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From a pure value perspective i’d have thought Grangeclare West is big at 33/1.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I like Will The Wise in this.
Cromwell was 1-110 in November. He’s already bounced back in December.
It was his first run vs seasoned chasers and he showed up well i thought. The race he was second in at Galway hasn’t worked out too badly, and i noticed Cromwell had the 2 winners the 2 years before, and both went on to win decent handicaps. Percival Legallois won that race + went on to win this last year.
Eoin Staples is a good claimer + with his 7pds off it should mean he’s favourably weighted if continuing to improve. The ground will be good, and i think with his style of racing this will suit more than at Navan.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I’d be in the Gaelic Warrior camp here. Shown himself very adaptable trip-wise and as Mike has said no problems right handed. It won’t be easy and F2F has proven he stays 3m while being arguably better over shorter his form behind GDC is still decent. Jango is the unknown but i’d fancy the WPM pair vs him.
GW.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!F2F confirmed for the KG…..
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I’d be leaving Fastorslow for the KG 100% after this lads, oh and even for Leopardstown…not ready to have a hard race…
As for F2F, Mike’s thinking was my thinking…Tramore maybe a possible, but even if he goes to his home, Leopardstown then it would still make sense for F2F to show up.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!He doesn’t have anything to find. Burdett Road, the horse he destroyed in the triumph was 2nd in the Champion Hurdle. That is literally the standard in the division. Nemean Lion nearly won the Fighting Fifth, lovely horse but thats not strong form. Lossie over 2M? Well her only relevant 2m form had her beating Burdett Road too but no more impressively than Golden Ace or Sir Gino did and she didnt even win the race.
I mean if you take everything very literal? However, that injury he’s had could result in any level of horse returning, we don’t know. Obviously connections are considering trying the G1 hurdle route so they must think he’s returning well. A bit surprised they don’t continue chasing though.
Yet to be truly convinced on Munny myself, especially to be an 8/1 shot. Guess it shows the ****-ness of the race on paper right now.
Lossiemouth to me would end up pretty much banker material here. She’s got a little to prove on her jumping sharpness over 2 right now, but i’d fancy her vs SG + TNL everyday of the week. They’d have to be right good horses to give her 7lb, especially Sir Gino with his injury.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!If anything he needs to change yards + have a different experience. Won’t happen and he shouldn’t be faced with another obstacle in his life.
Nico for me keeps things simple often and is a good jockey..
Anadam disappointed me here, bridle horse.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!For me outside of Spillane’s Tower (who hasn’t really progressed as much as his run might have suggested) I would argue that last year’s race was probaly just as good a renewal (dual Gold Cup winner GDC beaten just over 2L and Fastorslow beaten just over 6L by Fact To File) and more competitive in that more of the right horses were involved in the finish.
I’d be looking at it from the fact that Spillane’s Tower as you say ain’t proven to be so good. Added to the fact Galopin + Fastorslow tend to improve a fair bit for this most years. I mean Appreciate It split them in 23 as well.
For me GW went out and ran to his max on the day, which is a fair high level F2F couldn’t get him beat. 2 mile pace for a lot of it, faster than the novice chase. That to me compared with Grangeclare West/Galopin and others vying for the lead the year before probably indicates an early season staying chase. So i’d be more of the opinion that the front 2 on Sunday were at a higher level on the day this year.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!I’ve no big opinion on the race. I’ll probably chance a 2/3.
Pic Roc- Has always hinted at being a good horse…17/2 for the festival novices h’cap- didn’t run much of race but they obviously like his mark, and he’s lower now.
Lowry’s Bar- Connections tour mentioned that they would’ve liked to get a run, but didn’t due to the ground. It’s a negative, but he’s a big price. Has some decent form, and with the potential for more.
Blizzard Of Oz- finally getting it together over fences. Some very decent form. Given the trainer runs plenty especially in the GN- he’s got a decent s/r over the past two years…sort of obvious but yeah..trip will suit
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
Anzadam has loads to find in any case. A year on the sidelines and he’s only beat Beacons edge and Kala Conti. Still a good addition if he comes over and adds intrigue to the race.Hendo has done it again. I am now convinced that CH is back to his best… again and will trounce these new pretenders.
Correct he does, but he’s a 5yo. Even for one so lightly raced, i feel it’s weird him only being 5. He would never be a long term ante bet with his fitness record, but there looks like some engine there. Form needs improving but Conhill + TNL also have question marks.
For example, The New Lion won in March shaping like a stayer to me. He also only beat The Yellow Clay 3/4l. I don’t take Final Demand’s run literally. To me TYC is no star. Won a Lawlor’s win JDV ran no race + the ones in behind aren’t great.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!To be fair LD, i do get what you’re saying and i can see why opinion is divided on this one.
I guess the key thing is the market clearly knew + indicated this in advance.
I would say though if he was beaten 15l or so he would’ve been closer than last year. Last year’s race, for me wasn’t as good, and probably decent few pounds less.
His form as a novice vs GW for me is a good point, but GW was winning those at a canter, could’ve won a fair bit further. The other day GW and F2F went at it.
Cromwell is 1-71 in 14 days. That’s crazy bad. Yes this is schooling in public. However, it’s a horse far away from his ideal conditions and a stable out of form. Maybe they shouldn’t have ran who knows
They’ll see it as one-step in the right direction for their bigger days in March of course.Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!LD I get what your saying but everyman and his dog knew he wasn’t winning yesterday , I could understand it he was joint favourite but he was the price he was because he wasn’t fit , also while you can knock his form he was was an impressive winner in the GC and pissed up in Kim Muir the year before , he’s a Cheltenham spring horse
Jack totally agree you can put Skelton in the non trying camp , I’m sure in 30 years time he’ll be telling his grandkids how he twice pulled the will over the handicappers eyes with Langer Dan …
Agreed 100%
I don’t per say have any issue with a trainer bringing a horse to the races that is not fully wound up (i.e. fit but not match fit) but I would always expect them to be at least fit enough to run a respectable race and not be beaten 53L…..
53ls is of course not respectable, but the horse has never shown himself well really under 3ms, unless you go back to a maiden/novice hurdle. There is the added trainer/owner situation where they like to mask a bit of ability or a lot lol.
What is respectable for him? He’s clearly miles better over a marathon test. He’s coming back from a race where some horses never fully return from. I get it, he’s beaten 53l but the market hinted at it big time.It’s worth remembering the two miles ahead are MUCH more suited to the trip + are festival winners over 2m + 2m5.
I dread to think how far back Inothewayurthinkin would’ve been in an Arkle or Ryanair.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!GW has went 2mile pace there + still managed to battle back. Some performance. FTF ran great too.
To be fair to the other horses, yes they were out with the washing from the start, but most of them are 3m+ horses. Inothewayurthinkin etc are nowhere near their best at this trip, the market acknowledged that. Should they have run? Well, the owners won’t mind as they know the big days are yet to come.
And that’s the problem, HDLG. The likes of Mullins, Cromwell, McManus etc are so powerful and influential that they have become untouchable.
You missed out one of the worst offenders of recent times….Dan Skelton.
Where do you start Inothewayurthinkin if you are Cromwell?
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!“We tried him right handed in the KG last year but we wont do that again”
Stable tour from DS..
So run here then hell have a long rest probably..
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Can see the appeal of Will The Wise but 5-1 is short short.
The one that really stands out to me is Search For Glory for Elliot.
Won the race last twice with 20-1 shots.
Went off 9-2 for a hot Leop DRF handicap, off 3pd higher. This trip on hurdle form more to his liking.
Doesn’t mind a heavy slog.
Jockey. A very good jockey for chasing. Flying this season so far and is 7-22 this year for Elliot over fences. Rides Navan well, 7-38. There’s even more numbers showing how good he is.
At around 18, 20/1 for me, he is a bet.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!We are all guessing towards the fitness of these, apart from FAF.
I think Dinoblue is worth chancing here. Marine is out for his first run on ground he’s not at his best on. He’s only got 3pd on Dino on ratings + i reckon in these conditions he’ll be running a fair bit below that.
FAF, it sounds and looks like Elliot hasn’t a clue what to do with him.
Solness is out for his first run this year..could argue on a run or two of his he’s overpriced, but i suspect compared to last year wher he had run during the summer, he will need this.
Dinoblue 7/2, 10/3.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!
They’ll see it as one-step in the right direction for their bigger days in March of course.