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Tombstone to be supplemented according to Elliotts asisstant
Never considered Limini for this but then again nobody knows what form she’s in. I guess we’ll know tomorrow; shed have to beat Apples Jade impressively; stranger things have happened
Unlikely VVM will run here two miles is too short, if they ran her in mares she would beat AJ, they wont run limini and VVM in that race so that would mean one has to come out, my thinking is if she bolts up tomorrow limini will come here vvm will stay at the mares, if its a tight race tomorrow then you would assume she could come on for the run so theyd send vvm to the stayers and keep limini in the mares
All absolute guesswork with 0 facts, but at 70/1 etc for different races, ill throw some £ at it
Nice work Ham.
I just cannot understand how anyone can state the CC cant win because hes had “four runs” (come on now…) or his age.
The quality of the opposition is a far bigger factor than stats… isnt it (im on NR)???,
its hard to claim that this is a field laden with the highest class opposition
Agree, if he runs his race one them is going to have to improve a fair bit
I think that’s my thing with Cue Card. If he runs his race… but what does his race over 3m 2f at Cheltenham look like? He was going well enough when he came down last year, but still not convinced he won’t empty after the last. Over 3m I would fancy him, but am not convinced he will stay. Reckon he will be pretty short in running though!
Cue Card is a great horse, but I simply can’t believe he will get up the hill at Cheltenham over 3m 2f. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we have a double figure priced winner this year.
If I owned Yanworth he would be following Inglis Drevers route and going to the Stayers Hurdle. I love the horse, but I see him being tapped for toe before staying on for a place. I honestly believe he would win the stayers hurdle but can only assume Barry thinks UKWIMH is better. I don’t, but some might say he is better placed to judge than I am…
Better long-term that he goes chasing. Not many Champion Hurdle winners aged 9+, but plenty of 10/11yo Queen Mum winners. Going chasing now will probably improve his development and long-term provide more wins and prize money.
But yes, he’d very likely win this.
Touche
I take onboard the feedback about not running 2m 5f for
Hasnt run at the ryanair distance in two years, was beaten 26l, last time he won at 2m 5 was 2013, hes a different horse now, hes every bit a 3m+ horse, if he runs anywhere near his best he will be bang there, put a line through the king george run, clearly ran well below form/small field race didnt suit
If theres any soft in the description at cheltenham, and a big field turns up which it definitely will now that TC lost, he has every chance of winning this GC as he did last year
Couldnt have him winning a ryanair now personally
I take on board the fact he hasn’t run over 2m 5f for 2 years and was beaten by 26L that day too (though Don Cossack wasn’t too shabby was he) but I do think the distance beaten was somewhat down to the mistake at 3 out.
I do though struggle to see him staying 3m 2f on heavy ground with that uphill finish at Cheltenham. As well as he was going last year I still believe he’s have emptied up the hill. My thing is this: If it’s heavy, I see a stablemate of his staying on dourly and beating him, if it’s good ground, I see a stablemate of his leaving him turning in. So either way, I just can’t see him winning the GC.
I assume the trainer may feel similarly hence the entry in the Ryanair and I firmly believe that if Tizzard owned all 3 horses, Cue Card would run in the Ryanair.
Well I hope that the trainer can convince her to run him in a race he can win as opposed to one he can’t.
I’m quite strong on the chances of Cue Card in this. Never felt he truly stayed 3m and contra to what some have previously stated, I think he has plenty of speed for 2m 5f. He Cheltenham record is 1124U21F and he will be nice and fresh for it too. Mind you, I think the last time I tipped a festival winner it was Cue Card to win the Bumper!
I fancy Politologue for the JLT. Don’t think he lost too much in defeat LTO and I think he is improving and learning. My main concern is his 2 previous runs at Cheltenham. Willing to forgive as but for an error in his first run, I think he would have been right there.
I agree, I’d like Johnson in particular to give it an aggressive ride from the front – but in the WH not the CH. I think he beats UKWIMH. Wouldn’t be the first or last time a JP second string wins at the festival…
Don’t think he has the speed for the CH and would get left behind down the back before staying on for a place.
just a bit of a pointer Kempski finished 97lengths behind Peddlers Cross at Kelso last time and today Kempski led all the way and won a grade 3 fairly comfortably. As you can see the Kelso run wasnt weak form at all it was a very respectable time on heavy ground for a horse that was just out for a blow in an uncompetitive race and the fact is Peddlers had plenty in hand that day and Id challenge anyone to find another horse that clocks that time on that ground when he is still in first gear. The fact he has only had 7 races so far shows just how good he is and that he is totally unexposed …he is already where Istabraq and Hardy Eustace were a year in advance. I agree about Hurricane Fly I think he is very good horse but just got slight niggles about him liking Cheltenham but apart from that he is class and has chances.
I work form out myself so dont really go on what the pundits say and its served me fairly well in competitive races I have backed many winners not just at the Festival but time and time again …and the facts here are telling me to back Peddlers Cross….I could be wrong after all theres no certainties but at 6-1 win or (ew) you cant go wrong. I cant believe the price on Big Bucks for the world hurdle and that is all down to the media hype for Grand Cru a lovely horse yes but with an awful lot to do just to get anywhere near the supreme hurdling Master. Roll on next week for a great Festival.Are you really attempting to use Kempski as a marker!? He has been laid out for that race each year and his run behind Peddlers bares no significance to the Champion Hurdle whatsoever! He may well win, but that logic really is clutching at straws…
My heart:
1st Mille Chief
2nd Menorah
3rd BinocularMy head:
1st Binocular
2nd Menorah
3rd Mille ChiefI think Peddlers will lack the turn of foot and get run out of things. Just my opinion obviously!
Still think that Mille Chief will put up a huge run and defy his odds.
thanks guys,glad i couldn’t get it on now as aegean dawn misses the imperial cup apparently!
Where did you hear that? Gutted if thats the case.
I think Mille Chief will be the ‘shock’ winner this year. Though I don’t personally see it as a shock! Whilst I agree he has something to find, Alan King keeps saying that with better ground we will see his turn of foot and he now travels through his races very well. I think the fast pace they will undoubtedly go, on good ground will see him quicken up the hill and be bang there at the end. I think that the run against Celestial Halo is probably a bit better than it first seemed and the horse just gets better with each race.
I backed him at 33’s before his first run this season (admittedly you could get 66’s afterwards!) and I am excited about his prospects in what has the makings of a truely great renewal.
Just my opinions of course but in my last post I tipped Cue Card for the bumper last year…. fingers crossed
Oh and I had a stable tour at Barbury Castle the day Mille Chief was beaten by Agean Dawn. Alan King predicted the result (and his horse in 3rd) and said before hand that Mille Chief was very much in need of that second run. He has a glint in his eye about Mille Chief and a week Tuesday hopefully we will all see just why…
