Coventry Stakes 2018

[stevecaution]

Is Sergei Prokofiev a runner here?

He was virtually off the Norfolk betting boards but has now re-appeared there, varying from clear to joint fav in places.

Has O’brien seen Calyx and chickened out?

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[Middle_Of_March]

As of two days ago he was Coventry bound according to o Brien I believe.

Tom segal said today that Sergei may actually have too much natural pace for the Coventry and that may be why he’s now priced up again for the Norfolk across the boards.

[stevecaution]

I’ll have a bet on Calyx at 5/2, just in case Sergei Prokofiev does go to the Norfolk. That will cover losing both my original selection and my saver from the Coventry.

With Legends Of War gone from the race at 13/2, losing Sergei Prokofiev as well (at 33/1) would be too sore to take.

Calyx 5/2 (On sufferance)

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[Gingertipster]

If there were to be plenty of rain then it would make more sense to keep Sergei at 5f for the Norfolk, rather than the comparitive stamina test of 6f on soft ground on a stiff track.
However, according to BBC the chance of rain is up to 25% tomorrow and 15% Sunday. Of course it makes sense to keep their options open at this stage; but still highly unlikely to turn soft. So the more prestigeous Coventry is surely where he’ll be turning up barring the ulnikey event of the heavens opening.

However, if anyone has got a bet on Sergei for the Guineas, Lay it off. When connections are worrying about 6f now – he aint gonna stay a mile next year.

Value Is Everything

[KevMc]

Cosmic Law 12/1 4 places BV.

Won against a draw bias two runs ago then bolted up at Epsom running a big number. His progress is looking rapid, if he runs to the same level or slightly higher he’s got to have a massive chance.

Will probably have a go on Calyx if I can get 7/2ish on the morning, want to take on Sergei over 6.

[Middle_Of_March]

Well he’s declared.

7 weeks of watching him shorten (admittedly from a shorter price than Steve has) and now he just has to win. The easy part eh?

Calyx is obviousky the danger but it’s a big ask for a horse to win arguably the best two year old race prior to July just ten days after his debut. I’ll be watching him in the parade ring before the race to see if he keeps calm. It’s a big mental step up for these two year olds but especially for one so new to the game.

Cosmic Law pissed up when I was at Epsom but that ground was softer than the rapid test they’ll have here and that would worry me.

The Irish River seems a little overhyped to me. On what I’ve seen, I couldn’t have him at all.

I get the sense that this is a very good renewal of the race. Just a gut feeling.

Come on Sergei! Do a Caravaggio please.

[stevecaution]

The Irish Rover has a bit to find with Cosmic Law through the horses who have raced against both. The Fahey horse took the Woodcote in the style of Buratino before he followed up in the Coventry in his season.

As MOM says, it was soft at Epsom, and that may have have flattered Cosmic Law’s margin of victory putting his credentials for the Ascot race into some question.

Hopefully it is the speed horse who emerges but I’ve had so many big prices going off pretty short, only to see them fail miserably on the day that mattered.

Calyx is the long term prospect but, as I said earlier, taking on a potentially speedier and more street-wise colt is probably the best way to get his unbeaten status changed PDQ.

Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

[CharlesOlney]

After much debate I’m sticking to my guns with Sergei having backed him at 11/2 a few weeks ago and have even topped up at 11/4.

I think that’ll be better than SP about the ‘SP’.

Sergei Prokofiev 11/2 & 11/4

[Middle_Of_March]

From my preview (DLAP):

‘3:05 – Coventry (Group 2)
Calyx has been all the rage for this since devouring a decent field on his debut a fortnight ago. The son of Kingman showed his sire’s lightning turn of foot to win by five lengths. I have to say his lack of experience would worry me though. It’s a big jump in class in such a small space of time and as classy as he may be, this could come too soon for him. His main market rival is SERGEI PROKOFIEV (11/4) for Aiden O’Brien who goes in search of his ninth win in the race. The Scat Daddy colt has won his last two starts with the minimum of fuss and has progressed like a good horse in the making. The step up in trip to six furlongs will probably suit but his cruising speed will be his main weapon here. He may just have too much speed for these in what looks to be a superb renewal of Royal ascot’s premier two year old race. Cosmic Law won impressively in the Woodcote at Epsom on Oaks Day but that was on soft ground. Advertise could be anything after winning on his debut, beating some of these in the process. One of those, BURJ (25/1) won his next start impressively and plenty of him is thought of at home. I’ve had a small bet on him at a huge price as I think 25s is somewhat large. Ninetythreetwenty has won both of his starts but will need to improve again against this field. Shine So Bright won a Nottingham maiden on his only start and their maidens very often work out well. The step up in trip will suit and I can see him running well at a big price too.’

[charlie87]

The Irish Rover @ 12/1

[BigG]

I’m not usually a favourite backer, but I think (along with a host of others) that Calyx
looked a bit special last time out at Newmarket. I’ve not had a bet, and it’s certainly
a quick return to the track, but Gosden wouldn’t take chances with what looks an exciting
prospect. I think he could turn out to be the new kid on the block

[Mike007]

Sergei ew 5 places

[viktors89]

That was spectacular. Superstar in the making.

2nd one has a bit of special in him too.

[Middle_Of_March]

He looked the best in the parade ring. Very calm. He showed a brilliant turn of foot. He looks special.

Sergei ran ok but was simply beaten by a very good two year old.

[nwalton]

wow I wont add much else, except would love to see the front three race against each other again and all on the same side of draw

[BigG]

Having raced only 10 days ago, and having to do it the hard way on his
own, I think that was a really good performance. I’m sure Frankie was
pleased to see the line come, but those on the far side had something
to race against. As I said before, he could be a bit special

[viktors89]

If they are all in the same side, winning distance is way bigger. The way he separated from the bunch was something else. Rest of horses on his side looked like a furlong behind him.

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