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The one I like is Fury Road. Although i’m surprised he is supposedly staying over hurdles this season, 20-1 represents good value as he was unlucky not to win the Albert Bartlett last March and beat Thyme Hill fair and square, albeit by only a length.
McFabulous is another on the shortlist but sticking with Fury Road at 20s for now.
The market hasn’t missed him but the one I had in mind before the odds went up was Edwardstone. Alan King has a strong recent record in the race and Edwardstone looks tailor-made for a 2 mile, fast paced handicap. I’d be happy with 10/1 for him.
I backed Harambe last year
and i don’t think an 8lb rise rules him out of this but i do think Edwardstone is better treated and perhaps has more potential.Of the others, I really like Milkwood but he needs decent ground, although he does have the benefit of race fitness.
Top weight, Verdana Blue, taken out of this with a foot abscess. Don’t think she’d have liked the ground anyway or carrying top weight.
Dougie Costello now jocked up to ride Jukebox Jive so i’ve cashed out on Whirling Dervish in favour of JJ. We all know that happens now don’t we…
Early Jockey bookings would suggest that Whirling Dervish is Gavin Cromwell’s intended runner with Kieran O’Neill booked for the ride. That’s enough for me to place my first bet. Will be between Reshoun and Smart Champion for the second and final punt. Will wait and see how the ground is looking before choosing between the two on Thursday/Friday.
One of my favourite flat races (naturally as i’m a jumps man). Unusually it’s a race i have a good betting history in too.
First on my shortlist is Reshoun, whom my eye is always drawn to when the mud is flying which it surely will be come the weekend. May be too high in the weights now, especially considering there have been next to no winners carrying over 9 stone in recent years. 25/1
Smart Champion is next up. Thorough stayer who will appreciate the fast face and emphasis on stamina. Unproven on soft ground is the obvious negative. 20/1
Finally Jukebox Jive, a possible Irish raider for Gavin Cromwell. Good form last run on the flat, beating Buildmeupbuttercup over 2 miles in heavy ground. Finished around 3 lengths ahead of Dalton Highway that day who re-opposes but is 1lb worse off than when beaten that day. Gavin Cromwell has a few still entered at this stage so not a sure runner and lack of a recent run isn’t ideal either. 33/1
Agree with TheTinMan87 that it’s going to be a good old fashioned handicap with huge weight differential between the top and bottom horses. Unfortunately that is very much to the detriment of the consolation race which looks awful…
Cosmelli is the one i’m siding with. He has some good recent runs and i think it’s fair to say his best form comes at the track. He’s running off a feather weight (jockey won’t be able to have a bacon sandwich tomorrow morning that’s for sure) and Gay Kelleway’s comments on Twitter the other day were encouraging regarding the horse’s current welfare. 25/1 on the nose
Hi all, first post from an occasional reader.
Minella Indo looks overpriced for next years Gold Cup at 14/1. Unfortunately (for me at least) he idled up the hill and got caught by Champ just at the wrong time. He picked up again once he’d gone past for a clear 2nd. I think with more experience he will improve and i can’t seem Champ getting the better of him again.
Shiskin would appear a cert for the Arkle but couldn’t be taking 6/1 a year in advance.
and i don’t think an 8lb rise rules him out of this but i do think Edwardstone is better treated and perhaps has more potential.
