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Not something I do but here’s a bundle:-
Quevega – not that impressive last year and very unlikely to improve on that performance this year.
Foxrock – backed it but the combination of his deliberate jumping and Katie Walsh could see it playing catch-up from an early stage.
Shutthefrontdoor (National Hunt Chase) – doubtful stayer and likely not good enough even if he does.
Pendra – another doubtful stayer and jumping not that fluent either.
Willie Mullins Bumper Runners – it has been a very poor year where very little has excited and his horses would clearly be bigger prices if trained elsewhere.
Fingal Bay – another I can see struggling to get home, only just lasted on comeback and doubtful there will be much improvement, priced up on his old potential which may never be realised.
Dynaste – off the back of a shocking performance, couldn’t do it last year and increasingly looks a bit soft.
Regal Encore – shocking prices on what he has actually achieved, yes he got beat by a decent horse but that horse was running over a trip well short of his best.
Kings Palace – visually impressive but the actual form has looked increasingly dubious.
Next Sensation – easy wins leading small fields but came unstuck in most competitive race and this will be a totally different ball game.
Agree with a lot of these, especially Kings Palace who hasn’t been tested yet. Only one I think will run really well is Shutthefrontdoor, reminds me a little of Don’t Push It and think he will stay the 4 miles – his second to Le Bec in November is decent form.
CS ran another stinker today, my faith in him is waning quickly. Back to the drawing board, perhaps a strong stayer such as Same Difference or Wyck Hill could stake a claim.
Rich: PWise has gone for Storm Survivor too
along with Monbeg DudeGreat minds think alike!
Big, think HTV has a good chance provided he’s back to his best, undoubtedly well handicapped if he is.
12s is pretty good, I may wait until the morning to see what I get. Jonjo’s have been hitting the bar of late but think SS can turn it around for him just in time for the festival.
The two week period leading up to the festival is a perilous one for the ante post punter, unless theyre on NRNB. Some serious setbacks this week, I’ll be leaving it until the day now to add any further bets.
The Supreme looks a minefield to me, not totally convinced about Irving despite his unblemished record and the outsiders look a bit weak. Maybe Josses Hill or The Liquidator for me at the moment.
Great thanks a lot Venture:
All 2 pts win, current WH odds
Supreme – Vautour 7/2
Arkle – Rock On Ruby 11/2
Champion Hurdle – The New One 3/1
Neptune – Faugheen 11/4
RSA – Don Cossack – 14/1
Champion Chase – Sizing Europe – 16/1
Ryanair – Al Ferof 9/2
World Hurdle – At Fishers Cross – 11/2
Triumph – Calipto – 6/1
Gold Cup – Bobs Worth – 7/4Sizing Europe has a 50% win rate at Cheltenham, still shown a spark this season, underestimate him at your peril.
Big blow for the festival and racegoers, he would’ve been the highlight of the week as per last year. Not sure where this leaves the horse now, are Aintree and Punchestown on the agenda, will he return next season or is it best to retire him?
As a strong advocate of course form at the festival, I just can’t help but be slightly concerned that MTOY has only had one run in last year’s Supreme but failed to win – on the other hand TNO has had 6 runs and has prevailed 4 times. I certainly wouldn’t be in a rush to back Henderson’s horse at current odds and think Our Conor is a much bigger threat considering how he hacked up in last years Triumph. HF has to be respected but is getting on in age and could yield to younger legs.
Wasn’t intended to be tongue in cheek, I hadn’t noticed connections had ruled him out of Cheltenham, it was more a reply to an earlier poster who had backed him and expected him to shorten. Like I said before he’s probably one for next year, but there’s no denying he’s had a very tame start to his young career.
Wasn’t intended to be tongue in cheek, I hadn’t noticed connections had ruled him out of Cheltenham, it was more a reply to an earlier poster who had backed him and expected him to shorten. Like I said before he’s probably one for next year, but there’s no denying he’s had a very tame stray to his young career.
along with Monbeg Dude