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If Kauto Star can regain his crown for a second time then the cheers in the stand and winners enclosure will be the loudest ever heard.
I imagine that Paul Nicholls will find a soft race for his return to racing, followed by the King George. If he has retained 90% of his ability then I can see only one danger at Kempton which is the current second favourite Long Run. If Kauto wins at Kempton then I can see his Gold Cup price falling to 3/1 or less depending on the ease of his win. If Long run wins at Kempton then the current odds of 20/1 for the Gold Cup will seem a distant memory as he will probably be trading at 5/1 or less.
These two apart I can see only four other genuine contenders at this stage…….. Joncol, Burton Port, What a Friend and Imperial Commander. Joncol looks like your typical old fashioned steeplechaser and he reminds me of Jodami. I could see him improving the best part of a stone on what he has already achieved which would put him in the mix.
Burton Port is as tough as old boots and looks to have a bullet proof constitution and I don’t think we saw the best of him at Cheltenham as he had a few hard races yet still ran into a place. Cheltenham was an afterthought last time and he wasn’t campaigned with the festival in mind and probably ran a shade below his best.
What a Friend having already won two grade ones as a seven year old may well with normal improvement from seven to eight find himself in the ball park.
Imperial Commander as the defending champ should be capable of showing the same level of form at the age of 10, however I can see no value in backing him now as his trainer may well run him in the King George again where he is likely to get beat. If you fancy him then wait till after this race and get the inflated odds.£35 double binocular 4/1 CH and long Run 16/1 GC
£150 Double Kauto Star 5/2 KG and Binocular 4/1 CH
£70 double Long Run 6/1 KG and Binocular 4/1 CH
Hughes relishing Classic cliff-hanger
(UKPA) – 6 hours agoRichard Hughes believes Canford Cliffs is a "different horse" as he counts down the hours to his bid for glory in Saturday’s StanJames.com 2000 Guineas.
The Richard Hannon-trained colt was sent off the 10-11 favourite on his seasonal debut in the Greenham Stakes at Newbury, but his dream return was scuppered by stablemate Dick Turpin who swooped late to win by half a length after Canford Cliffs drifted across the track under pressure.
Hughes told At The Races: "I think he will (get a mile). From day one we never really thought he was a sprinter so I’d be quite confident. It was the fastest Greenham on record. He just got tired and he needed the run to shake him up as he hadn’t run for such a long time – but he’s a different horse now."
Hughes was particularly thrilled by a piece of work with Stan Moore’s Prix de l’Abbaye winner Total Gallery last Sunday and expects Canford Cliffs to be back on top of his game.
"He went very well. It was the way he did it, before Newbury he needed a slap to go into his work but he was back to his old self," he explained.
"I just wheeled him out from behind and he took off like he was before the Coventry (at Royal Ascot). I was a bit worried before the Greenham as he had got very lazy at home but there are no signs of that now."
Canford Cliffs has been drawn in stall four and Hughes continued: "He tends to go left when he quickens. He changes his lead and he leads on that near-fore leg. He’s always done it, I don’t know why but I suppose he will go a little bit left when I quicken up so I’m better off drawn where I am."
Although Canford Cliffs made virtually all the running when winning the Coventry Stakes last year and when beaten in the Greenham, Hughes is planning take his time before making a challenge at Newmarket.
"He’s a much nicer horse when you get his head down in behind," he said. "We just wanted to find out in the Greenham, it was a only a trial, so he jumped and I just let him run along. I’ll be getting a lead on him on Saturday and if he settles that would be nice."
Although Hughes has opted to partner Canford Cliffs, he still has some words of encouragement for supporters of Dick Turpin, adding: "Dick Turpin is a very good horse. He was only beaten a few lengths in the Dewhurst and he ran flat. He was never on the bridle."
Copyright © 2010 The Press Association. All rights reserved.
In 49 runnings of the Racing Post trophy how many winners have gone on to win the 2000 guineas? a cursory glance shows 1.
Chief Singer was a top class miler good enough to win most guineas, he was unfortunate to come up against the exceptional El gran Senor and came 2nd. He had a similar profile to CC. He won the Coventry Stakes the St James Palace, JULY CUP and Sussex Stakes.
There is something about Canford Cliffs prep run that reminded me of Kings Best Guineas prep race, here are the respective race comments, they both showed explosive speed and were beaten half a length. King’s Best went on to win the guineas.
KINGS BEST
Tracked leaders, pulled hard, led and quickened over 2f out, ridden, edged left and headed well inside final furlongCANFORD CLIFFS
Led, driven, quickened 3 lengths clear and edged left over 1f out, hung left inside final furlong, headed and no extra near finish
Hannon’s horses are running out of their skin, there is every chance that CC will improve for the run, will run better on Good to Firm and if settled in the pack could blind them all for speed. Next stop the July Cup.
We all think that Muslims were to blame for the demise of the World Trade Centres, why? it’s because Muslims have been portrayed and framed in the media as culprits when strong evidence suggests an inside job from America.
What the **** are you talking about to be fair?
Condemnation without investigation is the height of ignorance ~~~ Albert Enstein
If you want to know what really happened on 911 watch the video below:
– 18 horses who are unbeaten this season entered
– lots that have won by wide margins/0r on bridle
– very little form to make any sense of who is best
– Wide open race
– Impossible to back anything with confidence
– Cross out the english runners and have a lucky dipQuestion Sea Pigeon, do you think that was Kauto Star at his best
I have watched the rerun a few times and Kauto did not make any serious jumping errors, maybe he ran 5 pounds below par.
Kauto is unbeaten for several years going right handed but is vulnerable left handed, he has only won 3 out of his last 7 runs left handed but has won all his last 8 races going right handed.
He will not be able to let Denman steal a march on him because even minor jumping errors will then take him out of his comfort zone particularly if Denham starts to pile on the pace.
If I was Denman’s owner I would instruct McCoy to have him in the first 3 until they pass the stands with a circuit to go and then to take the race by the scruff of the neck and put the other runners under pressure.
I am sure that the main reason Denman got beat last time was that he simply was not fit, although you wouldn’t here AP McCoy criticising the trainer for that if he wanted to keep the ride.
If you look at official ratings on performances on left handed tracks then Denman has 4 pounds in hand of Kauto and on that basis he should win by 5 lengths or thereabouts.History has a habit of repeating itself.
Denman ran badly at Aintree then what?
Gives the best part of 2 stone to a horse that then wins a grade 1 chase.
Watch the 2008 race again…link below
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fIQTzaCWnmA
You can be sure AP McCoy will be watching re-runs of this and looking to repeat the dose.
Denman will be up there from the start and will put Kauto under pressure with a circuit to go.
Kauto may be unbeatable at Kempton but not round Cheltenham.
4/1 for Denman will be looking very generous odds when he leads into the home straight with rest struggling behind him.
You will be eating humble pie then CS.
Corals now going evens Masterminded.
I predict this horse will produce the performance of the festival and his rating will smash through the 190 barrier.
To find out about invented threats to society click on link below.
Looking at Betfair, the last odds matched on Punchestowns were 6.4 so it would appear that he may still run
Chemtrails………………poisoning of our air
Fluoride………………..poisoning of our water
MSG…………………….poisoning of our food
Aspartame……………….poisoning of our food
Microwave Ovens………….poisoning of our food
Low energy light bulbs……dirty energy
Lies about:
Cholesterol
Statins
Man Made Global Warming
Money
Energy
Apollo
Chemotheraphy
Radiotheraphy
Terrorist Attacks done by the State and blamed on Moslems
Vaccines that don’t work, and have never worked
Recessions being part of the "Business Cycle"
Earthquakes and Tsunami’s (what really caused them)
AIDS (billions spent on a virus that does not exist)
The Person (A person is a legal fiction)
Democracy (in Latin means "rule of the mob"
Who really killed JFK (it was the driver)VPU – Highest rating in field with official handicapper
– Never finished worst than 2nd in 5 races at Chelt
– 16/1
– Valid excuse for last race: trip too short
– Valid excuse for prev race: trip too long
– Would have won prev race if not for 2 bad jumpsIn Ryanair will have his best trip on ground likely to suit, in his last race he ran a similar sort of race and was beaten a similar distance as when beaten in Masterminded’s first Champion Chase, looked well and jumped well. He followed up that defeat by Masterminded by reversing the form and beating Masterminded by the same margin.
If he can run to within half a stone of his best will be difficult to beat
