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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Cav

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  • in reply to: Arc 2006 #73668
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    Great call and well done!

    in reply to: Nakayama Sprinters Stakes 2006 #78267
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    7.40am UK time.  Les Arcs was reported to have had "noisy breathing" after it track workout earlier today.

    in reply to: More errors to go in the form book #77754
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    Its probably easier for me to email the Ascot Striaght Mile Vertical profiles to anybody whose interested? Just post your address up. I’ve done the old one now and I’m working on the new one using the info posted by Mr Potts earlier and  pics from the Ascot website.

    Cheers<br>Cav

    in reply to: More errors to go in the form book #77753
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    is there any way i can post a BMP bitmap on here?

    (Edited by Cavelino Rampante at 2:38 pm on Sep. 26, 2006)

    in reply to: More errors to go in the form book #77742
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    does anybody know EXACTLY how far left or right the straight has been moved at Ascot and if the new straight has its starts exactly perpendicular to the starts on the old course.  If somebody does I can put it into some fancy mapping software I have and put up graphs of old and new course profiles to compare the ups and downs on both

    in reply to: Sectional Timing #77023
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    To me sectionals from the Derby meeeting or Royal Ascot would be a lot more in demand commercially than those from Southwell and the likes in the depths of winter.  However maybe the tracks themselves have objections or a veto that TurfTrax can do nothing about?

    in reply to: Sectional Timing #77020
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    Thanks Pru

    That makes sense from TurfTrax’s point of view.  I cant understand why a course like Ascot and all the money they have spent recently dont provide it though.  In fact it should be available from all the Grade 1 flat tracks.

    in reply to: Newmarket July Course #76118
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    Thanks very much Alan.  One more question, is the central rail that divides the course permanent?

    Cheers

    in reply to: 2yo versus mature horse #74426
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    Here are the median cumulative lenghts beaten of 3YO versus Older horses in all 3YO+ races over a mile in the UK since 2000

    For example in Group 1 races where 3YO’s competed against older horses the 3YO’s were on average beaten half a lenght less than the older horses, in Group2 they were beaten half a lenght more.

    Overall I think it goes to show that the WFA for 3YO’s does a pretty good job of equalising the lack of maturity.

    WFA obviously dosent work for 2YO’s, the allowances and times simply do not add up.  Maybe thats because the handicapper has a lot of actual races to compare 3YO’s against older horses which isnt the case with 2YO’s.

    I’d still like some ideas on how slower a 2YO per mile is compared to a mature horse

    Cheers

    GP1 -0.5<br>GP2 +0.5<br>GP3 +1.925<br>LST -0.1<br>B -0.575<br>C -0.65<br>D +1.5<br>E +1.5<br>F  +3.2<br>G  +2.3

    (Edited by Cavelino Rampante at 8:40 pm on July 31, 2006)

    in reply to: 2yo versus mature horse #74419
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    Thanks Adrian, having done some research on 3yo compared to all age the WFA allowances do generally add up when converted to seconds.  However a 2yo at the moment gets 37 lbs over a mile which converts into almost 3.5 seconds which to my mind is far too much.

    in reply to: Sir Percy "a freakishly lucky winner" #72976
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    A very good post Stav.  I made the ground good to firm on Derby day as well.  It was genuinely good on the Friday but given the fact they didnt water overnight and the hot weather I think its reasonable to assume the ground would ride faster on day 2 and my calculations confirm that.

    in reply to: What’s the oldest horse still racing? #72352
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    Tyndarius, Southerncrosspatch and Jumbos Dream all aged 15 have run over hurdles and fences in 2006.  On the flat Jamacian Flight and Lord Chamberlain are still racing in 2006 aged 13.

    in reply to: Peter Stavers Book #71735
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    Hi Stav

    Firstly thanks for the reply.  Fishing I wasnt, in fact I found your book thought provoking and I was (am) interested in the thoughts of other forum members who may have read it. The main reason I signed up to this board was to discuss the subject of speed and how it relates to UK horseracing.

    Any good method is generally the development of other peoples ideas as I’m sure yours is and there is certainly no one size fits all solution to the eternal search for winners.

    Cheers

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