Forum Replies Created
- Posts
Thanks for the replies. We had a pleasant day even though it drizzled rain on and off through the afternoon.<br>Its certainly picturesque and I can imagine its Glorious at the end of July. Its a surprisingly compact enclosure area and I’m guessing the Festival is all-ticket because there seems a definite limit to the number you could pack in there. The approach to it is badly signposted, even more so close to the racecourse, and after we had been refused entry to the Richmond Enclosure we had quite a trek around to where we were acceptable.
To be honest I’m surprised its still topping David Ashforth’s Racecourse Tour table in the Racing Post. Nowhere ‘better’ than that? Sandown? Cheltenham?
Cheers guys, that all sounds very good…
And what about more specifically Saturday’s card ie. the horses running and which ones we might make money backing! ;)
Quote: from stevedvg on 1:58 pm on Mar. 27, 2006[br]What sort of pish are they going to make up to take it to 30?
<br>Maybe they’ll go back to the days of dividing races and having two versions of the same race. Would make sense with the handicaps with so many getting balloted out this year. And it would be great news for Trends followers!
The Galway Races is a week. The Puchestown Festival is five days. And around the world (cf. Deaville, Melbourne et al) the focus is on short seasons of racing at a track. I reckon its inevitable the Cheltenham Festival will go to 5 days before too long.
Quote: from threenaps on 9:04 am on Mar. 26, 2006[br]At what point would online and high street bookmakers<br>close your accounts or refuse to do business with you?<br>
<br>With most of the big firms you can actually stay under the radar even as a winner as long as you dont fall into one of such categories as arbing, following ‘warm’ money (certain tipping lines, stables etc), each-way theft etc. They seem to clamp down on this type of trade before they go after winners per se.
You hardly have to be a devotee of ‘Trends’ to be considering a horse’s last time out performance. If a horse has finished 1st or 2nd lto most ‘form students’ will notice. And as cormack points out there is unlikely to be any ‘value’ attached to it. I am a devotee of the historical/statistical angle but I would be more interested in something a little less obvious than that.
Flat: Irish Champion Stakes Day at Leopardstown<br>[br]Jumps: Grand National Day at Aintree
Quote: from hagger on 1:16 pm on Sep. 27, 2005[br]does that actually entail any study of form or just looking at routes taken by previous winners of the same event?
<br>This has to be biggest cliche and untruth re. the so-called trends approach to analysing races ie. it is lazy, less rigorous, a shortcut etc.<br>Remember people who favour this method have to analyse past results to come up with the ‘trends’ to begin with. And then every runner in the race has to be inspected in the light of these findings.
Hi guys,
Can anyone recommend any sources either in books or on the web that offer a good introduction to the basics for someone looking to compile their own time ratings?
cheers
Quote: from Wallace on 2:47 pm on May 9, 2005[br]I have built a method of working using about 50 variables and the end result is a probability rating based on these based to a 100% book.<br>
<br>Really, 50? Name them…
Daylight,<br>It sounds too good to be true that you would be still offering 5% shares at the same cost after todays run.
Whats the deal with this? Who actually owns Celeritas?
(Edited by nore at 10:42 pm on April 14, 2005)
Sell him now guys – ye’d make about 1000% on investment! Someone connected with these syndicates is a ‘good judge’ or a lucky type – thats a third winner from few horses. Congrats to all – plenty to look forward to.
Oh well, I live and learn… It seems the actual result of the Tingle Creek is secondary to ratings and Azertyuiop is really a better horse than Moscow Flyer and just needs suitable conditions to show it… <br>[br]All of you Azertyuiop apologists might want to look closely at it again or just repeatedly read the formbook assessment, ‘no impression on winner’, to clear the fog in your heads and come to terms with reality.<br>[br]Roll on March, bring it on again so we can see it once again, irrespective of notional ratings, Moscow Flyer is better, stronger, faster than Azertyuiop. <br>
Lets get this straight, the argument now is that if Azertyuiop had run the race he ran at Exeter he would have won at Sandown? Ridiculous.<br>If you need to protect the integrity of your precious ratings why don’t you go back and downgrade your assessment of Exeter? Because you can stand on your head and look at it any way you want but Moscow Flyer is a better horse than Azertyuiop and any ratings that don’t reflect this are nonsense.
Fair play, tdk, theres always March – another four months might erode the difference between them!
