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Good racing at England and Ireland today. Here are my selections.
Recap:
2.40 Ponterfact
Heathyards Pride finishes last. Maybe he didn’t like Durcan who rode him for the first time. And usually he closes from farther back. It’s always a bit sad when a horse who finished 1st, 2nd or 3rd many races in a row and you already made some money with shows such a poor performance. However, he’ll be back next time.3.45 Leopardstown
Many Coulors makes an impressive move on the outside and wins at 5-1. That’s one of the reasons why I love Irish and English racing – a favorite who pays 5-1.4.15 Leopardstown Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3)
Nick’s Nikita has nothing in the tank for the finish and finishes 4th.4.30 Bath Listed Race
Medley was a nonrunner.It could get even worse next year. Our racetrack, Frank Stronach’s Magma Racino closes by the end of the season because they have such a big loss. Now we all hope that the old Austrian racecourse at Freudenau reopens next year. If not there will be no thoroughbred racing at all here.
For somebody who lives in a country with just ONE racetrack it’s hard to understand why English racefans complain. You live in horseracing paradise, friends!
Hamdan Al Maktoum has bought Per Incanto, a Street Cry son who has run down everything in Italy so far. Pays well. Good luck!
It’s good that Ireland has an AW track now, specially for people like me who prefer flat races also in winter.
Hi nitro
you touch on something useful there. (I have dipped in and out of "The Apprentice" tv show, and I listened to some follow up comments on the radio.) Well they went a bit like this.
"Successful business people, when presented with inadquate evidence, have a knack of usually making the right decision."
Serious horse racing study shares this challenge.
byefrom
carlisleHi carlisle
That’s the problem, making the right decision. How often do we play the wrong horse if we like more horses in a race?
I think the “space” you are talking about is something we can’t calculate, something that all numbers, statistics or ratings can’t tell us. And it’s the thing that seperates a good horse player form a bad one. Right?
Nitro, you’re bang on with this. It’s a third dimension. Just about any competent punter can pick 2/1 winners based on factors which are obvious and readily available. And there is little wrong with that, particularly in this largely predictable flat season.
But whether or not the recognition of space separates the good from the bad is another matter. It can certainly make a pundit look inspirational when it goes to plan, like the presenter on TVG in the States who napped Giacomo at 50/1 in the 2005 Kentucky Derby based on some ephemeral pace notion which you would struggle to find in the DRF charts.
Funny that you mention Giacomo, my wife had a win bet on him. She is a great horse player.
However, I think “space” is also inspiration, feeling and luck.Jambalaya who has won the Arlington Million on Saturday was purchased for $2500.
Don’t you just hate it when you think you’ve found a goodun and back it but don’t take the odds.. then the favourite pulls out and it goes from 3/1 to 11/8
It feels like i’ve lost already… mind you knowing the way i back horses i probably have
Sometimes it happens in the opposite way. I played Evening Time (Sunday 4.15 Curragh) at the early price of 9-4 on Saturday evening. On Sunday after two scratches she was about 6-4. Well, she didn’t win but that’s another story. However, sometimes you get better prices when you play before the nonrunners are declared.
I think the "space" you are talking about is something we can’t calculate, something that all numbers, statistics or ratings can’t tell us. And it’s the thing that seperates a good horse player form a bad one. Right?
That wasn’t very nice, Cheekster!
Colin
I was only saying what everyone else was thinking!
You can read our thoughts? Interesting
I still wonder how Spencer managed to become jockey champion two years ago.
Perhaps by riding more winners than the others?
LOL! It was ment as a joke Robnorth. I remember that many people (inclusive myself) have been complaining about some Spencer, but at the end of the season he was champion. And then we all said, well he can’t be so bad.
BTW one of the best American turf horses – the 9yo The Tin Man – will try to defend his title in the Arlington Million tomorrow. The European contenders are Doctor Dino, Pressing and Danak who has the best chance imo.
AP, they are very good points, but I think Ravenna in her current form would win races over there at shorter distances. It was just a hunch and as Irish mentions, she could coin it!
Nitro, point appreciated, but I mentioned Ravenna partly because she goes on both surfaces. That makes her of big time interest – like Eccentric, (who, I believe, won a nice race at Woodbine for Tanaka).
These are the true class horses who run well on every surface.
Good points though they do breed a number of turf horses – mostly for the sales that O’Byrne and Ferguson amongst others frequent.
If you have an 8-10f turf filly in the US you’ll be raking it in this September-November time
Yes, they bred some good turf horses as well, but most times the Breeders Cup turf races belong to Europe.
