[Formath]

Royal Ascot 3.45

1. 1*
2. 0*
3. 2*
4. 4* Duncan (my 2nd choice)
5. 5* Fame And Glory – £16 stake (won 11/8, win aim 73, +£22, debit due £51, bank £165)
6. 1*
7. 4* Holberg (my 3rd choice)
8. 0*
9. 2*
10. 3*
11. 1*
12. 0*
13. 0*
14. 0*
15. 1*

[Formath]

Ascot 2.30

1. 1*
2. 1*
3. 5* Codemaster £15 stake (win aim £57, lost £15, debit due £72, bank £143)
4. 3* Fury (my 3rd choice)
5. 3*
6. 0*
7. 4* Oracle (my 2nd choice)
8. 0*
9. 1*
10. 2*

[Formath]

Bill,
So he admits it’s luck versus expertise

Worcester
2.10 Denton Royal
3.20 Ghaill Force
4.00 Deiraeadh Re
5.10 Cash Back

[Formath]

Royal Ascot 2.30

1. 6* Canford Cliffs – £14 stake (win aim £75, won 11/8, +£19, ebit due £56, bank £158)
2. 4* Cape Blanco (my 3rd choice)
3. 3*
4. 0*
5. 1*
6. 0*
7. 6* Goldikova (my 2nd choice)

[Formath]

Bill,
I advise caution when singing the praises of Pompous Pete, I mean just one luck in running winner and it seems he is tipster of the year. I notice he has bowled a googly today by digressing from hcap hurdle races to take in a maiden hurdle, which is unusual. Any way it doesn’t fool me , these are my each-way selections:

Newton Abbot
6.15 Art Value
6.45 Call To Arms
7.45 Speedy Directa

[Formath]

Bill,
This is just a paper trading illustration so no harm done by the losing run . This Timepiece should be home and hosed this evening but with fillies it is always wise to be cautious in my experience.

Warwick 7.40

1. 2*
2. 6* Timepiece – £13 stake (win aim 91, £13 stake, won 11/8 +£17, debit due £74, bank £139)
3. Non-runner
4. 0*
5. 0*
6. 0*
7. 6* Mirror Lake (my 2nd choice)
8. 3*
9. 1*
10. 0*
11. 4* Sea Of Heartbreak (my 3rd choice)

[Formath]

Bill,
I checked out the place bets indicated and you might care to note that sometimes the chap doesn’t even know which race his selectionas are running in . Also they are NH which is easy peasy compare to the Flat. Just to make it more piquant these are my each-way selections for the races in question:

Sedgefield
3.00 Farfields
3.30 Mrs Eff
5.00 Lady Anne Neville
5.30 Papa Drew

[Formath]

Bill,
I see that Pompous Pete is endeavouring to cash in on my pending demise just because I have been offline for a couple of days. With regard to place betting he wouldn’t know a good one if it jumped up and bit him on the backside in my experience.

Just thought you ought to know I am still out there

[Formath]

"Keep right on to the end of the road", as the old song goes , not much else to do really, BUT I have included a star* for the first 5/6 in the betting making a maximum of six*, it could make all the difference .

Sandown 3.30

1. 1*
2. 2*
3. 4*
4. 4* Move In Time (my 3rd choice)
5. 1*
6. 0*
7. Non-runner
8. 4* Margot Did (my 2nd choice)
9. 6* Night Carnation – £12 stake
10. 0*

[Formath]

Is anyone staying the course with me even though it is rather boring? . A losing run of 10, which is not unusual at all and being with fillies today may not improve matters. Perhaps we should take a hint from Zarooni or Gosden:

Newbury 3.05

1. 1*
2. 3* Fanny May (my 3rd choice)
3. 2*
4. 4* Imperial Pippin (my 2nd choice)
5. 1*
6. 1*
7. 1*
8. 5* Poplin £11 stake
9. 1*

[Formath]

Late today so just the barebones sticking to 5* maximum

Haydock 3.20

1. 3* Classic Vintage (my 3rd choice)
2. 4* Dansili Dancer £10 stake
3. Non-runner
4. 2*
5. 1*
6. 0*
7. 2*
8. 4* Mister Angry (my 2nd choice)
9. 3*

[Formath]

The staking plan is going great guns but the selections leave a lot to be desired . This being the case I am changing tack with the selection system to the adjustment for the Flat advised by VDW. This entails dropping the ratings of Formcast and RPR and replacing them with speed figures – best recorded SF, best SF weight adjusted, Topspeed thus giving a maximum of 5* for any runner:

Salisbury 4.30

1. 2*
2. 3* Goldtrek (my 3rd choice)
3. 0*
4. 2*
5. 3* Isolate (my 2nd choice)
6. 5* Itishaara (£9 stake)
7. 2*
8. 1*

[Formath]

Pontefract 7.30

1. 4* Foxtrot Hotel £8 stake (Bet 8 lost, win aim£36, -£8 stake, debit due £44, bank £164)
2. 2*
3. 2*
4. 3* King Ferdinand (my 3rd choice)
5. 0*
6. 1*
7. 4* Jade (my 2nd choice)

[Formath]

Bill,
I am not sure how relevant it is but my aim is to clear £100 on the winner, so at the odds quoted to the nearest fiver above any odd amounts:

Logans Run £20 (5/1)
Sonny Mullen £20 (6/1)
Badger Foot £40 (11/4)

NB: As you are aware I would not consider any betting any runner shorter than odds of 2/1 and no bet if the 3 to be staked exceed
£100 in total.

[Formath]

Bill,
Absolutely not, this is a paper trading exercise showing the mechanics of the VDW staking plan – but we could do with a few winners now

Perth 4.30

1. 2*
2. 3*
3. 4* Logans Run £7 stake (Bet 7 lost, win aim £28,-£7 stake, debit due £35, bank £172)
4. 3* Sonny Mullen (my 3rd choice)(4/1 won)
5. 2*
6. 1*
7. 0*
8. 2*
9. Non-runner
10. 3* Badger Foot (my 2nd choice)

[Formath]

The Epsom Derby where they have to handle the track configuration and get the distance. IMO speed can be the critical factor and proven fast runners are N’os 6, 10, 11, 9 so where does this leave Charlton House? I have priced those that appear to be contenders from rating their past form and Native Khan with the going against looks the each-way shot.

Epsom 4.00 (headings = cloth No, my form rating, my form price)

1. 16 6/1 Charlton House
2. 1
3. 6
4. 8
5. 7
6. 10 10/1 Native Khan (G?)
7. 6
8. 5
9. 10 10/1 Pour Moi
10. 15 13/2 Recital
11. 11 9/1 Seville
12. 9
13. 8

[Formath]

.
Missed posting yesterday but it lost anyway This one tonight Formcast and RPR rate vey tight so anything could pop up.

Goodwood 6.45

1. 4* Bramalea – £6 stake (win aim £21, -£6 stake, debit due £27, bank £179
2. 2*
3. 3* New Code (my 2nd choice)
4. 2*
5. 3*
6. 3* Porgy (my 3rd choice)(won 8/1)
7. 2*
8. 2*

[Author]

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