February 21, 2002 at 15:47 #890
Thought I’d give the systems workshop a look in and decided to give this a try to see how it works. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Hopefully I can find the time to keep it up and running. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Here’s the idea…
Lay the favorite in the last race each day from Monday to Saturday (No Irish races). Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â
To make this realisitic (as if you were doing it on Betfair), I will add one odds increment onto the real digital SP odds to allow for the better value you have to offer on the exchange.
This system will take level stakes of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20, with a starting bank of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1000. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â
An example. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Horse A is the fav. Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Its SP is Evens, therefore we will offer 2.10 ( 11/10 ). Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â We will take Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20, which is a risk of Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£22.
Lets see how it goes! Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â I will update (or try to) at the end of the day, giving a running total of the bank.
(Edited by larry layer at 4:05 pm on Feb. 21, 2002)February 21, 2002 at 15:49 #39480
Also, if there is a race with joint favourites then I will not play on that race.February 21, 2002 at 17:20 #39481
Southwell 4.50 Kent LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 5/4 LOST <br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1020
Wincanton 5.00 Captain Corelli LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 3/1 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1040
Huntingdon 5.10 Oudalmuteena LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 7/2 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1060
A nice start.February 21, 2002 at 18:21 #39483MatronParticipant
- Total Posts 5824
Good start Larry.
Regards – Matron<br>:cool:February 22, 2002 at 18:07 #39485
Kempton 4.30 Lakefield Rambler LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 15/8 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1080
Warwick 5.10 Joint Favs = NO BET<br>(incidentally, neither won so that would have been another win)
Wolverhampton 5.20 Ostara LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 5/2 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1100
Bank up Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£100 in two days, nice start. :biggrin: :cool:February 23, 2002 at 17:23 #39488
Lingfield 4.50 Most Saucy LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 5/1 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1120
Musselburgh 5.00 Hollow Legs LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 13/8 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1140
Kempton 5.10 Cappadrummin LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 13/8 WON<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1107.50
After 8 Plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£107.50. 7 Wins, 1 Loss.February 25, 2002 at 17:07 #39490
Wolverhampton 4.45 Joint Favs = NO BET
Plumpton 4.55 Brooksie LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 10/3 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1127.50
9 Plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£127.50. 8 Wins, 1 Loss.February 26, 2002 at 16:46 #39492
Lingfield 4.40 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â Mr Lear Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 5/6 Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1147.50
10 plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£147.50. 9 Wins, 1 Loss
(Edited by larry layer at 4:47 pm on Feb. 26, 2002)February 28, 2002 at 07:50 #39493
Lingfield 5.15 Open Arms LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 13/8 WON<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1115
11 Plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£115. 9 Wins, 2 LossesFebruary 28, 2002 at 17:43 #39495
Ludlow 5.00 Scottish Dance LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 15/8 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1135
Taunton 5.10 St. Helensfield LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 6/4 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1155
Southwell 5.20 Green Green Grass LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 6/4 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1175
14 Plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£175. 12 Wins, 2 Losses.<br>March 1, 2002 at 00:03 #39497paul101Member
- Total Posts 27
Larry, it looks as though you have a winner with this system, do us all a favour and keep it going as long as you can, a 17.5% profit after 1 week is excellent, I really can not see a 17.5% profit every week, but it would be very interesting to see this thread after another month or so.
good luck PaulMarch 1, 2002 at 08:40 #39498
Thanks, I will try to keep it going Paul ! Results are encouraging at the moment. Its quite eye opening isn’t it. I’m using the statistic that the last favourite of the day wins a lower percentage of races, which hopefully should mean you still have a big enough margin to lay them all on betfair and make a profit. I’m expecting lots of them to win soon as a 12 – 2 start is a bit too good. :biggrin:March 1, 2002 at 17:37 #39499
Doncaster 5.15 Flossy Tops LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 10/3 LOST<br>BANK = Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1195
Newbury 5.30 Tom De Savoie LAY Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 @ 6/4 LOST<br>BANK – Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£1215
16 Plays, BANK UP Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£215. 14 Wins, 2 LossesMarch 2, 2002 at 01:11 #39500DaylightMember
- Total Posts 369
we need to assess this system as we run a monthly prize to the best monthly system performer. We deal in points (not pounds) so for arguments sake when we calculate this system for the monthly prize can we say Ãƒâ€šÃ‚Â£20 is 1 point as it makes it easier to work out for us. You carry on as you are but it’s just so we can rate your system against others.
Good system so far by the way!March 2, 2002 at 09:10 #39501
would you like me to put in a points figure as well as a bank figure to make it easier ?
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