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I think it will take something very special to beat Workforce, he’s a big scopey horse and always looked like he would improve for another year on him.
Reading between the lines I’d be fairly certain Ruby will be on Hurricane Fly.
That’s really rather harsh on Paul Townend. He’s done a fantastic job on him.
That’s the joys of being second jockey
Not sure I agree with you either, in my opinion Townend was very lucky not to get him beat at Punchestown last season.
Solix 18/1 on Betfair, not running then?
More likely the market just correcting itself after the crazy prices this hit earlier in the week. Bearing in mind Punjabi failed to win this off 150 before going on to place in the CH and Solix is running off 152! He really would need to be something special to take this on his first start in England.
I tend to do quite a bit of trading antepost for Cheltenham and have gone a bit overboard this year, so far it’s working out pretty well, still got a few left yet to show there hand. I’ve listed below my best and worst bets so far. If I get chance I may add in the other few too:
Best
Arkle
– Mikael D’Haguenet backed at 70,65 and loads between 30-44. Surfing 65 and a fair bit between 40-44 – laid at 20.
Champion Chase
Masterminded back at 8.6-8.8 laid at 3.2. Crack Away Jack backed at 90 laid at 36. Captain Cee Bee backed at 17.
Ryanair
Long Run backed at 14.5-16.5 laid 8.6-8.8. Punchestowns back 28 and 20 laid 14. Greened up.
Champon Hurdle
Hurricane Fly backed 15 and 14.5, laid 7.2, backed 10.5. Peddlers Cross backed 16.5, laid 6.8.
Supreme Novices
Cue Card backed 11.5 laid 3.8, Zaidpour backed 30.
World Hurdle
Time For Rupert decent bet between 13-14.5. Partially laid at 4.6. Mikael D’Haugenet decent bet at 11-11.5.
Worst
Arkle
Sang Bleu backed at 17.5 laid at 30. Punjabi backed at 25 written off.
Gold Cup
Long Run backed at 19-21, partially laid at 26. Joncol Backed at 25.
World Hurdle
Zaynar backed at 12. Questarabad backed at 44.
RSA
Tell Massini backed for decent quantities between 16-18, written off
Baring Bingh
Last Instalment backed at 29.
Is the angler you’re thinking of Bob Nudd? Subject of a campaign from
Angling Times
and the like to take the 1991 renewal of SPOTY.
HTH,
gc
Haha I remember that, if the voting doesn’t give a result you like then change it. Good old BBC.
Well, as nice a horses as Menorah and Peddlers undoubtedly are, I’m now more convinced than ever that if Binocular and Hurricane Fly turn up fit and well it’s a two horse race.
There are many number of reasons why some fences are considered more challenging than others but I would say the height differences on uk courses makes a negligible difference.
Some tracks fence construction is stiffer than others so they are more forgiving if a horse brushes through the top (if you look at most french fences they are designed to be jumped in this way), the location of the fences on the tracks eg uphill / downill can make a difference, take off and landing height and in particular the difference between the two (IMO this is seems to catch a lot of horses out on the national course), distance between fences i.e the railway fences at Sandown only have a few strides between them so horses are having to adjust their stride quickly to meet them right etc etc etc
it’s been re-opened, much to the annoyance of those who respected the entry deadline…
Unlikely I know but does anybody think there’s a chance Hurricane Fly could get an entry? What with the Hattons Grace repeatedly getting put back, Mullins also has Mourad entered in the Relkeel
I think it will be a very good race and find it hard to split the top 3. Probably not a betting perspective for me but if I was lucking then with the likely small field I’m not sure the race will be run to suit Menorah and at the current prices I’d be looking to take him on, I have no concerns Cue Card’s lack of experience over hurdles and find it hard to split him and the Nicholls horse. With the Nicholls horse slightly longer in the betting I would be tempted to tentatively side with him.
Not really although I’m always wary of Nicky’s horses first time out.
I do quite fancy Restless Harry to run a big race if he runs, altough I’m not sure why they aren’t looking to exploit his handicap mark.Well Harry Skelton has pretty much been second jockey for Nicholls this year and would almost certainly have been in line for almost all Ruby’s rides, although I suspect he would have used the likes of AP if available for the big guns (Kauto, Masterminded etc). Obviously with Harry taking a nasty fall yesterday (anybody know the extent of his injury?), I imagine Nicholls will just use the best available for the time being. I would have thought Thomas will be in line for the ride on Denman in the Hennessy and the likes of AP and Fehily will be getting plenty of rides on the better horses.
I don’t think Smith did a great deal wrong until the final furlong. She was clearly not travelling for whatever reason and as soon as she found a rhythm she was bustled forward, turning into the straight she still had every chance if she was good enough; on the day she wasn’t. Smith deserves ****ing for what happens next though.
Espoir City seems to be a bit of a forgotten horse in this. Even with concerns about the draw and distance odds of 20/1+ appear generous for the champion Japanese dirt horse. Would have cost mega bucks to supplement which I doubt they would have done if they didn’t consider he had a reasonable chance of going close.
Kauto is surely only entered incase Down Royal and BF chase are lost to the weather. Anyway I fancy Diamond Harry for this, appears to go well fresh and just the sort to run a big race.
I reckon I can trump you all with Darjina in 2008, 5 or 6 group 1 seconds if I remember correctly.
See ‘Arkle’ thread. This was probably the most rubbished horse – admitedly mainly the same repeat offenders – on any of the Cheltenham threads. Hope there is enough humble pie to go round.
Well i’m guessing that’s partly aimed at me
.Certainly no humble pie here, he was my banker of the meeting, if ever a horse was going to appreciate a sharp two miles on genuine good ground it was him. Terrible aftertiming I know but I had him in a big single and as the backbone of a number of multiples.
I still stick by what I said though, he was far too short in the Arkle market for what he’d achieved and I still wouldn’t even consider betting him against the likes of Sizing Europe, Somersby and Captain Cee Bee at Cheltenham on normal first day festival ground.
Some of these so called experts rattling on about Peddlars Cross running in next years Champion hurdle!!He"s No 2 miler,i see him as the biggest threat to next years RSA winner
Tell Massini
,both look natural 3m chasers to my untrained eye!
My post above yours thm! I"m afraid we differ on it!
Sorry TAPK, afraid I missed that!
I think this 3m is within this fella’s compass, but he has such a high cruising speed, and we found out at Cheltenham that he battles. I’d send him to the fighting fifth and decide after that.
Can’t remember where I heard it but before Aintree I’m pretty sure connections said they would be looking at going down the Arkle route with Peddlers next year, I reckon that would be the correct decision.
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