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Yeah, tricky race. 5 last time out winners, a 2nd and a 3rd. I will take a closer look at it but very likely no bet and a watching brief for me.
Yep. He isn’t the likely RSA winner in my eyes. Extremely talented individual but NOT the RSA winner.
I agree that both Denman and Kauto should never have gone to Aintree after Gold Cup defeats but Nicholls has learned from that and he is big enough to admit he was wrong.
This will be a test for Diamond Harry but hopefully we will learn plenty today…..
Watching brief advised.
As for a punt on the race….If i do it will be a very small wager on Madison Du Berlais.
WRECOnly problem there is that Madison Du hates Cheltenham. Never ran his race on any of his visits there and can’t see it changing this season….
I think Voy Por would struggle around 2 miles these days. In my opinion he should be tried over 3 miles again. He ran well for a long time in the Lexus before the ground took its toll. He aint getting any younger and The Gold Cup on decent ground would suit him at this stage of his career. He could fill the 3rd spot behind the Nicholls pair….
You make a good point, however the way he jumped on both outings at Cheltenham suggests to me that the face past wont hinder him at all. I think if your goin to back a Novice at Cheltenham especially in the RSA Chase they have to have course form.
Yes he did jump well on both occasions but the RSA is a totally different kettle of fish. My gut feeling at the moment is that he may just fall short of festival level, however, a good showing between now and March could sway me…..
TBH this race is basically a Match race. However the third spot could be anyones. I think the battle for third will be between Imperial Commander, Madison du Berlais and Carruthers, but i cant pick between them.
I think IMPERIAL COM will get found out as a non-stayer up the hill over 3m2f and MADISON DU simply does not like Cheltenham. CARRUTHERS unlikely to get his ground and an easy lead, both very important for this horse.
BARBERS SHOP must still rate a danger for 3rd place and if W Mullins can get COOLDINE straight then he must have a squeek.
For Bill would not be quick enough and every chance she will try and find a listed mares race over a staying trip.
Yes, being out of Presenting she has a fair amount of stamina in her pedigree. A staying trip looks in order……
I like the look of Weird Al at 14’s, very big horse with lots of scope, and will be a definate Gold Cup horse in seasons to come.
Has the very vital Course form, which can catch out some Novices, and when winning over 2m 5f at Cheltenham in early December, looked as if he was crying out for the step up in trip.
WEIRD AL is a very interesting runner although I would like to see him in another race with more pace on before Cheltenham. The last race he won was run in a very slow time so his jumping would not have been put under much pressure.
He is certainly one to consider, however.
I personally see Sentry Duty as ideal for the 2m4f Aintree Grade 1.
Good shout Peruvian Chief.
That could well be the better option for the Henderson animal.
Might do well for the ‘Racing for Change’ programme. Could pull in extra viewers which is always a bonus for the sport. Would get even more coverage if the Queen had a runner herself…..
Personally, I don’t think SENTRY DUTY is a World Hurdle horse. His pedigree does not shout that a step up in trip will suit and think he would be better coming of a faster pace over 2 miles. His jumping can be sketchy at best and I feel the faster pace just helps him concentrate that bit more.
Something tells me Tataniano could turn out to be another Tatanen. Hyped up but fails to deliver. Track experience is a plus but when the stable/jockey hype up a horse so much so early, based primarily on what they have done at home, they rarely deliver….
It looks like the stable have had the National in mind for a couple of seasons now for old War Of Attrition. He should have no problem staying and he is certainly starting to look attractively handicapped but does he still posses the same spark?
Ben
He’ll be up into the high 150s or low 160s after that. I think the targets will be the twilight conditions races. My gut instinct would be to target Ireland as their conditions chases are not as strong as the UK, and there shouldn’t be a problem getting the ground that suits.
As aside, I notice you are another who has been reading Nick Alexander’s Kinneston blog. What a fascinating insight that is into the running of a small time jumps stable.
Rob
Rob
Yes I imagine some of the conditions races in Ireland will indeed be his target. Betfair Chase at the Aintree meeting could be an option but the likelyhood of geeting his ground must be slim.
Big fan of the Nick Alexander Blog, I try and read it as much as I can. If he can get the correct conditions for his Seeking Power then there is a race or 2 in that one I feel.
Regards
Ben