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Had a nutty bet last night…Coo Star Sivola. Ignore his form on soft ground. Clearly well thought of, very good form in graded hurdles on good ground and a 2m 4f Graded novice hurdle winner on New Year’s Day at Cheltenham. Probable runner IMO, so had £2 400s, £2 700s, £3.15 710s. Almost certainly not good enough.
Now one thing that we can say without a moments hesitation is that Melon is Willie Mullins’ horse for the Supreme. He may go mob-handed but as we know thus far, Melon will be his number one and therefore the mount of Ruby Walsh. Now then, who their other top novice would be is up for some debate, although market vibes, form in the book and visual impressions tell us Cilaos Emery is right up there. On debut, despite looking a tiny wee thing, he winged his hurdles, travelled like a dream and thumped a more than useful type in Joey Sasa. Looking at his action you can only assume better ground will improve him. My guess would be that Cilaos Emery is a very good horse in his own right and were Melon not around, he’d be the number one.
Now, Willie usually sends his better novices to the Deloitte. Circumstances surrounding the timing of Melon’s debut meant that has presumably come too soon for him; therefore no entry. Cilaos Emery however IS entered, and is fully expected to line up for his festival prep. If either he or Melon are half the horses we’re led to believe they are then there’s no chance we’ll see them square off in six weeks, meaning there’s a Cilaos Emery shaped hole in the Neptune for Willie Mullins. 365 are 25/1 NRNB, monster price IF he makes it here
Be interested to see what Mark battlefor3 gets after today’s thumping by monalee.
May go down the kilultagh vic route
Martin pipe?Had a nutty bet last night…Coo Star Sivola. Ignore his form on soft ground. Clearly well thought of, very good form in graded hurdles on good ground and a 2m 4f Graded novice hurdle winner on New Year’s Day at Cheltenham. Probable runner IMO, so had £2 400s, £2 700s, £3.15 710s. Almost certainly not good enough.
Ok, I’m just gonna stop wasting my money in this market :D
I think he will go mob handed to he supreme, cilaos emery looks more suited to the supreme than the neptune
If invitation only would be cut then who would wylies runner be? He will have one
He’ll probably run but don’t think he will do anything. Of Wylies 3 Novice Hurdlers Crack Mome looks better than Invitation Only and Battleford.
Riccis best 3 probably Senewalk, Let’s Dance and Turcagua. Senewalk is probably done for the season and Turcagua ain’t gonna get near Monalee or Death Duthy… Let’s Dance the most likely Novice Hurdle winner for Ricci.
Outiside of Ricci and Wylie there’s still Melon, Chateu Conti, Bunk Off Early, Cilaos Emery and Saturnas.
Easy enough win from Monalee today. I think the Death Duty form is holding up really well heading towards the festival.
Also entered in the AB but EDB sounds not so sure- ” “He’s entered in the Neptune and the Albert Bartlett, and we’ll see nearer the time.The Albert Bartlett would look the obvious race, but there are a few things we need to consider – like Death Duty.”
Battleford ran a good race also and seems to be getting better with racing. He took the scenic route today again !
I think the Death Duty form is going to look good after the festival with horses like Monalee, Augusta Kate & The Storyteller running good races wherever they run.
He’ll probably run but don’t think he will do anything. Of Wylies 3 Novice Hurdlers Crack Mome looks better than Invitation Only and Battleford.
Riccis best 3 probably Senewalk, Let’s Dance and Turcagua.
Easy enough win from Monalee today. I think the Death Duty form is holding up really well heading towards the festival.
Any one of the front 3 in the market (in a 6-runner race…) winning that race would have ‘boosted’ his form.
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Any one of the front 3 in the market (in a 6-runner race…) winning that race would have ‘boosted’ his form.
And that’s what they did.
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Any one of the front 3 in the market (in a 6-runner race…) winning that race would have ‘boosted’ his form.
And that’s what they did.
You misunderstand my inverted speech marks.
What you mean to say is Death Duty form is crap and the horse you have backed is miles better.
No, what I’m saying is that there was something like 80% taken up by the front 3 in the market. Anything other than a Death Duty ‘form boost’ would have been a major surprise. It’s like Jack Hobbs winning the Irish Derby…it’s hardly a Derby form boost when the front 4 or 5 in the market ran in the Derby!
No, what I’m saying is that there was something like 80% taken up by the front 3 in the market. Anything other than a Death Duty ‘form boost’ would have been a major surprise. It’s like Jack Hobbs winning the Irish Derby…it’s hardly a Derby form boost when the front 4 or 5 in the market ran in the Derby!
Hurrah, so it was a Death Duty form boost now. I only said originally that “the Death Duty form is holding up really well heading towards the festival.”
No, what I’m saying is that there was something like 80% taken up by the front 3 in the market. Anything other than a Death Duty ‘form boost’ would have been a major surprise. It’s like Jack Hobbs winning the Irish Derby…it’s hardly a Derby form boost when the front 4 or 5 in the market ran in the Derby!
Hurrah, so it was a Death Duty form boost now. I only said originally that “the Death Duty form is holding up really well heading towards the festival.”
No, once again you’ve completely misunderstood.
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