Supreme novices hurdle 2017

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  • #1267791
    darren83
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5567

    JENKINS 25/1

    Put him up for this race in my jumps thread at DLAP thread last month and think when he see hurdle for first time he improve even more.Think he is smart horse

    #1267816
    charlie87charlie87
    Participant
    • Total Posts 792

    JENKINS 25/1

    Put him up for this race in my jumps thread at DLAP thread last month and think when he see hurdle for first time he improve even more.Think he is smart horse

    Was listening to a RP jump season preview earlier (on Youtube) and they were saying that the horse on everyones lips in the Henderson yeard is Jenkins.

    #1267834
    KingSprinterSacreKingSprinterSacre
    Participant
    • Total Posts 411

    added Jenkins myself. took the best priced 20s on offer.

    #1267848
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 16089

    Good luck guys, got Jenkins at 20’s and 25’s myself as well.

    Don’t usually get involved too heavily in The Novice Hurdles Ante-Post, but was determined to keep this guy on side after Punchestown, and had a few quid on a couple of months back. Only his short price stopped me from betting him at Punchestown, I was really keen on him after that outstanding Newbury run, and despite the reverse, I feel you can put a line through that race, and happy to have him on side.

    As I said, don’t like getting involved with The Novice Hurdlers, but this season could be different. Already mentioned Battleford plenty of times on here this season and last (and a couple of times tonight on other threads lol), and only confusion over his final target is stopping me having a decent bet on him, though he has made a few multis for this and The Neptune at 20’s.

    The other one I like is Castello Sforza, and have had a few quid on at 25’s.

    #1270380
    CharlesOlneyCharlesOlney
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2050

    Koshari 20/1 for the ever powerful Mullins-Ricci partnership.

    A winner in France in 2015, he was obviously well thought of by Mullins to be chucked in a decent race for his stable debut when out-battling a decent yardstick in Bello Conti after traveling smoothly throughout at Punchestown in April.

    I feel at the odds, he’s worth a speculative punt as if he does make it to Cheltenham in March he could start a short-priced favourite. I know Senewalk is perceived as Mullins’ main hope but I don’t see value in a 10/1 shot for the Festival when I haven’t even seen them jump a flight.

    #1271004
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 445

    Charles I’m afraid you’ve done your dough. As koshari is not a novice . Plenty in the market who are not novices so be careful.

    #1271005
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 445

    Koshari
    Bonbon au miel
    Muthaza (rip)
    Karalee

    Just of the ones in the mullins yard won’t be running in any novice races.

    #1271006
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 445

    And baupaume and land and hope of glory are 2 juveniles in the fox hunters market.

    Avant tout, bally casey and cause of causes also in the Albert bartlett

    Balthazar king retired in the cross country.

    After skimming through i’m sure there’s more ineligible horses in the markets.

    #1271300
    Ben_BernankeBen_Bernanke
    Participant
    • Total Posts 638

    I know Senewalk is perceived as Mullins’ main hope but I don’t see value in a 10/1 shot for the Festival when I haven’t even seen them jump a flight.

    10/1 will seem awful big when he’s 6/4 on the day ;-)

    #1273298
    botchy1botchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3222

    I know Senewalk is perceived as Mullins’ main hope but I don’t see value in a 10/1 shot for the Festival when I haven’t even seen them jump a flight.

    10/1 will seem awful big when he’s 6/4 on the day ;-)

    Debut run today.

    #1273356
    thehorsesmouththehorsesmouth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5488

    Some of the prices seem to get more ridiculous every year. Last year Min was around 10/1 before his maiden hurdle if I remember correctly, this year we have Senewalk and Melon 10/1 and 16/1 and neither have jumped a hurdle in public.

    Senewalk makes his debut over 2m 4f today, you can take the view that distances don’t seem to matter to Mullins when it comes to maiden/novice hurdles but if I was holding a ticket for the Supreme at 10/1 I would have preferred to see him debut over 2m.

    A bit of perspective is needed here I feel: Vautour was 10/1 for the Supreme after winning a maiden hurdle and a Grade 3. Imo you’re taking a massive chance on many fronts by taking the 10/1 for the Supreme.

    Where has all the value gone, long time passing…

    #1273443
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4525

    No flowers for Senewalk today.

    Must admit for most of the race I was thinking what are they doing just gifting Walsh an easy lead. It happens so often with the hotpot going no great pace and then quickening away without having anything like a hard race. For once that scenario didn’t play out and the white flag was raised very quickly.

    It appears from Oddschecker that Melon has become the new flavour of the month.

    #1274083
    stilvi
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4525

    I think if you just looked at the bare result that would seem like an impressive start by Jenkins. Looking beyond that the Skelton horse clearly ran out of petrol and the second wants a greater stamina test. The biggest concern was his jumping which was scrappy at best. He will need to buck his ideas up considerably on a quicker surface.

    #1274087
    rocky91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 445

    I backed him for the neptune after that on the exchange at 28.0 down to 23.0 already on for the supreme at 25s but my immediate thought was a step up in trip is possible at some stage.
    Has some engine mind.

    #1274139
    raymo61raymo61
    Participant
    • Total Posts 4565

    I think Jenkins still has loads to learn but you are right Rocky he has some engine!!

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