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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

BenAitken

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  • in reply to: Coronation Cup 2013 #440258
    Avatar photoBenAitken
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    Very much looks SNA’s to throw away. Runners will drop away and he won’t be left with much to beat probably…

    in reply to: Derby 2013 #440249
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    Libertarian’s breeding profile does suggest that 1m4f of Epsom won’t be any problem, gets plenty of stamina influences from his dam side. If he handles the track then you can see him being on the premises at the end. ‘Unfashionable’ stable likely to keep his price up as well…

    in reply to: Farhh #440248
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    He probably didn’t beat much but he beat them easily and with authority. Easily his best chance to date to land a Grade 1 and he did it in style. Can he land more? Possibly but he does seem to have some strong racing preferences – when returning after a break of 121 days+ (1111), unbeaten on straight tracks (111), form in fields of 12+ (111). Still relatively lightly raced but may just be one that needs a few things in his favour to shine. Frankel in the breeding sheds is obviously a huge help as well :P

    in reply to: Rob North's Stable Tour – Lucinda Russell #415777
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    Excellent article, really enjoyed reading it.

    I spent a couple of days up at the yard when I used to live in Fife, it is a wonderful set up and the staff genuinly enjoy working there.

    The Scudamore effect is really starting to shine through and added to Lucinda’s already brilliant training skills I can only see them growing in strength.

    Brindisi was a huge loss for them as he could have been even better over fences, hopefully there is another star lurking in the novice ranks again this season.

    Great article again, well done.

    Ben Aitken (NTF)

    in reply to: North’s notes #375148
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    Very impressive from UEUETEOTL.

    Can’t see many more runs for him this season but he has to stay in the notebook for a hurdling/chasing career.

    Was pleased to see the RP comments pre-race of ‘little appeal on pedigree’ as you, I and James Ewart all thought very differently. Kept the price at a nice level for us :D

    in reply to: 2012 Gold Cup #374086
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    Time For Rupert – Obviously a high class animal, rate him myself but small worry that run in the RSA will have left a mark. Never really travelling, bustled along for a long way and in hindsight it may have been better if he had been pulled up instead of struggling into 6th.

    Bleeding during a hard race will have taken a fair bit out him so lets hope there are no ill effects this season…..

    in reply to: Champion Stakes 2011 #374083
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    Great to see plenty of entries still in the race at the moment.

    Snow Fairy has undoubtedly been trained to peak at this stage of the season although whether she will be asked to give her all with Japan and Hong Kong just around the corner is another thing altogether…..

    in reply to: Zaynar #351429
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    Seems to be a horse that has thrown his toys out of the pram and really isn’t enjoying his racing much these days.

    Must be a real head scratcher for connections as to where to place the beast, as the change of stables and looking at French racing suggests.

    Doesn’t look like he would be a natural chaser either…………

    Avatar photoBenAitken
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    The main aspect of Frankel’s make-up that may or may not stop him reaching the heights of the greats is his ‘pulling hard in a race’ tendencies. It’s not easy to imagine him emptying pretty quickly if Tom Queally can’t restrain him at Epsom (if he does indeed go for the Derby). It was obvious in the Greenham that Queally tried to settle the colt but it proved fruitless and he simply had to let him go on. He clearly had a massive class advantage over the rest of the field but that class advantage will be reduced when he meets a stronger calibre of opposition as the season wears on. Is he so far ahead of everyone else that it doesn’t matter how much he pulls early on? I’d be surprised but like everyone else I can’t wait to see!!

    in reply to: THE TATLING #351404
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    Still seems keen to put his all in but lets hope he can land that elusive ‘last win’ and be sent off for a long and happy retirement. Unless of course he is one of them that couldn’t handle retirement (we all have a relative or 2 like that :o )

    in reply to: Ascot Challenge Cup 2010 #319209
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    Imperial Guest has a couple of pieces of form from this season that give him a decent shout here and the 25-1 that was available was too big…..

    in reply to: Ascot Challenge Cup 2010 #319184
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    Looks a tricky race but one I love working out! The filly Sarasota Sunshine looks like she could be well in and you have to take notice when Murtagh & Noseda team up.

    Bonnie Charlie + Imperial Guest also catch the eye at bigger prices……

    in reply to: St Leger 2010 #317000
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    Rewilding is a worthy Fav but odds are v skinny. Ticks plenty boxes and no worries that he hasn’t won at the distance as a majority of Leger winners hadn’t previously won at distance before taking the final classic.

    Joshua Tree is, to my mind, the most interesting runner. Will appreciate this type of trip and must be noted that Jamie Spencer was very easy on his mount in the Votigeur once his chance had gone….

    in reply to: Mallard Stakes 2010 #316997
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    Couldn’t have had the winner and to be honest I only once heard someone briefly mention it before the race. The horse seems to like Town Moor though…..

    No hard luck stories for my selection(s) just not up to the job in hand on the day….

    in reply to: Mallard Stakes 2010 #316886
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    Yeah I certainly would be giving Hanovarian an EW Shout…..

    in reply to: Sussex Stakes 2010 #308941
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    I see both horses fitting this profile –

    Fast enough to be champions/Grade 1 winners at a mile as 3 year olds but needing to be stepped up to 1m2f (at least) as 4yo’s.

    I feel Rip is crying out for 1m2f now, he could be devestaing over that distance if he stays sound.

    Thats not to say he can’t win at a mile but in Canford Cliffs he will be meeting an exceptional 3yo miler at the top of his game……

    in reply to: So Are We All Laying Harbinger? #308481
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    Again, we can’t get carried away with this win. Yes it was hugely impressive and yes he broke the track record but 1 victory doesn’t make you the best horse in the world! Take out the pacemaker and he has only beaten 4 other horses, albeit 4 class animals. Only 1 of the horse he beat was rated in the 120s and we can now safely assume that rating (Workforce) was hugely exaggerated (check back at my Blog for my post Derby analysis from June http://www.narrowing-the-field.com/2010/06/workforce-provisionally-rated-132.html))

    Harbinger is undoubtedly a class animal but 2-1/evens in the ARC for a horse that has only won 1 Group 1 race……No thanks!

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