Dublin Racing Festival 2018

[stevecaution]

Long time no see Lone Wolf (muggins)

Melon is popular here but the money continues to creep on Faugheen and if he looks the part tomorrow I could see him a shade of odds-on.

After being backed initially, I see Defi Du Seuil is out to 6/1 with Coral, after being no bigger than 7/2 at one stage.

Our Duke is tempting at 10/3 but I’ll have another think about it first.

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[ham]

Was always going to be on killultagh vic id say vautour, regardless of his first run over hurdles, prior to that they where quite taken with his work or atleast they gave that impression, hoping he can run a nice race, would shorten up a fair bit if he wins for the GC

No stormy ireland which is a real shame, hopefully nothing serious!

[Vautour]

Yeah, that was a pity about Stormy Island; might get her at a better price for March

Would love to see Killultagh Vic hose up here tomorrow.

[BigG]

In the Coral Handicap Hurdle on Saturday, I think Ivanovich Gorbatov at 25/1
6 places with Paddy Power is worth a second look. Admittedly his form over the past
year, albeit in decent races, doesn’t do much to advertise his chances. However, as
a previous Arkle winner, with the likes of Apples Jade and Footpad behind him, and
still at 6yrs, he warrants consideration. He hasn’t exactly been dropped a great
deal by the handicapper, but he is running off his lowest mark for the past 2 years.
More importantly he has the services of a very good apprentice, in the shape of Donal
McInerney, who takes a very important 5lbs of his back. He’s top weight off a mark
of 147, which as I said is his lowest mark for some time, but with the further 5lds
he’s effectively running off 142, which is the same mark he carried when he won the
Arkle. It is a bit of guesswork as to how how much of that ability he retains, but
at 25/1 6 places with Paddy Power, I’m willing to give him a chance

[ham]

Yeah, hoping its not a setback and there just being cautious or think they only need one lol,

Aye, would be a pretty good result for me if he did that, so i hope your right lol

[muggins_here]

Hi Steve. In the Faugheen backers favour is PP going 3/1 Melon. I just chose to ignore these kind of signs, because often these bookies who go best price, are the same ones who quickly go worst price once they see some ten and twenty quids. I like Melon, and i’ll go with him. He’s an improver with the least interrupted season of the front 3 in the market. With Our Duke, i’m thinking Jessie will have him fit enough to win. To me he’s the most talented horse in the race. She seems happy enough, and i don’t think she would send him here unless she was expecting a good show. I have him for March, and i’d be dissapointed if he didn’t go close with a good round.

[raymo61]

I have had what I consider a filthy each way bet , each way on each and an each way double on FABULOUS SAGA 3/1 and PETIT MOUCHOIR 3/1

[BigG]

It seems that the bookies, not to mention the punting public, don’t agree with my my
assessment of IVANOVICH GORBATOV, who I put up at 25/1, and they (PP) have doubled
that to 50/1. Well clearly everyone is wrong and therefore I must be right, so I’m
having another stab at him. I’ll be happy enough if he comes in 6th, with PP covering
that number for the place.

[raymo61]

With PP offering six places I had to have a few quid each way on three in this G !!

BEN DUNDEE is my main bet at 10/1
LOW SUN at 20/1
INDIAN MONSOON at 25/1

And unlike me I have backed a favourite FAUGHEEN at 11/10. If he is anything like back he wins this easy!!

[KevMc]

Ivanovich Gorbatovs big day will be the county again i’d imagine.

Saturday Fancies –
Carter McKay
Yorkhill
That’s a Wrap & Bel Ami De Sivola e/w
Faugheen
Midnight Stroll & Minds Eye e/w
Rhinestone e/w

[Middle_Of_March]

Stuck with my original thoughts on this thread earlier in the week. I’ve done:
1:10 – Fabulous Saga @ 4/1

1:45 – Yorkhill @ 5/6

2:20 – Petit Mouchoir @ 3/1 (just hopeful of a good run to set me up for Cheltenham)

2:55 – Squatoeur @ 14/1

3:30 – Defi De Seuill @ 6/1 (NAP)

4:05 – Mind’s Eye @ 8/1

4:40 – Rapid Escape @ 11/8

[Pants]

Cracking card. The bet of the weekend for me is Min at 5/2. I don’t believe there’s anything like the difference between Min and Yorkhill as the market suggests.

[jackh1092]

Going to do a small write up on the races, and put my selections up, not all are proper bets for me, but the racing is great so it warrants an opinion or two.

1.10- It’s the G1 novice of the poorest quality, but that also makes it pretty tricky. Dortmund Park was impressive last time, however, he’s out again quite quickly and the ground that day was very bad. Fabulous Saga wouldn’t be of interest today either due to the conditions not being 100% his optimum. Its between Jetz and Carter Mckay for me, but it’s tentative. Jetz has been running decent enough in tougher graded races, whilst CM is relatively unexposed and should appreciate the added yardage. Both have question marks about their ability, but at the prices i am just siding with Carter Mckay.

1.45- What an exciting race this is. Min was for me running below his best at Xmas, he ran so keen early on and i just think he took a lot out of himself when it didn’t matter. Whilst Yorkhill is going down a fair bit in trip in search for a faster pace. I really hope Townend can get him covered up early or things could go wrong again. He needs a really strong ride and for some reason Ruby really gets a tune out of him more than anyone. Special Tiara will help both Min and Yorkhill by setting a good gallop. I couldn’t have a bet in this, but i have slight preference for Yorkhill purely on pure ability. I still believe he’s better over the Ryanair trip myself..

2.20- Footpad has been superb and really should take this. Many point out Petit Mouchoir beat him a few times over hurdles which is a fair point but for todays race, Footpad should win. If PM can stay with him and finish a respectable second its a lovely reappearance with an eye to the festival.

2.55- Tricky as the two that caught my eye now don’t run I’ve watched Kilfenora since his debut over fences. Reason being JP had loads of runners in the Galway race, and he was supported from big prices…He ran well at big prices last time, and has been supported here as well. He probably needs to jump better, but he would be my main selection here at 10/1 E/W. I will probably have a second bet too, Some Plan.

3.30- Faugheen please be back to your normal! As its been said, the CH could be awful if he doesn’t! I have had a small bet on Bapaume in this as well. Realistically playing for a place, but he is back in trip after travelling very well over 3miles, he should be staying at the finish, whilst Melon will need to prove he can settle and finish the race off. Faugheen has a question mark. Defi Du Seuil should really have his measure, but he didnt set the world alight on his reappearance either. Possibly he has the excuse of the stable form, but i thought Bapaume represented some decent value at 25/1 E/w.

4.05- Massive handicap with many chances. I have landed with 3, two i’ve watched for awhile now and one i think has the best chance. Agent Boru who was eyecatching at Fairyhouse, but didnt back it up over 2m4 which i thought wouldve suited 66/1. Miles to Memphis who has some nice flat form, and was expected to be very good early in his career before getting a bad injury. He can jump clumsily but he has ability and hes worth ago at 40/1….Lastly Ben Dundee. He’s been fancied ever since he bolted up on his stable debut, and knowing the owner is involved with Leopardstown, i wouldn’t be surprised if he was trained to the minute for this…. 10/1

4.40- A tasty bumper which could have many a decent horse in. Rapid Escape has improved with his runs, i was questioning him after Down Royal and thought Fahys was mega eyecatching, but the weights dont give Dunvegan as much of a chance, whilst he has gained experience since. Brace Yourself beat a average horse, but beat him like a very very good horse on Boxing day, i was there and quite blown away. I like Blackbow in this, not really a confident selection. He took awhile to learn his job on Boxing Day but ended up quite impressive. at the weights i like him more than Rapid Escape. He’s 11/4 with 365.

Lucky punting

Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

[BrixtonBoy]

Got Min, Petit Mouchoir, Supasundae EW, Brace Yourself/Minella Encore onside today, some speculative enough bets there but enough doubts over many at the head of the markets to justify most of these bets – kept stakes fairly small…

[charlie87]

1.10 Fabulous Saga @ 14/1
1.45 Yorkhill @ EVS
2.20 Footpad (Just watching)
2.55 Tully East @ 10/1
3.30 Faugheen @ 2/1 (Skybet offer yesterday)
4.05 Bleu Berry @ 14/1
4.40 Brace Yourself @ 8/1

[Degaussed]

Special Tiara in the 13:45. His price is crazy when Min and Yorkhill have it all to prove. He jumps really well, will love the ground (I know they say it’s ‘soft’, but it’s like Kempton in that it drains very well) and the strongest piece of form in the book imo (Champion Chase).

[ham]

Imo last years jlt is the stronger piece of form id think over the CC degaussed

Hopefully yorkhill and/or min put a distance between 3rd, would be good for the CC rather than having two more ryanair horses

[Author]

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