- This topic has 51 replies, 23 voices, and was last updated 9 years, 4 months ago by
.
- Posts
At 20-1 I like previous winner Willows Saviour. I have put a few pounds on at that price as I think that if he runs he could come down in price quite dramatically
This usually goes to a young well handicapped horse – I’ve shortlisted Sternrubin, who although isn’t that well treated off 144, he is only 2 lb higher than winning at Ascot a few months ago when all out. He is such a game front runner and still only 5 even after running 16 times, could be the type to improve and go close again over this C&D.
I too like Wolf of Windlesham, who was running an almighty race when coming down at the last in the Greatwood and runs off the same mark – the only issue is that he does prefer good ground, so I think conditions will be against him with the rain forecast.
I’m just a little bothered about another fav of mine Rayvin Black pestering Sternrubin up front.
There doesn’t look to be too much forecast for the next few days. Whether it’s soft enough for him already who knows but he has got form on G/S. Leaning towards him at present depending on any rain.
Tough race to crack as most of these big prize 2 mile handicap hurdles are. I only usually have a strong opinion if I think there’s a smart one amongst them (My Tent routing the Betfair hurdle a memorable example).
Who Dares Wins could have a bit more improvement to come, having looked in great order last time. I’m also drawn to the Skelton horse, not so much from a form perspective but the trainer seems to know how to place one, winning the last running of the Greatwood and County hurdles at Cheltenham as well as this race 2 years back.
Rayvin Black dud run in this race last year and although with the leader for most of the way, the pace was too much for him and he folded quite tamely in the end – the same may happen this time around.
True, after some rain early on this week it looks very dry for the next week – likely to end up good to soft which should suit most of the principals…
Who Dares Wins looks a big improver for sure, but I don’t think he beat much LTO. He’s got form on all kinds of ground but would be inclined to think he needs it quicker to show his best – could be a danger if managing the big weight.
as long as the ground stays good to good to soft i really fancy who dares wins. i dont really think he goes on anything softer
MODUS at 10/1 is big. Too big. Played it.
Will probably back sternrubin soon too as I love that horse. As game as you like.
Wolf of Windlesham – absolutely bowling along in the Greatwood Handicap Hurdle and 16/1 is a decent price.
I really like Brain Power for this, he looked like he was clueless last year but clearly had ability and ran a nice race at Punchestown at the tale end of the season with him finally looking to have an idea what a hurdle is.
Wasn’t knocked about on his reappearance at Cheltenham but travelled well for a good way and his jumping improved again and he then turned up at Sandown a couple of weeks later and after being keen early picked up off a slow pace and put the race to bed pretty quickly and then got a bit lonely in front to let Consul De Thaix within alength but the race was never really in doubt for me.
A strong gallop to help him settle should suit and if his jumping improves again he could be really well treated as i think he can mix it in Grade 1 company if he puts it all together. He’s still only 5 so open to tonnes of improvement still. David Mullins is a good booking too and i’m really looking forward to this one for my Christmas Bonus
Good luck Fran, and I don’t think you’re too far off on your assessment of him, and I think in time, though possibly next, year G1’s won’t be beyond him. I bet him that day at Punchestown at huge odds, and he made me a right few quid, going ridiculously low in running, was a great effort from him, and been keeping him on the radar ever since.
I’ve got The County in mind for him, before he steps up next season, so I’m hoping he doesn’t score on Saturday, but good luck with him, he’s a fine price
I am glad I waited for Meet The Legend, and have bet him 9-1, with another bet on Brain Power at 14-1
Come on, Modus is due to win one of these. Looked the winner on both of his runs this season and 9/1 for this to be his day is a more than fair price for an improving horse. Wolf of Windlesham is on a winning mark and seemingly in good form so 16/1 is worth a speculative punt as well in my book. I don’t think the Brain Power/Consul De Thaix form is particularly solid. Hargam, Who Dares Wins, Quick Jack, Rayvin Black & Sternrubin aren’t appearing handicapped to win. Pyromaniac, Fergall, Chesterfield & Unison don’t look good enough at a glance. Jolly’s Cracked It and Willow’s Saviour are too risky off long layoffs. Meet The Legend and Diego Du Charmil are simply conundrums. And Golden Spear just shouts out from the paper for obvious reasons but is priced accordingly. That just leaves a tentative each-way nibble on Waxies Dargle at 40s (who comes in off a sound win and is partnered with a 7ib claimer) to go with Modus at 9s and the Wolf at 16s.
Looks like there’s a big Tony Martin gamble going on on Golden Spear. I can see why they have
latched onto him, he has very progressive form on the flat recently, a very decent 5th in the
Cesarewitch and winning the November Handicap at Leapardstown in his last two runs. He’s thrown
into this carrying 10-1, and he could be way ahead of the handicapper here. He might sluice up
here, but my concern would be that this is always a tough race and his sole win over hurdles
was 15 months ago at Listowel in a 7 runner affair. If he takes to the hurly burly of a 19
runner take no prisoners kind of race, then he’s in with a very good shout. At best priced
9/2, and as short as 100/30, there are too many questions to answer for me at that price.I’d rather have something that’s a bit more solid and I think the 9/1 about MODUS
looks a decent bet. He looked promising when he first appeared on the scene, winning his first two
NH Flat races when trained by Robert Stephens. He kind of went off the boil, until a a good 2nd in
the Champion Bumper at 33/1 at the Festival last year, and he showed it was no fluke when he followed
it up with a good 3rd behind Bellshill in the Grade 1 Champion INH Flat race in April 15. That didn’t
go unnoticed and he was bought by JP and sent to Nicholls. He won his 1st 2 Novices’ Hurdles at the back
end of last year at odds on, and was highly tried at the start of this year but disappointed. I think
he looked like he was definitely heading the right way in his comeback run at Ascot, with a promising
3rd behind Sternrubin when he came from the clouds but just failed to catch the winner. I think he has
progressed further with a running on 2nd behind North Hill Harvey a month ago in the Greatwood Hurdle
at Cheltenham, Sternrubin 10 lengths behind. I think he’s improving, and with Nicholls absolutely flying
at the moment (6 winners in the last 2 days) I think he’s the one to beat.Charles, I was typing my speel up when you posted yours about Modus, I’m in full
agreement with you, I think he’s in with a good shout. Well done MOM getting the 10/1 on him
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.