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Grass,
I’m ok mate. I’ve pretty much quit the day to day stuff now, although I still watch and make wild judgements. I tend to wait for the good things to come along and lump on and trust me Kasbah is lump material add to the fact that’s my day at the festival 2009 and we are up and running for a major party.
Throw in the fact that he’s still only six, going on seven, and you begin to wonder what there is to think about.
How about the fact that he has only won seven of twenty-one hurdle starts?
He might only be rising 7yo, but he is hardly a young, inexperienced horse with stacks of improvement to come.
I repeat – at current odds, he is the worst value in the World Hurdle market……….imo.
Oh Grass,
He is the surest of sure things. Just needs to turn to win doing handsprings. I’ve gobbled up plenty of 5’s and still think 3/1 is value. If he turns up, he’ll be 6/4 an accurate price
The Shoes
Max,
Again I don’t know for certain, but I think the bend into the straight might have been made even tighter since the Polytrack went down, which IMO makes it much more difficult for horses that have already attempted to quicken before the bend to then re-kick in the straight.
It is certainly not impossible to front-run, but I think lots of things contribute to it being very difficult.
Max,
I am no expert on American racing, but have watched enough to be fairly certain that none contain the undualtions that there are at Lingfield. Southwell & Wolves can suit a front runner, but the very nature of Lingfields speedy downhill run makes it difficult to front run and save enough for the run in.
It is very much a specialist track and clearly suits horses with a vast burst of speed who get the trip (i’m very much in favour of horses who have proved they stay a furlong further at Wolverhampton, then drop in trip at Lingfield), very few races are ground out from the front, but horses do have to stay as the downhill run from nearly 5 furlongs out to inside the final 2 furlongs, forces horses to run at top speed for 3 furlongs before the 2 furlong run to the line – which can explain why some horses look like they are flying, it’s probably because the horses in front are really stopping.
From someone who reads, but rarely posts. There are lots of good topics, but they spiral into crap…
I think the moderators do an amazing job, and a word in the ear of some of the pointless posters may well have the desired effect.
I always have a problem with this notion that horses that don’t find anything off the bridle must have a mental issue of some sort. Could it not just be that the horse gives 100% without being asked and so when push comes to shove they have nothing more to give simply because they’ve given it already? Similar to BJK really..
I would have to disagree Aragorn, some horses just don’t like the battle. It would seem improbable that had it have been Hardy Eustace coming to the last cruising in the Champion Hurdle he would have put his head in the air and refused to go past.
As my local Sainbury’s seemed to have run out of News Of The Worlds today I thought it only right that I buy a paper in line with my own political views, hence a labour-bashing newspaper by the name of The Mail on Sunday. The front page was "battle for a child’s right to a father".
The story goes something along the lines of "MP’s and peers from all parties, backed by both Anglican and Catholic church leaders, will ambush legislation intended to let lesbian couples become parents to test-tube babies without any involvement of a father beyond donating sperm".
So what do you think..
Marb,
Lesbians should be "aloud" (although, I think you mean "allowed") to have test tube babies.
PS. You are a fecking idiot.
PPS. I am not from Kew, I’m from Crewe. I am working class, I can spell.
Sailing Shoes
L33 already has put forward a series of selections.
What more does he have to do??
!
WHERE?
Free meal ticket?? LMAO!
What is wrong with my blog? Apart from the fact it’s miles out of date.
I suggest you either put up or shut up – people who boast of 80% strike-rate after a couple of posts tend only to last a couple of posts.
80%+ Winners.
Go for it – if you proof 80% winners on here we’ll all be happy, price doesn’t really matter, we can all smash them off the boards.
Tell you what Lee, I’ll be happy with just 50%. No need to over do it – chuck in a few losers.
The VDW method, when followed successfully, will give a strike rate of 80% +.
Lee
Give over
maggsy,
Anything that divides Prize Money/Starts etc.. doesn’t really interest me. Although, why all you guys go on about causing problems with posting selections – that is positively encouraged.
By this time tomorrow the folk how complained about the VDW thread should be more than happy, it will have fallen on of the Horse Racing thread. I do accept it should never have been on there of course, what the devil would a method of analysing horse races do featuring on a thread that would be better served be called the Horse Racing Lounge. Nobody on here wants to discuss any sort of detailed horse race analysis, in fact I think I only found one thread that even came close.
For me at least one interesting thing emerged, and that was written by a “handicapper” class plays no part in handicaps. Well that person certainly wouldn’t understand VDW, but then I do wonder if he (the handicapper) understands horse racing. Now this person isn’t shy about giving his opinion, so no doubt he will put me right, if class doesn’t effect the result of races why bother to handicap them? Isn’t one of the aims of handicapping to give all the horses in a race the same chance, and to classify the grade of horse that can run in certain races? Does he really believe weight has the same effect on all horses, i.e 6lbs extra will slow all horses down by the same mount?
Not only would VDW give him an insight into class, I think it would help him and others to look at the course the horses perform to their best. Now again it may just be me, but I can’t help wondering why some folk think a horse who’s best winning form is on left handed speed course can’t perform on a right handed stiff track when it is competing against top class horses who have.
Then throw in a gentleman who somehow thinks the aim of the VDW thread is to seduce the “brains” into some dark website. If they have brains that would be impossible, and what would be the point? Charge these brains for information, torture their secrets out of them?
As I’m not sure who Hensman is I can’t speak for him, but for my part if anyone had shown any interest in analysing a few races I would have been more than happy to take part. Again I can’t speak for Johngringo but I do think he would have joined in and then perhaps some of the 9650 who bother to look in would have had something to judge the worth of the methods against. Who knows they may even had something to judge if class matters or not against, rather than just the word of a racing journalist/pundit.
The first paragraph is absolute rubbish.
As for the part about Horses and Courses – A horse whose best form has come on a left-handed speed track, then goes onto to take on horses of similar [b:14p4gqvs]“Abilty”[/b:14p4gqvs] on a right handed stiff track there must be a question mark against the chances of reproducing, but the horse could be even better.
I don’t want to rubbish VDW, because I have no idea what it consists off, even though this thread is now 21 pages long!
In 20 years I want the tory party to be a party of the people for the people, a party that is about personality and charisma not just policy and agenda’s. .
The Tories are welcome to you. If you thinkt the tories will become a party of the people for the people. There is more chance of me picking the Cambridgeshire winner
And the bit about personality and charisma? WTF does that matter? POLICIES are the IMPORTANT point!!!
