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Here is the rest, must of missed off buddy
Her last run came behind Cuff when a fast finishing third in the Sprint Stakes, she looks all speed and even though it is taking longer than most for the penny to drop she is very capable of landing a pattern event as such as this.
SEA FRONT : 2pt Win @ 4/1 (BOG)
SEA THE STARS PRETTY POLLY STAKES (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) 1m 2f
Minding is a warm order here showing around 2/9 in the market, unless your going to have a crack at 9k to win 2k you be better gambler than I and probably a richer one. Her wins this season have come in the 1000gns and Epsom Oaks, but she was beaten here at the Curragh this year in the Irish 1000gns when the recent 1.3m winner Jet Setting got the better of her in the dying strides.
I do have concerns over the ground for the daughter of Galileo, and I am going to try and get her beat here, not an easy task on what she is taking on here, but they are all here on merit and none so than Luca Cumani’s ‘Koora’. i personally thought that her seasons re-appearance when behind Beautiful Romance in the Group 2 Middleton Stakes at York was eye catching considering it was not her ground.
Since then the third Journey has come out and landed the Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes, Speed Boarding who she re-apposes here has landed the Group 2 Prix Corrida, so on merit both Speed Boarding and Koora have the ability to give her a serious fright this afternoon. This brings me on to ‘SPEED BOARDING‘. she would of been a lot closer to Koora that day at York if not finding traffic problems inside the final furlong. She was travelling well within herself and would of probably won the race under today’s pilot Frederick Tylicki and she is another that will not mind the conditions.
SPEED BOARDING : 1pt each way @ 12/1 (BOG)
CORAL.IE CURRAGH CUP (Group 2) 1m 6f
Two from the Queen’s Vase go head to head once more, the Balydoyle pair ‘Sword Fighter’ and ‘Landofhopenadglory’ will fight it out once more. Looking individually on their runs that day at Ascot, Sword Fighter always looked in command from a long way from home and with Landofhopenadglory hanging and not settling throughout the contest it is hard to see the form reversing.
Pending how much that race has taken out of them, the opposition consist oi Cymro who represents British trainer Tom Dascombe and will try to emulate the British last success in this back in 2010 and 2011 with winners like Red Cadeaux and Tactic. Cymro looks a steady handicapper and will have to put in a careers best performance to win this. Dermot Weld’s ‘ALVEENA‘ has been a pleasure to watch over the recent months.
She won on heavy ground at Leopardstown on her re-appearance and was beaten here at The Curragh over 12f, she looked like a good test of stamina would not be beyond her the way she was staying on that day. She showed a good turn of foot when landing the Cork Derby two weeks ago and the further she goes the better .
O’Brien has won this for the past three years and won with a three year old last year, are these two worthy to be put in that category, it’s hard to say, but it is going to be hard to beat Alveena now they step her up even further this afternoon.
ALVEENA : 3pt Win @ 9/4 (BOG) (NAP)
Darren P Goodbody
Wanted to ask you knowledgeable guys on here a dilemma I want answered, now I have not really followed this debate and the outcome, how it will really effect us time will tell. but my question is
My partner who is Russian obtained her Pharmacology masters in Russia, she came to UK three years ago (Not a paid bride guys lol), anyway she was unable to practice her profession due to the EU rules that she would have to re-sit exams here for three years, and that her masters was not recognised due to being obtained outside the EU.
Now we have left the EU, not fully but as it finalises would she now be able to practice now we have become an independent Country. ?
Thanks Guys
Darren P Goodbody
BELARDO
I think if they pitch him in here he has a cracking chance of going close. 4th in the Irish 1000 last year he has come on far better than I ever imagined to be honest. He has had a busy career, but lets not forget his was a Dewhurst winner at two, his three year old campaign never materialised which is not unknown to us being with Godolphin. His Sire Lope De Vega never ran beyond his three year old Career which in fact should of put me off slightly. I was really taken with his win at Newbury when flying home in the Lockinge and the ground was probably a little to dead for him in the Queen Anne, but to lose by just half a length to the american star on ground that not suited was a massive run for me.
If he gets good ground at turns up in the Sussex Stakes the bet I have on each way at 14/1 would please me no end, as this horse not only knows where the finishing line is, it’s the fact he is a tough nut and wants to win.Out of the jockey’s who that have ridden him in the past I would be even more happier if Atzeni gets a recall, the way he found another gear once Atzeni let the reign out he was gone and not stopping.
BELARDO : 2pts each way (14/1 Taken) – Generally 10/1 across the board now.
Darren P Goodbody
Nakeeta – Win (Res :(Arch Villan)
Moscato – Each Way (Res : No Heretic)Darren P Goodbody
Can I ask Buckstay finished 5th in the 5pm you were not resulting to the 5th place as many bookies were paying on the top 5
Thanks
Darren P Goodbody
Well done Bob, great tipping all all round for the week by so many. Been a pleasure being s guest blogger this week, and thanks for running the competition
Darren P Goodbody
14:30 – Devil’s Bridge
15:05 – Pacify
15:40 – Almodover
16:20 – Twilight Son (***NAP***)
17:00 – Brando + Buckstay
17:35 – Magic Circle (**NB**)Darren P Goodbody
14:30 – Grizzel
15:05 – Muntahaa
15:40 – Quiet Reflection (***NAP***)
16:20 – Nemoralia (**NB**)
17:00 – Rare Rhythm
17:35 – Twilight Payment + Harbour LawDarren P Goodbody
The Commonwealth Cup i have managed to get some luck and bag the 11/4 on Quiet Reflection now in as short as 2/1. She is my third only bet of the week and hoping she bags this for trainer Karl Burke and pay for my holiday next month. She has impressed me ever since beating Jimmy Two Times who recently franked that form by winning the Listed Prix Marchand D’Or at Deauville. Her Sandy Lane Stakes win was more impressive and really made me stand up that day in ore of her ability beating last years Coventry Stakes winner Buratino and Pavilion Stakes winner Gifted Master. La Rioja as Steve mentioned was back in fifth that day, but she never got her ground that day and has to be feared if running up to her Dick Poole win at Salisbury last September
French raider Cheikeljack has to be feared to all and looks a solid each way chance. She beat the Jersey Stakes winner Ribchester comfortably in the Prix Djebel at Maison’s last month on heavy ground, she is value around 12/1. But I am with Burke’s runner all the way here, i think she is the real deal.
QUIET REFLECTION
Good Luck
Darren P Goodbody
Afternoon guys
Hope your all having a profitable week so far, been some impressive displays so far, Lady Aurelia a serious filly for Wesley Ward, also great to see Adam Kirby get recognition as not just an all weather jockey this week, great to hear his wife had a baby and all well. Persuasive impressed me as did Profitable who has got better and better with every run.
The Norfolk Stakes i tend to not get too involved, despite my interest being around juveniles. Global Applause has the pedigree being sired by mud lark Mayson, the dam Crown won both of her runs on good to firm on turf and the dam-sire Royal Applause won the Haydock Sprint Cup on good to soft. it was the right analyses that someone said the ground will be too soft for him this afternoon, but if he emulates his sires ability on the surface he should be on the premises.
Again i have to agree with the above poster on Silver Line, this horse set a quick time of sub sixty second on debut and even though this ground very soft it is still going to take a 60-61 second standard to land the race. Over the past three renewals all have run sub minute, on soft ground 60-61 average. So if we can find something in the field that has run up to that 60+ standard on this ground then we have the winner, oh if only that easy. I do feel it is going to benefit middle to high in this, so from stall 6 to 10 looks reasonable to look, Global has bagged stall 4 and my worry is he might not get the pace he wants, but someone mentioned Legendary Lunch who has grabbed barrier 10, and being a winner over 6f on ground that was similar to today, he grounded out the win that day and dropping back to 5f and if he scoots for home early he just might catch these out.
Peace Envoy was beaten on his sole run on soft ground behind King Electric who franked that form again at Navan, King Electric performed better on the quicker ground, so we could see Peace Envoy run a solid race, but both of the sires wins have come on good – good to firm ground so this ground has to be a concern. Red Lodge has been drifting all morning and will tackle this ground for the first time, but with Lady Aurelia already showing blistering pace and Red Lodge smashing a sub 56 second 5f but on good to firm, you would like to think she could scare the life’s out of these if she gets on the front end, with this ground she still has a few seconds in hand over her rivals which the end result could reflect in 2-3 lengths.
I will be with Global Applause with the inform Frankie on board, the pace will be quick with the likes of Silver Line and Red Lodge in the race, but i am hoping Frankie uses his loaf and waits on Global, pick them up late on.
GLOBAL APPLAUSE :2pt Win @ 5/2 (BOG)
Good Luck
Darren P Goodbody
Just watched Red Lodge this filly blitzed a sub 52 sec over 4.5 and a sub 56 over 5 that is quick
Darren P Goodbody
14:30 – Global Applause (***NAP***)
15:05 – Abdon
15.40 – Chicadoro
16:20 – Scotland
17:00 – Chief Whip + Defrocked
17:35 – Shraaoh (**NB**)Good Luck
Darren P Goodbody
14:30 – Global Applause (2pt Wn)
15:40 – Chicadoro (1pt ew)
16:20 – Scotland (1pt ew)Darren P Goodbody
14:30 Ribchester
15:05 Kachess
15:40 Lucida
16:20 My Dream Boat
17:00 Librisa Breeze (***NAP***) + Instant Attraction
17:35 Persuasive (**NB**)Darren P Goodbody
14:30 : Endless Drama
15:05 : Midieval (ew)
15.40 : Mecca’s Angel (**NAP**) (Jungle Cat)
16:20 : Awtaad (**NB**)
17:00 : Jennies Jewel
17:35 : TomilyDarren P Goodbody
SATURDAY 28th MAY 2016
14.50 CHESTER
BETWAY HANDICAP 7f 122y
There is a horse in this race that I personally feel is Listed to Group 3 level, even though William Haggas’s has two entered in the race being Valley of Fire and PREDOMINANCE the latter I feel should be exploiting it’s current mark of 96. Now if we take a look at his run in the Victoria Cup, now I definitely would not say the draw beat him as their looked like no bias with the first four home being from 29,6,2,21.
The RP’s analyses of his run that day, ‘Steadied start, held up towards rear, ridden 2 out, switched right over 1f out, never able to challenge‘ and to be fair to the RP they nailed it on how the horse ran, but I have gone back several times and had a look at the run. about three furlongs out the horse was pulling Pat Cosgrave’s arms out of his sockets, when he was given the persuader by Pat, he was quickening, but this is where the race was lost, when Pat quickly switched him out to the right, he lost about three lengths doing so, all momentum gone as was the race.
Now he only lost by seven lengths, take away the three lengths he lost in switching, and a length at least when no room at three out we would of seen him getting a lot closer than what his defeat was. Chester is a tight enough track and he looks to have the speed, but even though he has bagged the rail (stall 1), will they keep the same tactics and hold him off the pace, that is my worry, but if Pat can have him midfield and handy turning for home, I would prefer to see him brought down the centre on the home stretch and not the rails, as he is far better than this field.
PREDOMINANCE : 3pt Win @ 5/1 (BOG)
Darren P Goodbody
With last years winner Faugheen now out due to injury it was good to see a few on-line bookmakers refunding bets on the horse, the market is now really hotting up now we know that some have this preference on their calendar. The mare ‘Annie Power‘ will take her chance here and after she notched up her second seasonal win when landing the Mares Hurdle at Punchestown a couple of weeks ago, the connections and trainer Willie Mullins have given her a crack at this. I am not going to look into her bookie saving fall in last years Mares Hurdle as her only defeat, even though on paper it goes down as one, my opinion she has only lost once when beaten by More or That in the World Hurdle.
Many will have her in multiples again, will she be vulnerable over two miles her record is 4-4 over the index if we do not include her three wins around the bumper sphere. her Cheltenham form shows 12F and only Ruby will know what happened last year when she came to grief when a street ahead in the Mares Hurdle to come down at the last. Recently Ruby has had a torrid time of it falling at the last when having the race in the bag, is he human after all. The thing is can we take her on what should be quick ground which she has raced on twice and is 1-2, I actually feel she is far too short at 2/1 for this and there have been more interesting market moves for the likes of ‘Identity Thief‘ who I got at 16s back in New Year. He is currently trading at second favourite for this race at 9/2, he had to deal with his first defeat this season when beaten by Nicholas Canyon in the Grade 1 Ryanair Hurdle at Punchestown before the turn of the new year going behind by two lengths. He ran the 2/5f that day all the way to the line on bottomless ground which did not really play to his strengths.
If getting quicker ground on the day the son of Kayf Tara could definitely have a say in this. Already a Grade 1 winner this season when taking the Fighting Fifth by a neck when beating Top Notch Tonto, he made a few errors that day when his jumping let him down, if he gets it right on the day I would like to see Davy Russell ride him over Bryan Cooper, but I doubt that will happen. Since the word has been put out that ‘MY TENT OR YOURS‘ will make his long awaited return after a year off has moved the market significantly and has been backed from 25s into 6s. He has finished runner up on both occasions at the festival in the Supreme and finished behind Jezki in 2014 renewal of this race just failing after rallying in the closing stages. The question is how fit have Seven Barrows got him to come into such a prestigeous race after a long lay off, if he is back to his best he can go close and pull one of the best training performances for years to come.
‘The New One‘ i just cannot have in this race, it is getting a bit long in the tooth now with coming into his fifth festival his form is not as good as it reads. The double Neptune festival winner has been beaten in this race twice behind the likes of Jezki and last years Faugheen and I realy can’t see it getting any better. 16/1 into 6/1 probably flatters the horse really and I know there will be TNO society’s out there or the one’s that have change their usenames on forums to the horse swearing blind this is his year, sorry but stay off the caffeine.
After defeating Identity Thief in the Ryanair ‘Nicholas Canyon‘ was well put in his place by Faugheen in the Irish equivalent to twenty eight lengths, with no Faugheen to worry about this time around and with also Artic Fire out of the festival you would to thnk really he is a safe each way option for this race. His still fairly new to Cheltenham with a good third last year behind Windsor Park in the Neptune and the drop back to two mile has seemed to of sharpen him up, can he win a race of this magnitude, we can never say never and is just one of a strong hand Mullin’s has coming into the race who still has an entry in the World Hurdle, now there would be a surprising angle.
MY TENT OR YOURS : 2pts Each Way @ 8/1 (PaddyPower)
Darren P Goodbody
