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charlie87

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  • in reply to: CHELTENHAM 2017 Bets #1277847
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    I’ve got a bunch of bets for Cheltenham so far. I’d say my most confident are MTOY EW at 50/1 for the Champion Hurdle (I’m looking for the place money from this bet, rather than hoping for the win), Alpha Des Obeaux for the RSA and, if he runs, Yanworth for the World Hurdle.

    With you 100% there on MTOY. Taken 50/1 multiple times. Looking less and less competitive with so many question marks over those at the top of the market. I wouldn’t mind seeing Hendo wrap him up now until March.

    in reply to: CHELTENHAM 2017 Bets #1277280
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    Milsean 16/1 – 4 miler
    Ballybroker Bridge 33/1 – Cross Country

    EW Doubles on this

    in reply to: Wessex Youth Trust Hurdle #1277278
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    Wolf of Windlesham – absolutely bowling along in the Greatwood Handicap Hurdle and 16/1 is a decent price.

    in reply to: Lavazza Silver Cup 2016 #1277247
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    Vyta Du Roc @ 8/1. Down 2lbs to a mark of 141 so well handicapped. Won over C&D beating Minella Rocco earlier this year.

    I think 2m 7f is his best trip and he ran and jumped well in the Hennessy.

    Hopefully D Jacob gets the ride, in banging form.

    in reply to: Long Walk Hurdle 2016 #1277245
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    Nice one DB :good:

    Until the emergence of Uknowhatimeanharry, I was mad keen on Ptit Zig for this years World Hurdle, but that run from Harry at Newbury had me running for cover. A no bet race for me therefore, and I’ll be hoping for a big run from Zig, to keep my (dwindling) hopes alive.

    You couldn’t have put it better VTC. You know I feel the same way about Ptit Zig – I haven’t given up complete hope, but some of the names now being thrown into the WH are starting to make me more pessimistic

    in reply to: Tingle Creek 2016 #1275500
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    Ar Mad for me at 5/1.

    First run, back from injury and not exactly positive words from GM all go in the negative column, but this horse could be anything. For me the most exciting novice chaser of last season with some really decent form. The clock never lies and running 4 seconds faster than the Tingle Creek winning time was very impressive. He attacks his fences and runs well at Sandown and I think he will front run and take UDS out of his comfort zone a little bit.

    in reply to: Grand Sefton 2016 #1275307
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    I’ve opted for Valadom in this as well.

    And me

    And me :yes:

    in reply to: King George 2016 #1275306
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    VVM going Sunday – didnt realise

    in reply to: Champion Chase 2017 #1275303
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    Ar Mad @ 33/1 EW is juicy. Was 6/1 for the Arkle before injury.

    He’s been my fancy Charlie87 for this race also. Took the 25’s E/W Ar Mad before his run in the Tingle Chase.

    Obviously Douvan if he runs will be a danger and a few others will no doubt come out the woodwork, but at the moment it does not look the strongest race in depth.

    Yeh I took 25’s as well. I have also requested wins Tingle Creek and Champion Chase from Skybet. I imagine that would be north of 66/1

    in reply to: Becher Chase 2016 #1275006
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    I have followed you on this one Nausered. I confess to not having studied the Sefton anyway near as thoroughly as the Becher but Valadom was on the shortlist and you are clearly a man in good form!! £10 EW double return near enough 2 grand, will likely top up Viconte Du Noyer at 12’s again now. Good luck pal

    in reply to: Becher Chase 2016 #1275000
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    I’m all over Viconte Du Noyer for this @ 14’s & 12’s.

    I am 100% in agreement with you – backed at 12’s. Rate that Cheltenham form and all of the horses ahead of VDN in the betting are fairly exposed over this trip. I think this will shorten as well

    in reply to: Becher Chase 2016 #1274916
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    I am on Viconte Du Noyer @ 12’s.

    It’s interesting that H de Bromhead kept him at 20f but Tizzard gave him a step up in trip which he clearly enjoyed, as was seen in the BetVictor Handicap Chase at Cheltenham. I was very impressed with this run and with the form Tizzard is in at the moment I am siding with VDN to do the business.

    in reply to: 2017 Stayers Hurdle #1274447
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    Backed Uknowhatimeanharry in doubles and trebles at 14/1 alongside AP and Douvan. Hope they all make it there. Was very impressed with his performance at Newbury

    in reply to: Welsh National 2016 #1274445
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    Completely agree. Have backed Cogry at 20’s

    in reply to: 2017 Champion Hurdle #1273917
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    Praying those rumours are not true

    in reply to: 2017 Champion Hurdle #1273866
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    On that face of it, Charlie, that’s a fair argument, and, as we always say, it’s a game of opinions. He’s a great horse to watch and I’ve followed him, without ever betting him, since his novice days, because he’s interesting as an individual.

    He has never quite finished off his races in the top grade and those finishing efforts are becoming increasingly tame. I wonder if they’ve ever looked at his wind? Must have done, surely, given the number of disappointments in the top grade. The Christmas Hurdle he won, he did so by reaching the post before TNO got fully back into gear in my opinion.

    His settling so early at the weekend I’d see as a bad sign, not a good one. Keenness is deep in the horse’s character; you don’t suddenly lose that and learn to settle approaching your tenth birthday. He’s a lovely animal, a beautiful mover for a jumper, and seems honest in attitude. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they found something wrong with him, probably in his wind.

    Points well made. Taken the 50/1 EW so hopefully all is well and he makes it there fit.

    in reply to: 2017 Champion Hurdle #1273796
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    I’d hold off on CH bets until Altior has at least one more run over fences. Suspect he might just have a switch of target.

    MTOY, I’m afraid continues to be overrated, probably because of the way he travels, and his good looks. He’s never quite had the heart for a fight.

    As for Yanworth, they reportedly move him up in trip. I thought he showed signs of attitude problems on Saturday: definitely was not putting it all in at the finish in my view.

    I thought what he did last season was completely underrated. To finish 2nd in the Champion Hurdle after 2 years off was very impressive. Yes, has been found wanting on 3 occasions at Cheltenham, but has always hit the frame and 50/1 about a horse who has finished 2nd in this race twice is decent. Yes, he will be 10, and the run at Haydock was poor, but that was desperate ground. The positive you can take from that race is he looked the calmest he has ever looked. He didn’t race too keenly, which has often been his undoing, and I think (providing it is decent ground) 50/1 is a blinding EW bet.

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