Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
Sorry a bit late with this. Was at work when you opened stage 2.
Anyway with what I think is the most likely winner, plus last year’s winner trying to follow suit the horse which I named myself after in this forum it’s got to be GROUP 3
April 10, 2015 at 23:09 in reply to: Select 3 Horses to win on Sat.11th April – GRAND FINAL JUMPS COMP #880086FOR MY FINAL SELECTION IN THIS COMPETITION GOING FOR
4.15 AINTREE THE DRUID’S NEPHEW NAP
5.40 AINTREE HOLLIES PEARL
2.45 NEWCASTLE WITHERNSEA
-
MY RESERVES IF NEEDED ARE
3.15 NEWCASTLE SHERRIFF OF NAWTON RES 1
3.25 AINTREE BUYWISE RES 2
2.05 AINTREE TRAFFIC FLUIDE RES 3
April 10, 2015 at 23:08 in reply to: Select 3 Horses to win on Sat.11th April – GRAND FINAL JUMPS COMP #880085FOR MY FINAL SELECTION IN THIS COMPETITION GOING FOR
4.15 AINTREE THE DRUID’S NEPHEW NAP
5.40 AINTREE HOLLIES PEARL
2.45 NEWCASTLE WITHERNSEA
-
MY RESERVES IF NEEDED ARE
3.15 NEWCASTLE SHERRIFF OF NAWTON RES 1
3.25 AINTREE BUYWISE RES 2
2.05 TRAFFIC FLUIDE RES 3
So here for this season’s competition is my penultimate selections
- NAP
1.25 HAYDOCK GRATE FELLA2.00 HAYDOCK ZIGA BOY
2.35 HAYDOCK HINDON ROAD
RESERVES IF NEEDED
SPECULATIVE BID (RES 1 : 2.15 KEMP)
ANIKNAM (RES 2: 4.20 HAYDOCK)
NO DEAL (RES 3: 3.30 CARLISLE )
JUST TO MAKE IT CLEAR, GRATE FELLA IS MY NAP
So here for this season’s competition is my penultimate selections
- NAP
1.25 HAYDOCK GRATE FELLA
2.00 HAYDOCK ZIGA BOY
2.35 HAYDOCK HINDON ROAD
-
RESERVES IF NEEDED
SPECULATIVE BID (RES 1 : 2.15 KEMP)
ANIKNAM (RES 2: 4.20 HAYDOCK)
NO DEAL (RES 3: 3.30 CARLISLE )
Betting:
Even Money….Nenni
9/4 ………. Columbus
9/2………..Over2u
10/1……….RedRum & Diamond Geezer
12/1………jonnova
20/1………triptych
25/1 bar
Vtc .. 500/1 to go from zero to hero on the last dayThem odds on myself looks tempting, still a weekend before the National, thanks to Easter Weekend. One more attempt to close that gap
Got some good choices lined up for the National, depending on how desparate I am will depend on my final selection.
My main three this weekend are…
GM Hopkins 3.45 Doncaster Nap
Bog War 3.15 Navan
Boher Call 5.30 NavanIf they’re needed then my reserve list is
Res 1 Halation (3.10 Doncaster)
Res 2 Proofreader (5.10 Kempton)
Res 3 Shirocco Passion (2.10 Uttoxeter)Was successful years ago, with Eradicate 3rd in Lincoln
and Lastofthebrownies 4th National in 1989.This time my hopes are pinned on GM Hopkins Lincoln and The Druid’s Nephew
My choosen three this week are…..
2.50 KELSO DESILVANO NAP
4.35 KELSO THE COBBLER SWAYNE
2.00 NEWBURY O MAONLAI
-
RESERVES IF NEEDED ARE….
1st res 3.05 FONTWELL PROUT SPOUT
2nd res 2.25 BANGOR RESTRAINT OF TRADE
3rd res 4.25 STRATFORD JAY ARE
Always associating the festival with St Patricks day, I booked the wrong week off work when I was making my plans in January, so I didn’t see too much of the racing live, but I did follow the Guardian blog on my phone as much as possible and as always they combined passion and quality output all week, so kudos to Team Guardian.
As mentioned in another post I’m constantly surprised at how casual so many connections are about tactics in big races and that was something that stood out again this week.
Something else that stood out was how little chance you have going wide in big fields on good ground at Cheltenham. Fairly obvious, but amazing how many jockeys go that route with the choke out ’round Prestbury at the festival and commit suicide in the process.
Cheltenham this week reinforced my view that top level National Hunt racing is so much about gauging where a horse is on its improvement scale, rather than its actual raceday master rating imo. Its a scale the market can have trouble quantifying. Theres an edge there.
As ever during the week a few too many of the jumping fraternity were unable to enjoy their code of the sport without having a snipe at the flat, Mark Bradstock included it seems.
It was genuinely sad to see McCoy ride his last race at the festival. No doubt he will be missed, massively. As I’ve said before I think a man in his prime, drive, hunger and love intact, with his support network and connections could do the five grand and still spend the next 45 years a content ex-jockey. Right now I think he’s more gutted than satisfied.
A picture speaks a thousand words…..
So did I, however I think I now undersstand how Cheltenham falls. IT’s THE LAST FULL WEEK OF WINTER
Say the start of the week is Sunday and the end of the week is Saturday and WINTER ENDS MARCH 20th, the last full week of winter would be SUNDAY 8th MARCH to SATURDAY 14th MARCH.
NEXT YEAR it would be 13th MARCH to 19 MARCH.
[quote=845339]I know he is nearly older that the race course itself, but anyone else like me considering have a couple of EW quid on Oscar Time? Goes against all age trends but has run well there before and won there this season??
No, just me??! Ok then, as u were.
[/quote]
I’m fancying the other side of the age range, the hasn’t been a winning seven year old since 1940CAUSE OF CAUSE & BROADWAY BUFFALO ran a strong race at CHELTENHAM
and UNIONISTE ran extremely good behind the future Gold Cup winner at NEWBURY.BROADWAY BUFFALO might struggle to get in and UNIONISTE weight could tell in the end, but CAUSE OF CAUSES is nicely weighted and GORDON won before with SILVER BIRCH.
Update my ante post port folio
Spring Double : Lincoln GM HOPKINS 12/1 GENERALLY AVAILIBLE 1pt EW (quarter odds, 4 places)
GRAND NATIONAL : THE DRUID’S NEPHEW 16/1 SKYBET, BETVICTOR, WILLIAM HILL
1 pt ew as well quarter odds 4 places
Update my ante post port folio
Spring Double : Lincoln GM HOPKINS 12/1 GENERALLY AVAILIBLE 1pt EW (quarter odds, 4 places)
GRAND NATIONAL : THE DRUID’S NEPHEW 16/1 SKYBET, BETVICTOR, WILLIAM HILL
Cheltenham 2015 seemed a bit flat this year, yes the was lots of well fancied horses winning and favourites. But I like some outsiders in the mix a few smaller yards. Don’t know whether it was Channel 4 presentation or what.
The was a few clues for Aintree which could be interesting.
Cheltenham Next year and already the bookies are offering 16/1 for Mullins to win the 4 Championship races.
So next year instead of Cheltenham Festival let’s call it the THE WILLIE MULLINS FESTIVAL
I must admit to underestimating CONEYGREE, thought HOLYWELL before the race (because he won twice at past festivals) . However one thing I definitely suspected and was right about, poor favourite was SILVINIACO CONTI, last year when leading after the last he was overtaken by LORD WINDERMERE, ON HIS OWN & THE GIANT BOLSTER. A further study revealed that he’s yet to win at Cheltenham so I concluded that while being a brilliant horse that Cheltenham doesn’t suit him.
My three for Saturday are
UTTOXETER 3.50 CATCHING ON NAP
KEMPTON 2.20 COMMUNICATOR
KEMPTON 3.30 ALLEZ VICRESERVES IF NEEDED ARE
1st reserve LINGFIELD 3.05 TRYSTER
2nd reserve UTTOXETER 5.00 DOCTOR PHOENIX
3rd reserve KEMPTON 5.15 MIDNIGHT COWBOYBeltor in the JCB TRIUMPH HURDLE
Sort It Out in the VINCENT O´BRIEN COUNTY HANDICAP HURDLE
Value At Risk in the ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES´ HURDLE
Holywell in the BETFRED CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP CHASE
(Nap) Chosen Milan in the ST. JAMES´S PLACE FOXHUNTER CHASE CHALLENGE CUP (Need an outsider to win, if I’m going to win)
Killultagh Vic in the MARTIN PIPE CONDITIONAL JOCKEYS´ HANDICAP HURDLE
Ned Bluntline in the A.P. MCCOY GRAND ANNUAL CHASE CHALLENGE CUP
-
AuthorPosts