The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

sketti

Forum Replies Created

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 336 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • in reply to: Queen Mother Champion Chase #502119
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    This race is becoming a real fascinating watch.

    I just hope Champers doesn’t run. Can’t see his jumping hold up at pace. Ryanair bound surely.

    I am struggling to find a bet for this race. Might have to be a swerve job. Routing for the Sire though.

    in reply to: Champion Hurdle #501967
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Do you really think he won’t place? The field is largely disappointing. The market has it spot on. If he gets round he places.

    Ignore the prep run yesterday and go back one race. He destroyed a good Cheltenham field. I really do love an over reaction. He’s only been out of top 3 once in his career.

    My only concern is his jumping, he’s always clipped too many hurdles.

    in reply to: Champion Hurdle #501828
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    My point was he smashed his race at the festival. I shouldn’t have just used PA, he beat all of them well.

    in reply to: Champion Hurdle #501814
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Utter Nonsense, He should have won last year. He has the speed. I remember him looking sluggish in Jan two years ago when beaten by Fishers Cross. He then murdered the over hyped Pont Alexandre. He’ll be in top three.

    in reply to: Queen Mother Champion Chase #501588
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Considered doing the same myself but bottled it for the following reason:

    Most seem to think he will either win and become a huge favourite which at 7-4 he already is. You might be in a niceish position if he goes evens, you’ll almost have a point over the market.

    The other option is that he flops completely and will probably never run again.

    NO one seems to be concerned that he might run an OK race in say second or third yet comfortably beaten, which is definitely a possibility. This will probably lead to the "he needed the race" argument and see him going to the festival, probably at a bigger price and probably lose.

    Reality is, he is nine and been off for a while. He might still be decent but at nine and French he should be in decline as a 2 mile chaser.

    For me, rather than exposing myself to a low odds bet of 7-4 I’d rather watch simply as a fan.

    in reply to: RSA Chase #501550
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    His jumps jumping has been iffy.

    Also, he ran so well last year over hurdles he could easily be in the mix. It worked for Big Bucks.

    in reply to: Albert Bartlett #501532
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    I didn’t write the above?

    in reply to: Albert Bartlett #501504
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    I’d expect him to go up a hefty amount. He murdered them. It was one of the easiest wins I’ve seen in a big handicap for a long long time. But it was on soft and he had a light weight and looked well in. Handicapper won’t care about those facts though.

    If he does go in for a big handicap at a nice weight I’d be interested but also sceptical, he’d be fancied and I thought that race Saturday was weak in all.

    in reply to: Albert Bartlett #501495
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Was on Tea for Two at the weekend and he murdered them.

    It has to be mentioned, he has been put in his place in graded company, albeit he is certainly an improver.

    The 7lb claim helped too for sure.

    He has probably smashed his Handicap mark by winning so well so surely it will be the AB.

    I will be avoiding in graded races on good ground. The Lanzarote felt like his race.

    in reply to: Arkle #501469
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    For me UDS is a worthy favourite but far too short. I am on Vautour but suspect the Ruby factor might see him go JLT, he won’t be able to ride VL in that.

    I still think Vautour will be the better of the two.

    Don’t forget UDS is notorious for not travelling well. A hectic trip to Chelt and the euphoria might catch him out.

    Also the horse has had two chases in races for £5k. Not the classiest. He has barely been challenged. For me he is a favourite to take, on. Could not back 5-2 at all.

    Sadly I’m on a loser on Vautour by the looks of things. I would have preferred 5-2 in this case on UDS however.

    in reply to: Arkle #500890
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Wanted to watch him jump again (today) before making any decisions. I would want a cleaner jumper over 2 miles.

    in reply to: Ryanair Chase #500813
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    The Ryanair is rapidly becoming my favourite race at the festival. Dug myself a hole on Champagne and Cossack. Dynaste was superb in the King George and looked to be staying on so am hoping they go for glory in the Gold Cup, if not i’ll saver on him. He ran his best race in this last year and wouldnt back against a repeat. Would like to see him go the Imperial Commander route and go for Gold this year.

    in reply to: Neptune Novice Hurdle #500812
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Out Sam has crossed my mind. It’s always hard taking three horse races seriously.

    It has been franked but not graded races. Tea for two is an improving handicapper. He won a class four last time.

    He has the point profile although only two seconds. I’ll be watching him closely in the warwick race if he goes.

    Vyta appeals a bit too. I am on Shantou Bob for half a point at 120-1. I don’t think he’ll win this nd tried to find ab odds but can’t. He looks a stayer but probably not the classiest. Be a good handicapper.

    in reply to: Neptune Novice Hurdle #500771
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Just been watching through some of the contenders for this. The more I look at the race the more I think it will be Tell us more in top 3 for sure. 12-1 now looks a solid ew bet.

    Reason for this is, so far I haven’t been taken by the Brits at all. Previous winners in the last decade have had a similar pointing background to Tell us More showing stamina. Also the race seems is won regularly by horses with firsts and Seconds in the form, the fact he didn’t win latest means nothing.

    I can’t seem him being an AB horse and Mullins has a few in the Supreme so I don’t think the target will change.

    I am getting on.

    Also topspeed 129 is a solid score in the latest race. Better than most.

    in reply to: Arkle #500746
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    I’ve been eying up Gilgamboa as another JLT type. I am not sure whether to back him or not. I won’t over 2miles but would struggle to avoid over further.

    in reply to: Arkle #500719
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Am I the only one who thinks Vautour is now a cracking price? I am fairly confident he will run in this. THe JLT is an option but Ptit Zig and Mullins other horse VL are making that look a hot contest. This race is weaker. There has been a massive over reaction to Vautours last run. He nearly went and totally clattered the one he hit. He lost after that. I am certain the form would have been upheld but for that mistake.

    8/1 about him. Monster price in what I think is a four horse race.

    in reply to: Champion Hurdle #500718
    Avatar photosketti
    Member
    • Total Posts 343

    Don’t forget Faugheen won the Neptune at 20f too.

    I really can’t seen anything other than a duel between the top two. So 3-1 TNO is the price NRNB to be on.

    I’d be happy with either ante post at larger prices. Can’t wait.

    Watch Jezki repeat now.

Viewing 17 posts - 52 through 68 (of 336 total)