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Got my ante-post bet on Point Barrow.
Might have a saver on Dun Doire on the day, despite worries over the ground he’s drifting to a more attractive price.
It there was cut in the ground I’d be massive on the chances of last years winner.
Finally, will have a sneaky e.w bet on Homer Wells. Mullins didn’t miss the Irish National for nothing and 33/1 looks value.
Had two bets today, small stakes on Killaghy Castle and e.w on Dunbrody Millar – has paid for tomorrow’s bet!  Couldn’t understand a horse which had been placed twice over the fences, dropped markedly in the handicap and whom Bowen fancied for a big run in the national was 25/1.  From a personal point of view it was nice to act on the advice of others when suggesting its imperative to back the horse you fancy despite odds being high.
(Edited by Anzum at 6:12 pm on April 13, 2007)
After watching Joes Edge fade out of contention in last years National, I can’t believe he’s looking like starting favourite.
Granted the ground will suit plus he’s carrying less weight and in better form this year. Surely he doesn’t fit the profile of a National winner?
Just can’t fancy him myself.
If it wasn’t for Kauto, Exotic Dancer would be much heralded. Great performance. State of Play doesn’t look top class. Great run from My Will, just short of top class but handicapped to the hilt in handicaps.
I think in a five runner race in a probably less quickly run race than a championship race or competitive handicap, will mean exotic dancer won’t be as far off the pace as normal.
Agree with Our Vic. Just thoroughly annoys me! Especially when he romped home in the Charlie Hall.
I agree with Reet Hard, Exotic Dancer at around 2/1 is a really good bet. His run in the King George showed he’s capable of running around a track other than Cheltenham. Plus I don’t even think he was at his best , certainly jumping wise in the Gold Cup yet still came second. With doubts about the rest, he’s a cracking bet.
Although I’m pretty sure a 6 year old hasn’t won the race in the last 10 years, I really like Nine De Sivola. Has been crying out for this trip over fences, fell when in contention at Cheltenham and I reckon Murphy’s targeted this race. Has won on good ground so I don’t think it will be altogether inconvenienced and looks a value bet at around 14/1.
Not sure Juveigneur and Cloudy Lane want this trip judged on certain runs of theirs this season.
It’s certainly good value I agree. Rather back him than handicappers like Simon or Ossmoses, which are much shorter in the betting. Presume the entry for Punchestown may be precautionary in case he falls early in the National perhaps.
Very valid claims for Monkerhostin Dave, especially if the ground remains good. Like you, I cannot understand why he’s drifted; Hobbs is certainly aiming him and Zabenz at the race and maybe Parsons Legacy.
I guess he has the number one man on board! Despite Mccoy’s poor record in the race. Do you think Bewley’s Berry will be up there at the last? Can’t see it myself.
My current fancies are Point Barrow and Numbersixvalverde.
However, what do people think about L’Ami? He tends to be one-paced in his races, so will this trip on good ground bring out the best in him? In light of him being a market mover yesterday, I think L’Ami is one of the most interesting horses in the field.
Tanya has improved massively and tips some good winners; there’s a lot worse out there for sure.
Alice Plunkett annoys me, I don’t know what it is, but I can’t help it.
Francome is the best from a personal point of view.
Also Ray Cochrane is so cliche. Frequently hear:
– ‘hes a bonnie little horse’ – Even if the horse is a GIANT.
Glad you agree Aston, money for Point Barrow at Ladbrokes yesterday means it’s into 10’s now.
Hemmings will obviously run Hedgehunter and Idle Talk. Our Ben looks as if its been taken out judging by the latest forfeit stage.
Point Barrow and Numbersixvalverde my two against the field.
Point Barrow ticks all the right boxes. Has won an Irish National and a Grade A chase in Ireland under top weight. If he takes to the fences I can’t see him being out the top 4.
And the reigning champ Numbersixvalverde only carries 11 stone 3 to retain his crown; the way he won last year he must have every chance of being in the frame.
Also interested in Silver Birch who’s proven over the fences and looks reignited by a change of scenary. Could run a big race.
If Bother Na brushed up his jumping markedly, he’d have every chance. But I won’t be taking that risk!
In my opinion and I’m no specialist on racing at Lingfield, regardless of the lack of pace in the race, Egan continually got himself boxed in. Surely he could have switched the horse; indeed the lack of pace would have allowed him to do that without losing ground.
Simply, it was a poor ride. On the counter-side, Egan’s won some good races on horses I’ve backed. I just feel if I’d have backed Royal Jet, I would have been absolutely furious because as a punter you wouldn’t have received what you perceived to be a ‘run for your money’.
