallbeencaught sp ew 6 places

    #1762191
    Avatar photoRefuse To Bend
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4185

    Soldier In Milan 15-2.

    The more I know the less I understand.

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