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Monoski represents value at 12s, in my opinion, and Fort Myers shouldn’t be twice the price of Guildsman
Current weather forecast is low 20s, dry first couple of days with possible light showers Thursday, warmer weekend.
Hendo with some big decisions to make with Altior this season
I’ll watch that Aintree performance again, as I’ve only seen it once.
It’ll be interesting to see his first assignment this season
You can’t blame the mishap this year on Kemboy
Topofthegame was given a mediocre ride at Aintree and had to recover from a greater test for a novice at Cheltenham ( longer trip on softer ground in a tougher race )
This is just a hunch but I think Lostintranslation might have an indifferent second season.
Kemboy – likeliest winner; seemed to realise how easy it was in the latter half of the season and I think he’ll go unbeaten next time.
Santini – I need to see a convincing Grade 1 victory before I could consider him for this; obviously talented but yet to prove himself mentally
Topofthegame – might be good enough for the King George but I can’t see him beating the best of the Irish in the Spring.
Al Boum Photo – might win again and stamina is his strongpoint but still error prone.
Delta Work – I think Topofthegame beat him fair and square at Cheltenham and I think DW might be better on more conventional galloping tracks as a chaser
My initial reaction to that Stylehunter run is that he didn’t break well but then wanted to lead, lost that battle and didn’t pick up later.
I was fairly keen on him for this last year and I’d be interested to see Frankie onboard from the front.
Juan Elcano :
That was some debut. Greener than grass but once that penny dropped…
Ryan has a lovely crop of juveniles.
Maybe he’s an unlikely runner, Jack.
There are possibly more suitable targets later in the calendar
Yeah – I like the Coventry as a race but it’s roll of honour possibly lacks quality of a race with such hype / prestige.
I respect Simon but I think his Derby summary is conflated with an observation he made about Anapurna and Pink Dagwood in the Oaks – that the latter made her move too early, expended too much energy at a crucial stage of the race and that’s why she lost. However, both Ryan Moore and Frankie, and also Fallon, have kicked for home at a similar stage and won Epsom Clssics.
It’s an interesting article but I’m not taking it as gospel.
Also, most of those who raced prominently in the Derby were inferior horses or non-stayers. Put North Light in that field and he races where Telecaster was and yet wins.
I was impressed with Repartee at York – strong at the finish, unfazed by a big crowd. Could actually be mistaken for a 3yr old and I’m not sure why he’s almost twice the price of Threat.
Temple Of Heaven would be another whose price looks fat.
I read the article, GT. I didn’t just look at the times.
The pace was steady. The leaders have gone off quicker in some Derbys – 2017 the leader was two seconds quicker over the first 5f but Wings Of Eagles first 5f and overall winning time was almost identical to that of AVD.
I’m sticking with a steady gallop and that it didn’t suit Telecaster on the day.
The first 1.1 furlong in 18 seconds.
From the mile to the 7 in about 12.5 seconds
From 3 to 2 in 10.9 seconds
I’ve got the placed horses, in particular AVD, as running a steady race uphill ( as you’d expect ) prior to quickening down the hill ( also to be expected )
A few kicked early and the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th were closer to last than first when they turned in.
The winner’s pace wasn’t the same throughout and the sectionals posted in that article confirm as much.