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Precise meets all the relevant criteria again for this, stride is spot on for this track, same as bow echo, but similarly to him, theres reason to believe she could underperform here, temperature in march, missed a few days a few weeks ago, has to be a chance she underperforms here, ive a bit on at 5/2 but if i can get 11/4 ill go fairly heavy e/w, if she turns up she wins this though
Venetian sun comes out at 2.39 and is right around the figures for a sprinter, she would need this to be ran exactly to suit to have any chance, she has no chance.
Touleen fits the metrics and theres surely more to come, out to a very nice e/w price around 25/1
And ill add in evolutionist at 20/1
Id be slightly concerned about the fabre horse but shes too short imo
Happy enough with the win, slightly frustrating i had all my analaysis done and i slightly put myself off him after, but still a nice winner, thankfully buick got the godolphin horse home in 3rd
I was wrong regarding gstaad though, he stayed better than id have thought,
I think distant storm will be alot closer to bow echo nto once that stable form comes back, i dont think gstaad will though
The rest are poor, lacked obvious quality beforehand, has a potential star after it
Gstaad cant be winning this? Isnt bred for this, i think he’ll be leading and get done with 1/2 furlong to go,
Bow echo has been my selection all winter (i have some antepost on but nothing serious) but im slowly putting myself off him, he meets all the criteria, stamina fine, stride and frequency fine, but the formline im just not sure is that good? And i do not like that he hasnt given him a prep, thats fine from the big stables, but this “has” to be a negative today and as good as BL is, id much rather a more experienced jockey on, ill still have him as a good winner, but my thinking all winter was that id be piling into him today. It wont be a massive bet
Distant storm i think will win, nearly everything about him points to a massive run here (all the stats i mentioned above he comes out on top) and i cannot have him out the first 3, i think hes as solid an e/w bet you’ll see all season, there is one glowing negative though, the stable form, 1/18 in the last two weeks so again, ill have him as an e/w winner but i wont be piling in and im hoping for a fair drift before the off due to this
I think ill have a play on an outsider due to how strange i think the race is and its Avicenna at a big price, ill wait until the off as he’ll surely drift further, run behind oxagon i thought was a nice introduction
Really good betting race, really lacking obvious quality though
Im not sure why the media/tv keep talking about willie trailing gordon in this championship
this was done months ago, gordon would need to go into this about €1.5 mil ahead to have any hope, even then.I tried to get this priced up but no one would take it for willie to be over €1.5 million clear by the end of punchestown
The only reason Willie hasnt sent anything over is because he couldn’t win it here.
This is going to be an absolute walkover for mullins through the week, the onslaught of gambles on his 2/3 strings will be as fascinating as ever
Just stay in glasgow and get the train from glasgow central out to ayr , its about an hour on the train and about a 25 minute walk from the station
Should find the hotels cheap enough in town
And, by the way, had he pulled Final Demand up at Leopardstown as he should have done, it’s highly likely he’d have won the Brown Advisory.
what a load of bollocks 😂😂😂, on what basis would him pulling up then have made him find the extra he needed the last 100 yards 6-7weeks later, havent a clue do you?
In a match bet round cheltenham she’d be odds on against GA & BDA, her worst track is leopardstown, her best is cheltenham
TNL is howling
Shes a cert for this if confirmed now, an absolute cert, so yes, has to run, which im confident they will run her here now
They HAVE to run losseimouth here, shed walk up in the mares but its likely she’d do the same here, her worst performances are at leopardstown, BDA’s worst are all at cheltenham and loves leopardstown, why did both the trainers not point this out last weekend…. Regardless if they see her as a proper CH mare or not is irrelevant.
As someone said above, she’d plaster GA in a match, TNL is a rat and if your going anywhere near that you need your head checked lol, this must be about the worst looking CH i can remember now.
If they dont run her here you have to back golden ace…. Which is absolute madness….
And the simple answer to why does it seem to happen to hendos is the same reason people question it with mullins etc
Because the quantity of stars they have/had, happens all the time, everyday to be precise, just you dont quite like them as much because there lower profile, look at the losses this year for some stables and youll be surprised about how often it happens at hendos, its just who it happens to
Definitely is absolutely nothing to do with how nico rode him, as with any running injury on any animal, the faster your going the worse it tears/rips/breaks, cantering around leisurely has more than likely saved his life
If you watch it back you can see his stride shorten considerably 3 hurdles before he actually goes wrong, was lame for a while there today, not necessarily nicos fault he didnt notice as the horse didnt jump the hurdles any worse than he normally does,
Will be kicking himself now that he didnt just go straight to the fes, although, its likely he wouldn’t have made it, id be confident this was underlying
Glad he’s walked off, hopefully can be saved.
On the race itself, the new lion has absolutely 0 chance in a champion hurdle. Talk about pace, talk about tactics all you want, lossiemouth will lap him, how on earth is she not half the price of him
this was done months ago, gordon would need to go into this about €1.5 mil ahead to have any hope, even then.