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Duke
Binocular needs good ground, his action is very close to the ground. That is why imo he didn’t win the 2009 champion hurdle.
The horse appears to me to go equally well on anywhere from soft to gd.
I wouldn’t prep him for the Hennessy, he would no doubt end up running off a very high mark and why chuck him into a big competitive race on his comeback over fences? I would have thought Down Royal would make more sense.
Regardless there should be no problem starting him over fences and if it doesn’t work out switch him back to hurdles half way through the year, did him no harm last year.
Perfectly obvious that " I " win the 2011 Gold Cup.
The only question is how heavy to pile in at 12/1.
It’s a tricky one
Paul Nicholls has made it perfectly clear Big Bucks will go for a 3rd World Hurdle before switchingto fences.
Like all of us he doesn’t know how Kauto Star and Denman wil come back in. I assume they will both appear ok which means they would have to run before knowing for sure.
By the time they do know there simply wouldn’t ve enough time to find the right races for Big Bucks to ready him for such a challenge.
I would imagine when the decision comes to make the switch it will come atthe end of the season with an nnouncement that kato Star is to be retired. Not half way through a season.
I think you should keep your money for then as he’ll be around the same price having not jumped a fence for 3 years.
You may well be right but it is pretty irrelevant what Paul Nicholls says, the decision will be the Stewarts’ and they’re clued up enough to know that if they are to be in with a reasonable chance of winning a Gold Cup they need to strike when the iron’s hot. Next year may be too late, the year after most probably so. It all depends what they want, for me he’s nothing left to prove over hurdles and if the horse is good enough to contest a Gold Cup that’s where he should be.
Even though I’m fairly confident he’ll get the trip I wouldn’t be taking a short price on Binocular who appears to be better the faster the pace he gets.
I can’t think of a horse by Presenting that has truely relished the National trip (and many have tried).
He’d be an eleven year old running off a probable mark in the mid to high 170’s who gives his all and often finishes out on his legs in races a mile and 2 shorter and who has on numerous occasions made bad jumping mistakes when tiring….not for me ta.
Oh and my main early investment will be Celestial Halo for The Arkle, if he can wing those fences as he does his hurdles, he will be a serious contender.
I have already been offered 16/1 about
Celestial Halo
for the Arkle and haven"t took it! As much as i am a fan of the horse i am not convinced his "build" is that of an Arkle winner,i will give it more thought mind! I have already backed next years RSA winner at 66/1,he"s called
Tell Massini
,dont tell everyone though!
You fancy him to beat Mikael then?
Had a little dabble on a couple of horses already:
Masterminded @ between 8.6 and 9.2 on the machine- he’s put in a bad race before and come back, still young and much more effective with a bit of cut. I’m expecting to be able to lay this off @ much shorter in the future.
Hurricane Fly @ 15, i’m still not convinced we’ve seen the best of him and he’s the only horse I could see with the potential to trouble Binocular (glass hooves still a worry though).
Zaynar @ 14 for WH, there must be a reasonable chance BB will be heading back over fences next year and if so this could be a great bet.
I really fancied Peddlers Cross for this and had him down a couple of weeks ago as one of the best value bets of the festival. Although I heard rumours last week of a minor setback (2 different stories) and he did take a bit of a walk on Betfair albeit he’s back in now. Don’t suppose anybody could shed any further light on the situation?
With regards to jumping it’s funny how different people see different things. Personally I think the top three are pretty much a muchness jumping wise and on the evidence seen I couldn’t say with any positivity that any ones jumps better than the others.
Somersby put in a very good round at Kempton but was rather novicey and far from efficient first time out.
In all but his last run Sizing Europe has been virtually foot perfect, the odd error he has made he’s looked very athletic in the way he’s fiddled over them.
I like the way Captain Cee Bee jumps, it’s very efficient, he spends very little time in the air. The final fence mistakes were only very minor errors in judgement and whilst that’s always an outside danger with horses that jump like him it wouldn’t worry me any more than it does with any of the others.
I actually sympathise with those who laid Binocular at 999/1, as in 99% of these cases the horse is a non runner anyway
Exactly my point and I’m suprised you feel sorry for them, they were effectively "bookmakers" trying to steal punters cash on a non runner
Considering the slagging I got for having three EW doubles and an EW treble up and getting some punters money back off the bookies, got called "an each way theif" etc, surely we shouldn’t sympathise with these "ante post theives"I very much doubt that’s the case, people generally aren’t laying non runners at 999/1 to make money it’s usually the big players balancing their markets and getting liquidity back into their accounts.
From memory Luke Comer has tilted at windmills before, not least by entering Chimes At Midnight in the 2002 Champion Hurdle (150/1, second hurdles start) and at least two Irish St Legers. Disaster conspicuously failed to ensue on any occasion.
gc
Chimes at Midnight
was
a very good horse on the flat. Not far off Alderbrook’s standard when he won the champion on his second start over hurdles.
Unfortunately CAM was never a very good horse when trained by Luke Comer and I fully expect Kargali and Royal and Regal to head the same way.
There’s a few horses I’ve been saying for some time simply aren’t good enough and if any of the following win i’ll be due a large portion of humble pie:
Tataniano
Riverside Theatre
Weird Al
Go NativeRightly or wrongly Go Native is the only one I’m concerened about
I know, even managed to get me some 12.5
Bet ID: 10267187173
Event: RSA Chs
Bet placed at: 05-Mar-10 14:09
Market
type Selection Bid
type Bet
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O Punchestowns Back 05-Mar-10
14:09 12 1.99 12.5
O Punchestowns Back 05-Mar-10
14:09 12 3.01 12Snap lol
Bet ID: 10266643675
Event: RSA Chs
Bet placed at: 05-Mar-10 13:16Market
type Selection Bid
type Bet
taken Odds
req. Stake
(£) Liability
(£) Odds
matched
O Punchestowns Back 05-Mar-10
14:06 12 4.00 12Gives me a bit more cover when I go in again on Long Run. Only slight concern now is the irish horses, Weird Al may well put in a clear round but it will probably be twenty lengths behind the winner
Long Run for me without a doubt, this is a horse with serious potential. Only thing i’d look to do is get a proper pilot on board.
