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It would not surprise me to see a shock result here with Anzadam. On breeding (his sire won the Derby on good ground) and his dam won her only race on good to soft (she was beaten on all softer surfaces). Anzadam should be better suited to the fastest ground he has yet encountered. I can see Brighterdaysahead/Workahead setting a strong pace and if Patrick Mullins can settle Anzadam we may yet see this horse fulfill his potential.
I think most people would agree the the Champion Chase is a higher class race than the Mares Chase. The favourite and second favourite for the Champion Chase were both beaten by ‘ONLY BY NIGHT’ in last years Arkle and she was only beaten in the dying strides by one of this years Gold Cup favourites. And yet this horse from a top stable is still available at 10/1 with WH. Watch last years race again:
Why is Workahead entered in Champion Hurdle? Maybe he is back to the form he showed in beating William Munny in December 24 by 7 lengths who subsequently ran ran Kopek Des Bordes close
Currently available at 66/1 NRNB E.W 3 places, gotta be worth a small each way bet?
WORKAHEAD DEC 24 BEAT WILLIAM MUNNY 7 LENGTHS: Made all, went clear on turn after 2 out, ridden run-in, impressive (op 12/1)
KOPEK DES BORDES MARCH 25 BEAT WILLIAM MUNNY 1.75 LENGTHS Travelled strongly, prominent, went second just after 5th, not fluent 3 out, joined leader going easily 2 out, led on turn before last, pushed along and 2 lengths ahead when mistake last, soon ridden, kept on
I love backing front runners in the Cheltenham Gold cup. I can see Haiti Coleurs running them ragged, his most impreesive performance to date winning the Welsh National under top weight on good to soft which he shoul get here.
Coneygree (2015): The first novice to win the race in 41 years, Coneygree was described as putting on a “front-running masterclass” by making virtually every yard of the running under Nico de Boinville.
Native River (2018): Known for his “relentless, front-running style,” Native River led for the vast majority of the race under Richard Johnson, out-grinding Might Bite in testing conditions to secure a famous victory.With little rain forecast, Majborough will be on the drift and Il Etait Temps and Marine Nationale will shorten
If the weather forecast of very little rain holds out Lossiemouth may well go for the Mares Hurdle. I couild see The New Lion going off at 6/4
The Cromwell horse require soft ground so with the weather forecast of very little rain he may not run and Fact o File will
The weather forecast leading up to Cheltenham has a low probability of much rain and several days of sunshine. Horses that prefer good or good to soft ground are likely to shorten in price:
https://www.myweather2.com/Horse-Racing/United-Kingdom/Cheltenham-Racecourse/14-Day-Forecast.aspx
Square Necker 7/1 with Hills, 6/4 elsewhere, good form
Beaten less than a length first time out by a horse now rated 105
https://www.attheraces.com/form/horse/Square-Necker/FR/3744213No guarantee Lossiemouth is going to run in Champion Hurdle. It would not surprise me if she got beat at DRF. The horse with most speed in Irish Champion Hurdle is Anzadam and only a few weeks ago Mullins was saying this was his Champion Hurdle horse.
Kripticjim 40/1 E/W Trained by the Tizzard stable who wons the race with another long priced winner Kilbricken Storm back in 2018. The best horse does not always win this race but the tough ones often do, this horse looks very genuine,likes a battle and looks a thorough stayer. He has an entry in the Turners but can’t see him running in that.
Spillane’s Tower worth a small investment, current best odds 50/1. He may well run in Gold Cup if he wins today as JP McManus has plenty of horses for the Ryanair
Paul Townend ‘You’d be a brave man to say she couldn’t win a Champion Hurdle BUT y’know she’s winning grade ones at 2 miles. it will certainly have to be looked at BUT err she enjoys the other race as well and it’s always nice to look forward to be in the winners enclosure’.
Willie Mullins ‘Anzadam was the best jumper in the race, we may try different tactics next time’
Judging by the post race comments Paul Townend thinks Lossiemouth will be going for the Mares hurdle. The turn of foot mid race by Anzadam if harnessed a couple of furlongs later may have given a different result. If a change of tactics gets him in the winners enclosure next time he could well be the Mullins Champion Hurdle entry and Lossiemouth the Mares hurdle. I could see Anzadam getting an entry in next month International hurdle at Cheltenham. I think the 40/1/ 33/1 odds currently on offer have been an over reaction. William Hill have cut him to 20/1 and the others may follow suit.
