VDW Staking for Billion (Part 2)

[Pompete]

….cos if we wait for Grandad to have a winner we’ll be here till Christmas

3.25 Doncaster – Medicean Man – To Place (Betfair)

£2.00 Stake, £1.00 Aim

[billion]

Pompete!

You can be so cruel sometimes

Billy's Outback Shack

[Pompete]

Bill, me and Alan go back a few years and he knows I’m only messing about. And don’t worry Alan will pull it round

This is a bit different to Formaths thread as it’s higher turnover and lower margin but I believe it would suit the style of betting you have expressed a preference for since you have been on here – low stakes, place market 3 or 4 punts a day? Or am I wrong?

If (and it is a big if) these selections match what I’ve achieved before with this system and staking I would expect the following returns:

Stike Rate – 55% – 60%
Ave Win – 2.30 – 2.50
ROI – 8% – 9%
Profit Increase over Level Stakes – x 4

Mondays Selections

3.30 Sedgefield – Final Flyer
3.30 Sedgefeild – Wotchalike
5.00 Sedgefield – Lisbon Lion
5.30 Sedgefield – Mardood

Betfair Place Market at SP
Base Stake £2.00, Aim £1.00

[billion]

It was only a leg pull

Pompete

You question my style of betting and I wish I could give you a definitive answer but your assessment is not too far adrift.

I do like better than level stakes but when push comes to shove (as they say) and the stakes take me out of my comfort zone the bottle goes and the bottom squeaks.

As for the number of punts per day, well I am not sure. I enjoy the involvement/volume but the desire is to raise the stake value and am unwilling to do both.

I shall watch with great interest.

Great start with Medicean Man being 3rd

Billy's Outback Shack

[Pompete]

1/1 so far – Profit

Mondays Selections

3.30 Sedgefield – Final Flyer –

3.30 Sedgefeild – Wotchalike
5.00 Sedgefield – Lisbon Lion
5.30 Sedgefield – Mardood

Tuesdays Selections

6.15 Newton Abbot – Song In My Heart
6.45 Newton Abbot – Beau Fighter
7.45 Newton Abbot – Kylenoe Fairy

Bill, because I’m using Betfair SP (Less 5% Commission) my inital stake is the minimum £2.00 which is then increased by £1.00 or by the amount Due above £2.00 – whichever is the smaller.

[Pompete]

Oh I forgot. All selections to Place @ Betfair SP

[Formath]

Bill,
I see that Pompous Pete is endeavouring to cash in on my pending demise just because I have been offline for a couple of days. With regard to place betting he wouldn’t know a good one if it jumped up and bit him on the backside in my experience.

Just thought you ought to know I am still out there

[Formath]

Bill,
I checked out the place bets indicated and you might care to note that sometimes the chap doesn’t even know which race his selectionas are running in . Also they are NH which is easy peasy compare to the Flat. Just to make it more piquant these are my each-way selections for the races in question:

Sedgefield
3.00 Farfields
3.30 Mrs Eff
5.00 Lady Anne Neville
5.30 Papa Drew

[billion]

Matron

and then who knows what will happen.

Nice 8/1 winner

Pompete

!

I did notice you are starting to get technical with the staking and I have said this plan no matter how good goes right over my head.

Billy's Outback Shack

[Formath]

Bill,
I advise caution when singing the praises of Pompous Pete, I mean just one luck in running winner and it seems he is tipster of the year. I notice he has bowled a googly today by digressing from hcap hurdle races to take in a maiden hurdle, which is unusual. Any way it doesn’t fool me , these are my each-way selections:

Newton Abbot
6.15 Art Value
6.45 Call To Arms
7.45 Speedy Directa

[Pompete]

Grandad, you’re right I am a lucky twat you can check out how lucky I am HERE

Wednesdays Selection

2.10 Worcester – Morocchius
3.20 Worcester – Tutor
4.00 Worcester – Zakatal
5.10 Worcester – Woodlark Island

Which includes a 18 runner Selling Handicap Hurdle – Formath won’t be able to sleep tonight with worry I might pop in the 25/1 winner

[Pompete]

Thursdays Selection

6.00 Ffos Las – Rookery Rebel
7.30 Ffos Las – The Wee Midget
8.30 Ffos Las – Oasis Knight
9.00 Ffos Las – Lodgican

[Formath]

Bill,
So he admits it’s luck versus expertise

Worcester
2.10 Denton Royal
3.20 Ghaill Force
4.00 Deiraeadh Re
5.10 Cash Back

[Hatter]

Not sure where this going VDW wise
Seems a bit of a challenge match

[Formath]

He gets worse

Ffos Las
6.00 Peppertree Lane
7.30 Strumble head
8.30 Oasis Knight
9.00 Driving Miss Suzie

[Pompete]

Sunday’s Lucky Dip

2.20 Her – Round Tom
2.30 Hex – Priors Gold
2.50 Her – Hawk Gold
3.00 Hex – Yabora
3.50 Her – Laureate Des Loges
4.00 Hex – Patriot
4.50 Her – Olivino
5.00 Hex – Moorlands Jack

[Formath]

Late down at the start today due to father’s day celebrations , so I will just attempt a few of the more difficult races all each-way shots:

Hereford
3.50 Ruby Valentine
4.50 Classic Fly

Hexham
4.00 Patriot

[Author]

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