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the standard of the favourites in the supreme right now is piss poor, chateau conti has stronger form than melon, not saying he will win, but at this stage it would not surprise me
Although ive heavily backed airlie beach for the mares novice, ive taken the 200s available for this, as these 2milers keep failing small chance she could end up here (very small) dont even know if shes entered
Hopeflly chateau conti can run well in his next outing and ill be happy
Cilaos emery losing makes it more likely chateau conti will turn up
Just cant see past the fact that wholestone has beaten him three times, ran a great race last week but if wholestone ran in it, personally i feel he would have finished ahead of west approach again
I dont think you need to, hills the only book you can take yorkhill on because hes not entered, and at 9/2 even if he was to be supplemented i dont think he would be muxh shorter than 9/2 considering hills are NRNB, i would wait it out
Poor showing from pravalaguna, dont think shattered love or asthuria will trouble airlie beach either, ricci saying lets dance will step up, aslong as she shows up airlie beach wins this, 3/1 nrnb, great price
Not sure if yanworth will run in this now, initially did it because of ukwimh, but with beavur dair and jezki making good a good reappearence, i still think yanworth will end up in the stayers and jezki here
Airlie beach wins this, im hoping for a big run from pravalaguna so she will drift slightly, 3/1 is a bargain on what shes done
My banker for the festival
Always better looking for value antepost betting, always better looking for mullins value in my opinion aswell, like i stated on another post
Melon is what 4/1 for the supreme he beat a horse by 30 lenghta giving it a stone
Chateau conti beat the same horse 45 lengths giving it the same weight
Both horses headed for the supreme ones 4/1 one is 16/1 (26s on exchange)
Thats where i like to look for value
Chateau conti still 16/1 NRNB, won in same fashion as melon, equally as impressive on Heavy, similar form on good ground
Great value, and owner sais he will be heading to the supremE
Entered in the deloitte, will piss it if he runs
I think he will go mob handed to he supreme, cilaos emery looks more suited to the supreme than the neptune
If invitation only would be cut then who would wylies runner be? He will have one
Riccis blog today didnt fill me with hope, a minor setback and he said “touch wood he will make it there fine” sketchy.
Anyone know anything about this “storm home” whos being backed? Cant aee any info on him
I dont get the market variation from west approach to wholestone, why is west approach so short when wholestone is clearly the better horse, 3 times hes been beaten soundly off wholestone, ruby gave him a top ride of course, but weve known the stayers division has looked extremely shaky, aside from UKWIMH ballyoptic has been arguably “the second best” stayer this year and he isnt a top class horse, cole harden was probably flattered by his finishing position in the race
so why would west approach turn the tables on wholestone? Hes been beaten twice over c&d on varying ground
The more i look at this i think if wholestone turns up hes the one to beat
10’s on nrnb for whisper seems generous beuvur dair not running hasnt really hit the betting het, once it does whisper will be what 5s?
Surprised by this, shows there not so confident on yanworth aswell i feel, godsend for yorkhill jlt backers, almost definitey confirms he runs here (aslong as faugheen remains on target)
I see it coming now, maybe min wont make it for either??, yorkhill shifting is becoming more likely now, still if faugheen makes it i cant see him going CH…. didnt picture the scenario of neither AP or faugheen not making it, piss poor race (quality wise) without them, everyone else including yorkhill are miles behind his abillity (in my small opinion)
