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Got Happily at 9.6 on the Exchange. Been a decent day for me with also having Caravaggio and Shamreen.
I’ve done Dartmouth win only here.
I had him first time out this year at quite generous odds and was disappointed with him at Royal Ascot. I still recall him flooring Highland Reel when I had 11/1 on the O’Brien colt the previous year.
Order Of St George has never been lucky for me and I have not backed him in a long time. I just felt Dartmouth was a better bet to a smaller stake, just for an interest.
ps Also did Bateel at Chantilly. Journey has been feeble so far this year, so I had to oppose her at 7/2 and take Bateel at 9/2.
Well done on Bateel! What drew you to her?
Wicklow Brave is the only one in here with form on heavy ground, as it apparently is today. I had him to win at 18.00, and I’ve also laid Order of St George to place at 1.11.
I can’t get Ribchester beat here, but then I can’t have him at his price. I’m a fan of Inns of Court (had him lto when he got chinned), but I’m not sure he’s up to beating Ribchester and is no price what so ever. Just looking forward to a good race.
I got him at 6/4 last night, double stakes, so very happy with that.
It was a strange performance from him again as he never seemed on the bridle and again shaped as though wanting further.
Caravaggio is a double stakes bet for me. He should be obliterating this field of handicappers.
Journey should win this if back to her best, she should be coming into form now
Rated wayyy clear of most of these, LTO wasnt her trip
Ill have a bitnon Blond me e/w at 14/1 dont see why she cant run a place or pick it up if journey misfires
I do like Journey, but I couldn’t be backing her on ground this soft when her form this season has been very poor. She was apparently in season last time out, but even so I just couldn’t have her. If she’s back to her best, she wins, but I’m happy to let her win.
That hurt the wallet good and proper. There’s no doubt in my mind that Winter was the best horse in the race though and her Champion’s Day target depends on how Churchill get’s on in 20 minutes I assume.
It might not be worst idea in the world to chuck Hydrangea at the QE2 herself, I can’t see many other races suitable for her. The Sun Chariot could come into plans and they may send her out to the Breeders Cup at the end of the year.
I think that was Hydrangea’s peak, to be honest. She’d ideally want a turning mile and soft ground. I’m not sure where she gets that now. I can see her turning up in the Sun Chariot and possibly the Breeders Cup, but I’ll be amazed if she wins either.
Personally, I thought Persuasive was the best in this. To run on like she did, when it seemed nothing else was making any ground, was stunning. I’d love to see her in the QE2.
AOB has stated that Winter will come on for the run after getting a bruised foot after Goodwood. I’d be a bit nervous about backing her at evens with that in mind.
I’ve gone for Wuheida. 20/1 is far too big. She’s only ran four races in her career so is still unexposed, three of those were in Group 1 company, in which she was won once and placed twice. She didn’t stay the 13 furlongs of the German Oaks, but before that travelled the best in the Falmouth when having the widest trip and needing the run. I think she will at least reverse the form with Roly Poly, but I think the conditions will suit her perfectly and wouldn’t surprise me if she were to get into the frame.
SOVEREIGN DEBT. Soft ground won’t be a problem, he’s won under his penalty already and you know he’ll give you his running.
Does anyone else think that WUHEIDA is massively over-priced at 20/1? Considering Roly Poly is about 5/1, and in the Falmouth Wuheida travelled really well when needing the run, her price just seems wrong to me.
Indeed. I would be happy to see the back of people like MyRacingTips, GetYourTipsOut, FootyAccums and JJM Sports (sorry TRF).
I can’t understand people who turn to tipsters, much less those who go to unproven (or downright misleading) Twitter accounts for their bets. Isn’t the best feeling in betting when you find your own winner? I’d feel a whole lot more salty about backing a loser if it wasn’t even my own loser.
I think the principle of affiliation is fine in a vacuum. Give the affiliate a revshare deal in return for sending you business. OK, cool. Evidently this is not a model that works well in this industry, nor would I expect it to be especially profitable for bookmakers. Why lose x% of your profits when people can easily find you on Google or through your own advertising anyway?
Speaking from personal experience, I would argue that people who turn to Twitter tipsters are new to the sport and looking for a quick, accessible way to get some tips, have a bet and watch a race. I’ve used these before, and I quickly got burned by them.
Although I have fallen in love with the sport and since moved on to finding my own bets, I’m sure there are plenty who strike the unsuccessful punting of Get Your Tips Out and My Racing Tips off to the sport being corrupt or rotten, rather than the one giving them the tips as being dodgy.
I’m glad these fraudsters are being clamped down on. I think the sport will be better off for it.
I’m drawn to two in particular, given that all of the pace is high up in the field. These are MR LUPTON and SPIRIT OF VALOR.
Mr Lupton has got a good draw, and he likes Haydock having won here before. He’s got pieces of form on ground with some ease, and he was a fast-finishing fifth in this race last year after getting a clattering after breaking out of the stalls. He’s lost his way somewhat this season, so somebody please tell me I’m crazy for considering him?
Spirit of Valor, being by War Front, should hate the ground. He won on easy ground before, but I think he ran no sort of race at Goodwood because of how soft the ground was. Having said that, at 33/1 I might be happy to take a chance on him. Pace horses over C&D have a great record overall, and he looks the likeliest pace angle for me. I can’t see the drop in trip inconveniencing him, and if the ground isn’t too bad or if he handles it he should run a big race at the price.
Brando is the best sprinter in this field, for my money. But I’ll wait for draws etc.
The one I currently like is BLUE POINT. I’m a big fan of this horse, and I’m hoping he won’t mind a bit of cut in the ground.
Ohhh dear Lord just watched the replay and how the hell didn’t Natural Scenery win the race i had a e/w bet on him but omg he was cruising found more trouble than mcgregor is going to be in …. Jesus i must expect it being an hold up horse but he surely was the best horse in that race if he had clear run i think he would of won easy 🙁 😥 😥 😥 😥
Tell me about it 🙁
There doesn’t look like that many suitable races for her here from now on so I wonder if they might send her to Australia. I’m sure she could mop up a few staying races over there.
She’s entered in the Long Distance Cup and Fillies & Mares on Champions Day. If the ground comes up good, she wouldn’t be without a chance in either (though I would prefer her in the former). There’s also the French St. Leger, which I think she’d be perfect for.
I’ve nibbled at the 10/1 on offer about Al Wukair. I still believe we have yet to see the best of him and maybe this is the race we’ll finally see it. With many of the market principles potentially taking up other engagements he could be left with Ribchester to beat and he may struggle to give weight away to such a classy 3 year old as this.
I think I’d rather go for the 16/1 for the Champion Stakes, personally. I could be wrong, but I thought his trainer had mentioned stepping him up.
