Forum Replies Created
-
Posts
-
PR-obviously any info I get in future would not be worth posting on this forum.
Although I have only been a member for a short time,it was good while it lasted.
Good Luck to all (and that includes PR)
This is an amazing thread and looks sure to go on and on and on……………..
My post stating that JP had backed both LL and VAL.<br>lacked only one piece of info.I was aware of this B4 the race ,not after.
jjimps-are you suggesting BB broke sweat?<br>Absolutely cantering going down to the last the big horse lost all momentum when making a hash off the last handing the initiative to his rival.Being such a big horse he was unable to get back into full stride and lost out to a worthy champion.Cant wait for the re-match!!!!
Slippy Blue-for pure entertainment take the family to a point-to-point.Now these people know to look after their horses and there ara a few top class riders as well.
Dont have best mates at the pub PR and I do not disclose where my info comes from.<br>FACT- JP backed both Landing Light and Valiramix ante-post.
Surprised DL finds NH predictable.Nothing can be more predictable than the flat regarding the aims of the good horses.<br>Looking forward to 20-runner sprints DL,surely not at Beverley when your fancy gets a low draw,what a joke.<br>At least NH races are run off a level playing field.
JTS-I agree Baracouda is a real star but on this occasion had Charlie Swan been more positive we would undoubtedly had a different result.
Sorry to disagree Prince,but had BB been kicked on turning for home and had he pinged the last Baracouda would not have got within 2 lengths.
Racing is a game of "IFS" but there can be no doubt that "IF" Charlie had kicked for home turning in he would have finished in front of Baracouda.He was travelling easily the best.<br>In addition "IF" Bannow Bay had jumped the last running there is every chance he would also have beaten Baracouda.<br>This would have to go down as one of Swans worst ever Cheltenham rides.
Just to throw a spanner in the works:<br>FACT-JP had backed both Landing Light and Valiramix ante-post.
Now that makes for an interesting scenario.
Larry more stats on your system.
August 2001 showed a profit of 164.00 pounds
January 2002 showed a profit of 510.00 pounds
Have you found THE system?
I have checked your system for the complete month of February and you would show a profit of 436 pounds for that month.<br>The only problem I see is laying which horse when the betting is close.i.e 7/2 joint favs just before the off means in your system that you do not play,but one of these can easily be returned 3/1 fav.<br>In a lot of cases it also difficult to predict which horse will start fav.For example in the last race at Exeter today<br>Devote opened at 9/4 but drifted to be returned at 4/1 whilst Capprichio opened at5/1 but was supported to 7/2 fav.<br>Theory is good but in practice,in some cases,not so good.
Escorial-Surely the main factor in the improved form shown by Shooting Light is the ground.All his best form is on good ground and he put up some cracking performances when trained by the shrewd Pat Murphy on ALL types of ground.<br>I am not saying he has not improved under Pipe but I am convinced he would have shown the same improvement under Murphy given the ground conditions on which he has raced this season.
(Edited by beard at 1:11 pm on Feb. 27, 2002)
Each-way betting in some races is extremely good value.But the key words here are SOME RACES.Backing horses is all about percentages and where the percentage is in the bookmakers favour then the punter should not be backing in the race at all,either win or e/w.
A perfect example of a race to play E/W on was a race at Warwick on Friday 22 Feb.<br>Borani was 11/10 fav and most on-course bokkmakers were reluctant to bet E/W because the next 3 runners in the market were priced at 7/2,9/1 and 10/1 with the other runners being 16/1 and bigger.Total S/P percentage was 116%.
If the favourite does not complete the course then the E/W liabilities are considerable.Whist it was almost impossible to get an E/W bet on course there is no problem off-course and it was more than pleasing to see QUICKSWOOD drift from an opening show of 7/1 to his returned SP OF 9/1.
On ground which suited this dour stayer more than any other in the field it would have been a major surprise if he had been out of the frame and with the favourite being already beaten when he fell at the last Quickswood was able to coast home by a distance.
Some would argue that the 11/10 favourite looked certain to be in the frame and therfore E/W punters would be looking only at two places and i totally agree on this point,but with only four horses with real live chances in the race it was a major E/W punting race.<br>
(Edited by beard at 1:18 pm on Feb. 25, 2002)
