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3 15 Wincanton
VINNIE THE HODDIE win 7/1
The Nicholls fav may win but this has a big chance today and at the prices is worth a go. Should be no more than a 5/2 shot to win.
1 15 Ludlow
win BEAU DU BRIZAIS 7/2
3rd in this race from a 13lb lower mark last year. Much improved horse since however and should take the world of beating this year carrying top weight and a mark of 135. Stable on fire.
4 40 Kempton
win RAAJIN 14/1
win BEAUTY CHOICE 33/12 full strength win bets as the team once again viciously attack the short priced fav from Charlie ‘Sick Note’ Appleby.
If you arent making money from blindly laying these short priced Appleby runners at the moment then shame on you. This thread isnt about lays though its about winners.
The superb 7/10 form of Charlie ‘Sick Note’ Appleby continues with his only runner of the day SECRET VICTORY backed into EVS fav from 3/1 this morning. First horse beaten comes home 4th.
Is that 16 consecutive Appleby favs beaten? Absolutely unheard of for this operation.
Its a shame for Pinatubo but it is as it is. The team wont hesitate to take advantage.
Gosden 2yos often need their 1st run. BUWARDY ran in a red hot Newmarket race on debut won by Aiden O’Briens Dewhurst/Futurity Stakes entry NEW WORLD TAPESTRY.
BUWARDY missed the break and ran as green as grass in last for most of the race. He will improve massively for that experience and is a big player here. His sire INVINCIBLE SPIRIT was also beat on 2yo debut but really stepped up and won on his 2nd run. His mother was a group 1 winner as a 2yo in NZ. Gosden won this race in 2017 with a 2yo on his 2nd start who was 5th on debut.IMPERIAL SQUARE is bred to be a machine, SEA OF STARS crossed with a DUBAWI mare. The Stoute odds on fav and the Gosden winner in that race both had experience.
The jockey took it very easy once it was clear he had no answer to Gosdens and Stoutes. He would have been 3rd had the jockey made effort. Was only 11/4 to win that race.
Chelmsford will suit his prominent racing style better than Newcastle did and should be a lot wiser this time. Must have a decent chance here.
SEA THE STARS offspring are 4 wins from 8 different runners at Chrlmsford with 2yos.5 40 Chelmsford
win BUWARDY 8/1
win IMPERIAL SQUARE 18/12 full strength win bets as the team viciously attack the Charlie ‘Sick Note’ Appleby short priced and being backed favourite SECRET VICTORY.
3 35 Leicester
win SPANISH ARCHER 11/4
This 4 runner race looks like an open goal for Spanish Archer. Surprise if he can be beaten.
Pinatubo drifting, 2/5 from 1/3 and Ladbrokes dodging any money on Wichita at 3/1.
Charlie must be highly concerned what to do. Does he run his superstar at a time when his horses are clearly wrong or risk running him and getting beat.
If Appleby stable doesnt show any signs of life by thursday then I would expect he may not risk him.
Appleby has just one runner today the short priced fav in the 5 40 chelmsford.PINATUBO IM TOLD IS UNBEATABLE
BUT IF HE TURNS UP HE IS EATABLE
A HORSE HAS BEEN BORN WHO CAN BEAT YA
HIS NAME IS WONDERFUL WICHITAHas progressed massively in all 3 races and must have a serious chance of winning.
Pinatubo may have a big issue coming from the Appleby stable and is unlikely to show his best.WICHITA may be even better than PINATUBO. On Pinatubos 3rd start he recorded an rpr of 108 compared to Wichitas 117.
With WICHITA being open to more improvement than PINATUBO its possible that he could improve past him this time and WICHITA is already proven over Dewhurst CD.
Wichitas mother won on soft ground and that shouldnt be an issue for him.
WICHITA looks guaranteed to show his lifetime best and PINATUBO looks almost guaranteed not to show his best due to the trainers awful form and potential virus in yard.
Pinatubo may not even turn up. Could end up an open goal for WICHITA THE WONDER HORSE
Aiden O’Brien circling like a shark around Poorly Pinatubo.
As others run away from Pinatubo AIDEN runs directly towards him as they supplement WICHITA at a huge cost. Aiden smells blood.
Huge statement of intent from The Godfather O’Brien.
Timeform – An organisation started by mugs, they only employ mugs and they only sell there flawed product to even bigger mugs.
Excuse me if I pay no attention to these clowns.
The fav is a mare who has to carry 12 stone 6 in a hcap, she is racing from a mark 10lb above her best hurdles winning mark and needs to prove she can jump a fence. She is a vulnerable looking short priced fav.
STRICTLY DANCER needs further than this and wont have the pace to get involved when they quicken for home on his 1st run back.
FLIGHT TO MILAN wants soft ground and would prefer more of a galloping track.
RIZZARDO needs further and looks an unlikely winner on his chase hcap debut.
WENSCLAULAS is likely to need the run.
SONG OF THE SKY is suited by this trip. She was 3rd over CD on chase debut. She jumped slowly at times and mafe a few minor errors but her jumping warmed up through the race and she is likely to be a lot better for that experience this time jumping wise. She gets to race from a 1lb lower mark.
She should be ridden more prominently this time and should be hard to beat today for a trainer who is 3 wins from 6 at the track with his chasers. No mistake from the Charlie Mann team this time.Wadgeist was clearly trained to peak in the Arc. When Enable was in full power through the season, WALDGEIST was being bought along slowly slowly with Fabre happy to view his arc day oppent from behind. Fabre has won 8 arcs and is the master, he produced a masterclass training performance. Since his 4th last year in the arc the horse has been canpaigned with one day in mind only.
Fabre outfoxed Gosden.
Waldgeist won going away.
The best horse won.
Frankie was nervous and his horse could sense it, the french jockey was ice cool and rode a blinder.
The winning trainer was the smartest, the winning jockey rode the better race and the winning horse thoroughly deserved it.
They must’ve gone too fast too early, 8 of the 12 runners ran way under form , only the first 4 put up decent RPRs.
Not sure it was necessarily a bad ride from Donnocha, Magical went off 19/1 in the end according to Racing post. Not sure if that’s true? But if it is, that’s suggesting she wasn’t right. She went out like a light.
Magical went out like a horse who was having her 8th run in group company in 5 1/2 months in the hardest race of them all over 1m 4f on very soft ground. It should come as no surprise she wasnt at her best. Thats what happens when you over race horses and she has been over raced regardless of how tough she is.
Waldgesit is not being given the credit he deserves. The best horse won the race simple as that.
Why would you want to end Enable’s career in shame Potato? She has been an asset to racing throughout her career and has nothing more prove
I think your getting confused. I said Benbatl would end her career in shame if they met over 10f at Ascot which they wont. Thats my racing opinion whats being an asset to racing got to do with anything.
Enable was an amazing mare who was lucky to win 2 arcs. The first one she deserved and was brilliant, the 2nd one she got lucky and the 3rd one justice was served amd she got beat by a better horse. Just because the media refuse to say it as it is doesnt mean I follow suit.I thought she ran a cracker to get 2nd in her 3rd arc. Should be credited with a great performance for getting 2nd but it is not fair or right that people say she was unlucky as that is disrespecting the rightful champion and easy winner Waldgeist.
