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Loose Chips for me at 18/1. Last 5 runs at Sandown read 21217. No coincidence that 7th came when upped to 3m5f – simply ran out of steam. Back down at 3m is the perfect trip as demonstrated when he dispatched Rocky Creek in November over C&D. I like the October form behind Double Ross where he again beat Rocky Creek – well handicapped and i expect another bold run from the front at a big price.
On MTOY @ 50’s ew as well. Madness of a price IMO. Like you say Zark, not betting to win but think it is a great place bet
He couldn’t even come in the first 3 in a terrible christmas hurdle, in what was effectively a 4 runner race. Hardly a good bet for him to therefore be placed in a champion hurdle. Your relying on him showing form that he simply hasn’t got this season. Clearly not the same horse that was second to jezki, or even second to Annie power last year. I just can’t see it myself. I’d even go as far as to say he should run in the county hurdle or something like that.
The Xmas hurdle run wasn’t terrible at all. MTOY was travelling powerfully turning in, alongside Yanworth at the second and made a mistake at the last placing him outside the top 3 for the 1st time in his career. He was far from disgraced and Yanworth had 37 days to get over Ascot whilst MTOY had 15 days to recover from Cheltenham – I think there is a strong case to be made for the race coming too soon. He will be wrapped up now until Cheltenham where he will be fresh and we all saw how well that worked last year. This horse has never reached superstar status and I have been on the losing end of backing him a number of times, however – his consistency to place, natural speed, hendo’s record in the race, coupled with all the question marks surrounding the market principals, make 50/1 a very decent price to be looking for a place. People are quick to forget the 2nd last year where he actually ran a quicker time on softer ground that when Faugheen won the race in 2015. Plenty of 9 year olds have won the CH, he retains plenty of ability and I think 50/1 is big when all these factors are taken into account.
On MTOY @ 50’s ew as well. Madness of a price IMO. Like you say Zark, not betting to win but think it is a great place bet
I am with Zarkava on this – won’t be long till that 20/1 is a distant memory so lets just get on now.
NAP – Apples Jade – Mares Hurdle
LAY – Yanworth @ 5/1 – think he wants more than 2m and just cannot see him winning CH
EW – Ballyboker Bridge @ 50’s (can still get 33’s). Josies orders out, has form on 9/2 favourite CantlowIt seems as if people can’t help talking about Morris as if he is some sort of magician. That said if he hadn’t produced a couple of aces at the end of last season he was probably heading towards the Gigginstown rubbish dump. Even now they clearly don’t trust him with too much ammunition.
How many Festival winners has he actually trained in say the last ten years?
I did a quick search and found this:
1983 Novices’ Hurdle
1986 Queen Mother Champion Chase
1990 Cheltenham Festival Stayers’ Hurdle
2006 Cheltenham Gold CupTalk is Blow by Blow wont be seen on the track this season
I read on the betfair forum GE said he would be back on track in 5 weeks
The Supreme market is dreadful. Cilaos Emery might be the best each way bet. The horse he thrashed into second won a fair contest at Leopardstown today. 16s still available.
Blow By Blow would win this easily if they could get him fit.
Agree. Backed BBB to win any race at 10’s but gone in at 25’s for Supreme.
Supreme – Moon Racer @ 16’s
Supreme – Jenkins @ 20’s
Supreme – Consul De Thaix
Neptune – Finian’s Oscar @ 14’s
RSA – Alpha Des Obeaux @ 20’s
RSA – Mall Dini @ 33’s
Champion Hurdle – MTOY EW @ 50’s
Champion Hurdle – Yorkhill @ 16’s
Champion Hurdle – Jezki @ 130’s
Stayers Hurdle – Ptit Zig @ 20’s
Stayers Hurdle – Uknowhatimeanharry @ 14’s
JLT – Top Notch @ 25’s
Neptune – Finian’s Oscar @ 16’s
Ryanair – Uxizandre @ 12’s
National Hunt Chase – Milsean @ 16’s
National Hunt Chase – Fagan @ 30’s
National Hunt Chase – Tiger Roll @ 32’s
Cross Country – Ballyboker Bridge @ 50’s
Ryanair – Ar Mad @ 25’s
Ryanair – VVM @ 10’s
Ryanair – Uxizandre @ 10’s
Champion Chase – Traffic Fluide EW @ 33’sLoads of doubles and trebles and EW place acca’s. Annie going out of CH wiped out about 25% of my ante post book so as great as the above looks that was bit ****. Need Yorkhill to go CH as I have a double with UKWIMH that returns £1280 of a tenner
Thanks for the update botchy – great for my bet, although always like to see the best turn up at Cheltenham
I am really disappointed tbh. When you think about some of the great KG we have seen in the past, and this year it is basically a 2 horse race. Personally I would love to see an upset but cannot see that happening. I think people are getting too carried away with Thistlecrack. He has been impressive over fences but far from faultless and even in a small field CC will put it to him. CC wins IMO
Lionroars – that’s exactly why there is such good value in this race. Cantlow at 10/1 and Ballyboker at 50’s is more to do with connections than anything else, and whilst JPM aims lots at this, he hasn’t won it for 7 years.
What makes even less sense is the other Peter Maher horse, Mtada Supreme, is 16/1 whilst Ballyboker Bridge is 50/1??Ballyboker Bridge is 2-0 up on Mtada Supreme, and this year Mtada Supreme has been stepped down in trip, which would indicate other potential Cheltenham targets than the Cross Country. Obviously a lot has to go right to get there etc but goes off at less than 20/1 let alone 50
Took Ballyboker Bridge EWMat 33’s. I was impressed with the run last year and 2nd behind Cantlow the other day. Big price IMO
Just seen I can get 50/1 with Skybet. This price is very big. You can have 10/1 on a Cantlow win or 12/1 on a Ballyboker Bridge place.
