2000 Guineas 2025

How many runners at each course? Larger fields will obviously have a lower percentage of front runners winning because there will always be just one leader, whereas the number of hold up horses varies.
Also wind speed and direction has a big say at open / heath courses. When there’s a tailwind front running is a massive advantage. The reverse is obviously true for headwinds.

But as far as betting goes it does not really matter what percentage of ALL races are won by front runners. Because nobody bets in every race. I just find it easier to identify the races that WILL suit front / prominent runners at Newmarket than with most other courses; including a 109/1 winner.

Thanks Cork
Was waiting on that result.
Brilliant day for the boys in blue Jac

Nijinsky and Sea The Stars were all time greats. I doubt yesterday’s winner is in their league but we will see.

Camelot’s year was a poor Guineas.

I am not sure what the argument is about. The winner got a good ride, the runner up got a moderate ride and probably would have won under a better ride. That is all there is to it.

You have not exactly been Mr Shoemark’s greatest admirer yourself, looking at your comments on the thread in the Horse Racing section.

Ginger, don’t make it sound like I said it was an “abysmal” ride by Shoemark. My full statement was “It wasn’t an abysmal ride by Shoemark but it wasn’t good either.” I also wrote “the runner up got a moderate ride and probably would have won under a better ride.”

It came down to fine margins. Buick got it right, Shoemark didn’t. Which is essentially what the report in the “Racing Post” says.

Mistakes do happen. Unfortunately they are more costly in one of the most significant Group 1s of the season than they are in a maiden at Brighton.

As I said on the other thread, I genuinely feel bad for Shoemark but I was not convinced he was an elite level jockey when he was appointed to the role and yesterday didn’t do anything to change my mind.