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Stilvi, I read Mullins but he lost all credibility with Vautour, with me, at least. And for all his apparent certainty yesterday, he still wouldn’t say – he runs in the Gold Cup, full stop.
Exactly. Djakadam could be absolutely motoring at home the week before Cheltenham and Mullins could come out and say ‘Djakadam did some disappointing work yesterday’ and then he is dropped into Ryanair. They will say what they want, do what they want and lie when they want. The whole Vautour saga last year proved that.
I cannot look past One For Arthur @ 10/1.
Straight forecast as well on HDO and OFA
Who’s to say Altior won’t turn out to be the best horse NJH has ever trained? His Supreme-winning RPR and Topspeed were higher than Douvan’s. He’s the same age. He is smart in that his jumping (I had doubts about it after his first run) has come on, if you’ll pardon the pun, in leaps and bounds.
I’d say he’ll end up a better jumper of a fence than Douvan who’s long legs are great at launching him, but if he hits one, he’ll never get them back under him in time.
If it’s a smallish field, I think connections will be greatly tempted, even with Douvan in there. NRNB betting puts Altior in at 3/1, far from a hopeless case.
Altior could turn out to be the best horse NJH has ever trained, but he is not there yet despite being an incredibly exciting prospect. I can see why connections would be tempted to take on Douvan, but they must be aware that in all liklihood Douvan will go up in trip next year leaving the CC route open to Altior. I think they will follow the path Douvan took and go Arkle this year and CC next year. If I am wrong then we have one hell of a race to look forward to and a sea of upset AP punters!!!!
Altior now 20s from 55/60 on Betfair. I can see no compelling argument against running him here
Douvan, simple as that. We haven’t seen anything serve it up to Douvan and whilst I relish the thought of Altior v Douvan in the CC, why would Hendo go up against the best horse Willie Mullins has ever trained when he can win the Arkle this year.
Anyone know if Ar Mad will turn up here or go for the Ryan air? I think 8/1 W/O without DOUVAN is a fair price.
I think he will go for the Ryanair. He stayed on in the Tingle Creek like he wants further and has run over 2m5f before.
So a horse that bled last time out is going to break a strong RSA trend and win without a previous run that calendar year ?
You are correct! Don Poli did it at 6 years old – lets hope ADO can do as well.
Another Festival trend is horses winning having been PU on last run (the average was either 2/3 per Festival).
Topped up on Ballyboker Bridge at 33’s again today. That 8L beating of Cantlow last year impressed me and when you watch their latest rematch M Walsh had to work hard to put 2 lengths on Ballyboker Bridge who jumped really well. 33’s is big
Patrick Mullins said yesterday AP is ‘failing to spark’
Plenty time, I suppose, especially with Willie’s record of turning things around, but he must have almost a day by day schedule planned for the festival with a mark he wants each horse to hit in training. The longer it goes where that mark is missed, the tougher the task as the days run out.
Comments like that don’t set the alarm bells off but obviously not ideal. For all we know saying ‘AP is failing to spark’ might be an easier way to buy more times to try and get Faugheen right.
If they do follow last years prep with AP then they will need to get her to the mares hurdle in punchestown mid Feb – that is a month away so plenty of time for her to find that ‘spark’. If the race was next week then I would be very concerned but it’s not, so I’m not
If she is fit and well what would be the point of sending her down the Mares route? The CH is already looking weaker than when she won and Willie could send any one of VVM, Lets Dance, Limini or Augusta Kate to the mares races. She is a complete superstar.
L’Ami Serge
I agree, don’t fancy L’Ami Serge to place let alone win
Well, it seems more and more likely that Alpha des Obeaux does indeed run in the RSA Chase. Good news.
Get in if that’s true! Already looking to be worth 4 figures to me.
Been on it basically daily for the last month.
What makes you say this though?
I think I’ve just found the answer
Great news this!!! Zark will be buzzing. Have £70-£80 on at 20/1 – i’l be topping up every week till the fez now.
Well, it seems more and more likely that Alpha des Obeaux does indeed run in the RSA Chase. Good news.
What makes you say this? I am delighted if true, but keen to know what prompted it
Racecourse gallop for Traffic Fluide with the Game Spirit on 11th Feb the possible starting point
Cheers. I have traffic fluide in so many EW acca’s at 33’s in the CC
Absolutely no reason to suggest Annie wont make it. She has made the last 3 festivals so I don’t see why she’d miss this one. The question is over Faugheen and that will be answered in 2 weeks time.
Summed up perfectly.
