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Nothing Gained 3

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips Nothing Gained 3

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 588 total)
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  • #1258489
    Jonibake
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    • Total Posts 4457

    Great pick with Hoof It VTC!!! Good luck today.

    "this perfect mix of poetry and destruction, this glory of rhythm, power and majesty: the undisputed champion of the world!!!"

    #1258491
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Thanks for that Joni, much appreciated :good: Might have used my good luck yesterday though lol

    #1258495
    darren83
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    • Total Posts 8450

    Any views on Market rasen

    PLAY IT ACE for Peter Bowen i follow this trainer at time of year always does well.And ARTHMINT only horse Dan Skelton sent down to Market Rasen today.

    #1258652
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Sorry for late reply Darren, down at my caravan in deepest Ayrshire, site wifi is down, and signal is terrible otherwise. I’ve got a bar of 4g just now, so making hay while the sun shines :bye:

    Left the Market Rasen action alone on Sunday, which is probably just as well, as looked at a couple, and they were stuffed.

    Got to the caravan on Sunday, and couldn’t watch any of the racing as signal was so poor. Probably just as well looking at the results, but looking at the race reports, looks as if old Colbert Station ran a blinder, that was great to read, and I’d love to get a win out of him, before he retires. The rest would appear to not deserve a mention, especially Mr Fiftyone :unsure:

    Took a wee bit of the gloss off the week those results on Sunday, but to come through Galway and Goodwood with a profit, was a big relief.

    Just wish I had done bigger bets, and wish my single on Boom The Groom had been the night before, but hey ho, if I’d won more, I’d probably hammered Mr Fiftyone on Sunday as he was a big fancy. I actually bet Hillbilly Boy at Chester on Sunday at 20’s (horrific aftertime I know, sorry), and I put more than half of those returns on Mr Fiftyone, and he’s my biggest loser of the season now. Dammit!!!

    #1258741
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8450

    Our pal Charles Byrnes got gamble landed yesterday mate you see it.Was in bookies in morning and saw MR SMITH being well supported but no idea he had 2 other horses as well.

    #1258828
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Totally missed it Darren, would have liked to have been involved lol.

    I see it’s been a big enough gamble to get it’s own thread on here as well.

    #1259339
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8450

    Any views on great st Wilfred mate think a race to much for Orions star i do

    #1259393
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    He’s won me a few quid this year Darren, but yeah, might just have to swerve him this weekend.

    I’ll stick with Louis The Pious, as you know I think he’s a winner in waiting, and 25’s ew is worth a risk. I also like his stablemate, Mujassam ew at 20’s.

    I’ve threw a few quid at Louis, but will wait till after final decs and accept the lower odds for Mujassam should he make it.

    #1259440
    darren83
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    • Total Posts 8450

    RELATED at 10/1 for me Bob has found form now and last 2races he ran stormers in both

    #1259518
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16033

    Yeah, no surprise to see him well supported Darren, looks to have a live chance.

    Best of luck with him mate :good:

    #1260704
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Heartbreak City the obvious one for me now, with Ivan Grozny not going. Unfortunately Ivan was a fair bet, so he won’t be as big a bet as usual.

    With all those extra places, Shrewd and Twisler might just surprise as well.

    York
    Ebor – Heartbreak City, The Twisler, Shrewd
    50p Combination Exactas & Trifectas

    -£253.20

    #1261025
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8450

    Bob how you been hope things going ok for you

    Any views on Ayr gold cup,Cambridgeshire and Cesarewitch am sure you give me a treble here mate :yes:

    So far i like TOOFI 25/1 for ayr gold cup not look at other 2races yet

    #1261034
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Good to see you back after your internet issues Darren. Yeah, been doing good, my old pal USA got me the place money last night at Ballinrobe at 25’s. After an horrific Ebor meeting last year, had a good time of it last week. Didn’t bet too much, but Heartbreak City and Shrewd saved my bacon in The Ebor, while The Wagon Wheel, and Oceane were decent winners for me. Highlight though was Theseme getting the 5th place for me at 100’s in The Nunthorpe, that was fab, and definite lowlight was, and for reasons I’m not quite sure of, I didn’t bet Boom The Groom, who I always follow. Called myself a few names when won at 11’s lol

    You know me too well mate, and my 3 favourite flat races, all within a month of each other, love it :yahoo: As for the treble, well I’m sure I’ll have one, and it’ll no doubt involve some of the following runners, piece of cake really haha.

    Yeah, Toofi easily made the shortlist for The Ayr Gold Cup, and I didn’t pass him over easily. In the end though went for Lulu The Zulu 40’s, and Final Venture 25’s.

    Not as strong on anything for The Cambridgeshire yet, though the 5 places with Bet365 for Spark Plug was too good to refuse, and I’ll have to have at least one of the Fahey pair, Dolphin Vista 50’s, & Spring Offensive 33’s on my side, again with the 5 places.

    I’m a lot more excited by The Cesarewitch though, it’s a fantastic set of entries, and though all those mentioned (amongst others I didn’t get round to mentioning) look serious serious contenders to me, I’ve went with All Set To Go 33’s 5 places, and Grumeti at the 50’s.

    #1261042
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8450

    Thank you for that Bob with those posts

    And gutted on the ebor i have IVAN GROZNY picks one day before race to go lame on at 25s and winner a horse me and you talk about after win at Galway gutted

    #1262267
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    Thoughts on The Kerry National………….

    A race I look forward to, and dread, in equal measure. I always look forward to it, as it’s the first real sign that the jumpers are returning, but my horrific record in it means that I don’t particularly enjoy trying to dig out the winner. I can safely say I’ve never had the winner.

    Admittedly it’s maybe not been a great source of “future stars” over the years, but the first and third in last years renewal, gave us the winners of The Aintree & Irish Nationals.

    Last years victor, Rogue Angel, followed up at Fairyhouse, and although he’s obviously up a few pounds for those successes, I wouldn’t be in a rush to write him off. He was always a horse who travelled well in his races, and I had some good days from him, betting in running. He seemed to just go off the boil a bit though, and going into last season, I reckoned his best days may be behind him. Couldn’t have been more wrong, and he looked a rejuvenated character, showing great attitude for both his big wins, and even allowing for that hike in the weights, he looks a leading, if obvious contender, as he starts off a campaign which will surely have Aintree in mind.

    He’s one of a number of other contenders from Gigginstown, namely……..

    Lord Scoundrel
    Killer Crow
    Devils Bride
    Wrath of Titans
    Tiger Roll
    Thunder and Roses
    Clarcam
    First Lieutenant
    Folsom Blue

    So difficult to pick the bones out of that lot, as difficult to know which ones are primed for it, and it’s not helped by the fact that Killer Crow, Devils Bride, and Wrath of Titans all hold entries for The Kerry Group Handicap Steeplechase at the same track on Sunday, and also with Tiger Roll turning out at Galway tonight. I want to put the lot of them on the back burner just now, certainly until running plans are firmed up, but even at this stage, and despite a few very top notch contenders in there, my attention is drawn to Wrath of Titans and Folsom Blue.

    Very much like Rogue Angel, both Wrath of Titans, and Folsom Blue seemed to have went off the boil for a spell, but they seem to have put that behind them, with both having ran very well in the big handicap chases on the final day of The Punchestown Festival. I bet Folsom a couple of times last year, including at Ayr, and he was in the process of running a big race, when he was brought down (by a horse who I had also bet, hoho how I laughed) and his third to Minella Foru in The Paddy Power was also very, very encouraging. He then followed this up with a fine fourth behind Rogue Angel at Fairyhouse. Maybe a bit “in and out”, but he’s got one of these big chases in him for sure, and he’s very much on the radar. Wrath caught the eye in a competitive handicap handicap hurdle at the Galway Festival, before getting a much needed win last time, again over hurdles. As mentioned, he showed well for a long way at The Punchestown Festival, and hopefully the anticipated sounder surface here, will see him put in a big show. Slight headache with that entry on Sunday, but I really hope he goes here. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t get in, and he’d be my #1 fancy at the moment, along with……….

    …..Mad Brian, who’s a horse I’ve always thought a lot of. I had him down as an Aintree contender a couple of years back, off the back of a big run in The Troytown. He had looked a staying chaser to keep on side, with firstly that Troytown run, followed by running with a lot of credit against very decent opposition in The Topaz at Leapordstown a few weeks later. He then took in a chase at Navan a few weeks later, and unseated at the last when 7, 8 lengths clear. Unfortunately, he then had a lengthy spell on the sidelines and didn’t return until January this year. He took a while to get going, with a couple of spins over hurdles, before lining up in The Midlands National. He simply cruised into contention that day, and looked nailed on a few out. The wheels came off though, and whether or not this was down to stamina issues, or he just wasn’t 100% after his layoff, I don’t know. He still shaped well though last week in a decent little race at Ballinrobe, which would have been short enough for him, and with that run at Uttoxeter in mind, then this trip could just be ideal, and I’m hoping he opens at a fair price.

    Might be the heart ruling the head here, but I can’t ignore Aranhil Chief either. A real favourite of mine, and has given me some very decent pay days over the last 3 summers, including at Roscommon in June, and he’s remained in good form since. Maybe just pushing it for win purposes, he’s up 7lbs since Roscommon, but for a horse who’s form normally tails off, then he still seems to be bearing up well, and very much like Mad Brian, I’m hoping he opens at a big price……I’ll certainly be on each way.

    Behind Aranhill at Roscommon was the JP owned Sir Abbot, and he makes up a relatively low turnout for the owner, with only Noble Emperor, and Elegant Statesmen joining him. I’d fancy Aranhill to be ahead of Sir Abbot again, and he confirmed the placings when finishing ahead of him again, next time they met at Limerick. Noble Emperor hasn’t been short of headlines, being in the news when Barry Geraghty got his ban in April, and as result hasn’t been seen since. He’s got a few shockers in the locker, but I just feel there’s bags of ability there, and he looks very much like JP’s number one, and targets like this would seem to be the natural progression for him. Elegant Statesmen wouldn’t be without a chance, but he’s another who holds an entry in that chase at the track on Sunday, so couldn’t be certain he’ll head here.

    After losing the Potts horses, Elegant Statesmen could give Henry De Bromhead a much needed boost, and he also gives Stellar Notion an entry. Something of a disappointment last year, he’s went the opposite way of the Potts horses, joining the yard a few months back from Paul Nicholls. He made a winning start for the yard over fences, before reverting to type next time. He has though been dropped a few pounds already for that setback, and with him looking attractively weighted, and with the potential to improve for the step up in trip, then no surprise to see him go well. Owner and trainer teamed up with Sadlers Risk for The Munster National last year, and Stellar could be a real dark horse.

    Despite his advancing years, former winner Your Busy is still more than capable, and I could see him showing some of the younger bucks a thing or two. Win or lose, I’d be confident he’ll show well for a long way.

    From the bigger yards, on top of the Gigginstown Runners, Willie Mullins may have Alelchi Inois & Ballycasey in contention. Alelchi has been in the form of his life this summer, a runway winner last time, with Clarcam a mile back, coming off the back of his game second in The Galway Plate. With another win to his name in June, then he looks rock solid, though there’s just the niggling thought that he pulled up in this last year off of 147, and will come here on 161. It may just be though that he’s a different animal this year. Ballycasey got back to winning ways last time, and after proving his stamina at Aintree, he too ran a blinder in The Galway Plate. Things will be harder here off of 155, but with a few other decent runs last season, not least at Cheltenham, then I don’t think that he’s completely weighted out of it.

    Gordon Elliot is another of the big names, who is top heavy with Gigginstown runners, but he has some other candidates as well. He’ll be hoping that the step up in trip will be the key to Shadow Catcher, who was another to put in a great performace in The Galway Plate, while Realt Mor, who’s only went up 1lb for an impressive win last time, really catches the eye, and he makes the shortlist. A 1lb rise is very fair.

    I don’t like to miss any Jessica Harrington runners, and I follow her runners closely. Her Sandymount Duke, a horse very much on the up over fences, gets an entry, and I’d be surprised if he isn’t near the head of the market. A very nice horse, who’s shown himself more than up for the likes of this, and he could have a big season ahead of him.

    There’s plenty more who haven’t got a mention, and I’ll give it another look at the next declaration stage. I wouldn’t be in a rush to rule out anything near the bottom, as 2 of the last 3 winners have been “Reserves”.

    The likes of Sandymount Duke, Realt Mor, and Noble Emperor look like major threats then, but no bets as yet……….well it would be hard to with no market formed :unsure:

    Struggling to see him win, but I’ll have a few quid each way on Aranhill Chief. For win purposes, I’d be very keen on Mad Brian, and despite the more illustrious Gigginstown entries, I’d be equally as keen on Wrath of Titans or Folsom Blue.

    I’ll know more once it’s priced up.

    #1262901
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5228

    Have you had a look at the 5.55 at the Curragh tomorrow? I know it’s the sort of nice easy you like.

    I quite like one (as much you can do in a race like this). It would be nice to make up for Withernsea running into one in today’s finale.

    #1262924
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 16033

    Hi Stilvi, yeah, just the type of race I like to “solve”. It’s a cracker, and good to see some 5 places about for it. Be interested to see whats drawn your eye in it, there’s certainly a few likely ones in there.

    My main fancy would be Hasanour, the top weight. Think he’s ran some solid races in defeat recently, and he got close enough for me behind Creggs Pipes at Galway to take him seriously here, and thought she acquitted herself very well yesterday at Gp1 Level. Hasanour also ran very well last time too, and at 5 places 14’s, the top weight isn’t enough to put me off.

    As I said, plenty of dangers, but also considering Dark Red and Clonard Street as well.

    I like a couple in the opener as well, Naggers, and Al Mohalhal, in another “tricky” little puzzle.

    Very very unlucky with Withernsea yesterday, clear winner at a price for you, if not for bumping into, as you say, a live one. I’d be interested in the pair of them next time.

    GL

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