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Tails from the blackcountry II

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  • #1507151
    Blackcountry Kid
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    • Total Posts 191

    Keep on picking up little bits on selections which moves things along without doing any real damage but think it’s time we had a winner and although RAYONG e/w at Doncaster may not the most obvious choice to put forward for your consideration but his latest numbers point to this colt coming to form,well for me at least.Upped in trip after starting the season over 5f the selection cut no ice after a smart win at Pontefract and was dropped back to the minimum trip last time where on similar ground to today achieved career high numbers.Perhaps I’m reading too much into this run but I do believe it’s worth the risk and hoping for a place at least or a good payday for connections seeing their charge land the spoils and back in the winners enclosure.
    Public Enemy No.1……usually mentioned in the same breath as law enforcement’s most wanted but not on this occasion as the person in question would be one Patrick Veitch.Earlier this week I read a piece he penned for the Racing Post in which he expressed views very similar to my own in that there’s simply too much racing,too many fixtures for the sport to be sustainable in the long term.The very idea to some,especially bookmakers,is unimaginable that there could ever be too much racing but these terrible times we are living through have exposed this belief to be a false one and racing needs to take action to put it’s house in order because this virus is going to do the job for the authorities however much some wish to bury their head in the sand.
    You may disagree,which is your right,but for years the fixture list has been piled with meetings on an already crowded schedule and quite simply I believe we are seeing the results of this.One way it’s shown itself is in riders burning out with health problems,how much longer will it be before stable staff begin to suffer in the same ways?
    The people need to stand up and shout with a single voice to stop this madness and bring sanity to the sport we care so much about.
    I apologize if you may find my feelings somewhat strong but I sincerely believe something needs to be done.
    good luck to all

    #1507294
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    After watching the Doncaster race my selection was part of on Saturday,I just couldn’t believe my eyes!
    During my deliberations the victor yesterday,Venturous,was dismissed along with most others as not meeting my criteria for winning.Later on hearing about how well this runner was supported in the betting market I returned for a second look.Even checked things after the race but still couldn’t find any evidence that would inspire a collapse in his price.
    First a 7yo gelding so hardly likely to show dramatic improvement on what’s gone before.
    Nothing much between turf & a/w form over 5f or 6f.
    While had fair numbers on good/soft ground they were nothing to write home about and way down the list from his best.
    Had achieved one place effort from six outings on ground recorded as soft,never having run on heavy previously.
    Below his all time high handicap marks which were registered a number of years ago so I suppose one could argue he was off a lenient mark with Dawson claiming an extra 5lb off his back.However recent form didn’t in my book make him a likely candidate to win never mind in the fashion he did.
    Taking into account all the above can anyone tell me why there was so much market support,aside from the fact in hindsight it proved correct,for this horse when what was in the public domain it just didn’t make sense?
    If you took part would love to know your reasoning?
    Nothing for today nor until later in the week where from now on I will be turning my attentions to the a/w as the turf season runs down I find it harder to find qualifying candidates as selections.Maybe in future because of deteriorating weather conditions which are likely at this time of year I will swap to the a/w from the end of September.
    good luck to all

    #1507295
    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 296

    Was really badly hampered in his last run but the handicapper still dropped him a pound so perhaps they thought he was well handicapped

    #1507612
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    Ty for your response Istabraq,but even without being hampered Venturous looked held in that race and may have finished third at best in my opinion which for me still doesn’t explain things.
    This time of year is never easy with the transition from turf to synthetic surfaces and having to burrow deeper into the form book to discover whether any particular horse can be expected to show improved form simply because of returning to the a/w after a turf campaign.Think I may have just found such an opportunity.
    Having just looked at the Lingfield race I earlier this evening invested on WAR GLORY e/w @ 10/1 I find the selection being put forward for your consideration now a best priced 6/1.Why this Hannon horse rather than the Ryan Moore mount Oh This Is Us which won last time and seems to be at the top of his game?
    First allow me to point out the selection performs to a higher level of form on an a/w surface.
    Although the gelding stays 8f his numbers indicate superior form over this trip.With all but his latest outing ,since racing resumed,on turf and last time at a trip beyond his best I’m expecting an improved display from him because of the drop in distance and a course he’s always run well over.
    3 runs over course & distance 2nd btn a nose,2nd btn head and beating Gifted Mater decisively in this race last year achieving career high numbers.
    good luck to all

    #1509933
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    As the turf season limps away into the notebooks probably not one most of us will remember fondly with all what’s happened and still so very much in the balance as regard the future of many courses and indeed racing itself,will things look the same when hopefully clear of the virus next March a new season starts?
    Perhaps a simplistic view but I’m an optimist with Brexit complete and the country as a whole can look forward to a bright future along with the sport we all love.
    Apologies for the dearth of selections being offered form this quarter but the autumn being a transitional period for both weather & racing it’s always been slow since I adapted my present format not really picking up until the New Year,however I do like to take in the Breeders Cup if something viable can be found.This morning have taken the 10/1,BOG available on four places,on FRANK’S ROCKETTE e/w in the sprint.A very late May foal I’m quite amazed how well she’s done in her career to date following a promising juvenile campaign when she was stepped up in distance on each of the three starts.As a 3yo she’s been kept to sprint trips although last time was probably what you would call extended (six & half furlongs).Having been progressive throughout the year there’s no reason in my mind why she shouldn’t be involved in the business end here and consider this filly to be overpriced.The favourite on the other hand in my opinion looks too short considering what he’s achieved.Although unbeaten in his three races to date looking at the contests concerned and the rivals he defeated I get the distinct impression that a number of tonight’s rivals could have emulated the feat.
    Off for a late breakfast now!
    good luck to all

    #1510632
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    Just a quick word on Frank’s Rockette my selection in the Breeders Cup Sprint,traveled well enough until the home straight then found nowhere to go stuck behind a wall of horses ahead.Not saying she would have won but maybe grabbed a place for us,such are the trials of racing.
    In these rather lean times have to hunt around for horses outside my usual handicaps and have uncovered an intriguing contender for the Golden Rose Stakes a Listed race which concludes the Lingfield card.Although one of the lowest rated in this contest to my mind has yet to reach anything like his full potential.Having won both his starts showing progressive form from his first to second race LAMPANG e/w ran too poorly when next seen in the Rockingham Stakes at York,for which he was sent off the even money favourite,to be true.That was the last we saw of the colt for just over a year when he reappeared up at Edinburgh and registered the kind of numbers that suggest a very useful horse having been off the track for so long.That contest was on heavy going and at the minimum trip where he stayed on into third late in the race.Today’s 6f should suit better although didn’t seem particularly troubled by the tempo over 5f.For me this colt’s value @ 16/1 and expect him to outrun his price and collect a share of the prize money on offer.
    good luck to all

    #1510724
    the kaiser
    Participant
    • Total Posts 20

    Nice one, hope you got paid out at the 25/1sp for the place.

    #1510779
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    Certainly did kaiser,thought it was very nice of the bookies to give such odds,I was on BOG!
    Never ceases to amaze me how bookmakers & indeed some punters can underestimate the returns you can achieve from investing on a each way basis.In this race @ SP the favourite paid 5/2 for winning but you got 5/1 a place on the second and you had 3/4 places running for you which to my mind gives you a much better chance of long term success.
    Although getting first past the post is nice I would rather collect slow & steady and bank a profit at the end of the year than be moaning about ‘the one that got away’ or losing out in photo finishes.Racing is a game of opinions which is why it’s so diverse and interesting and for me more of an intellectual challenge with a dash of intuition thrown in for good measure.
    Off to watch Cheltenham on tv now.
    good luck to all

    #1510935
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    OH MY GOD!
    Can’t believe the news I’ve received from Timeform this morning …..NO MORE RACEHORES annuals.
    Having suffered like most business’ from the pandemic news reached me that with certain exceptions all printed material’s are to cease.The exceptions I understand being racecards which will continue to be sold at the course and editions of Horses to Follow via Amazon besides these everything else will be in a digital format.
    This will take time to sink in for me having been a subscriber to the Racehorses annuals since 1979 so guess I’m going to have the change the habits of a lifetime in adjusting to this new way of presenting things.Good news is though that the annuals may not be lost completely as Timeform say options for continuing it into the future are being explored.
    A very sad day for me!
    good luck to all

    #1511324
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    Sorry but don’t have time for a detailed write up but taking EXALTED ANGEL e/w in the last at Newcastle,@ 5/1,BOG and most bookies offering 4 places would consider myself very unfortunate if we didn’t get at least our money returned.
    good luck to all

    #1511558
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    No damage done with the last selection with the 5/1 available at the time of posting returning our stake.
    Although Documenting has a good record on this surface and track I’m siding with the better overall form of SHINE SO BRIGHT who put up a very good performance over 6f which I consider to be too short a trip to show his best when last seen.Apologies for being so brief.
    good luck to all

    #1512418
    Blackcountry Kid
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    • Total Posts 191

    Although the bet I’ve just struck on Betfair (sportsbook),isn’t anything like my usual kind of investment it seemed such good value that it would be rude not to accept the challenge.A recent import from France MEMORY DREAM currently one of the huge outsiders for the feature event at Dunstall Park tonight is the selection I’ve invested a PLACE BET @ 14/1 for Four places.This gelding was a very late foal and has pieces of decent form from France which suggest to me he’s overpriced and also believe the drop in trip will be in his favour.
    The choice is yours whether you wish to follow me on this but at this time of year found I’ve had to be inventive as this is by far the hardest period to just find a decent bet.
    good luck to all

    #1512545
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    A very tardy start put pay to all hopes.
    Apologies

    #1512547
    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 296

    He got well backed too, shame

    #1512950
    Blackcountry Kid
    Participant
    • Total Posts 191

    Let one run the other day as I was unsure about the temperament considering the gelding antics under the previous trainer and of course when off fav winning nicely.
    Such things are sent to try us and can be almost heartbreaking!
    Putting forward a selection today for your consideration who’s been progressive since his return to the fray and expect GOWANLAD e/w to continue his progress in this better company.Although this colt failed to cut much ice as a juvenile his form did show improvement from race to race which was perhaps predictable given an April foaling date.Off the course for eleven months the selection lost his maiden tag at the first attempt of the current season in a novice event over course & distance running out a comfortable victor.Made his handicap debut just over two weeks later winning,in my opinion,with a shade more in hand than the official margin would suggest blowing all his previous numbers out of the water by a clear margin.Although this will be by far the colt’s sternest test to date the progressive profile says to me he’s worth following after only being raised 3lb.There are a number of possible challengers and other rivals who can boast better form but none to me tell the same story as the selection.
    good luck to all

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