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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

paul101

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Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 26 total)
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  • in reply to: Champion Hurdle #102618
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    I have some pretty good speed figures that says Intersky Falcon is well ahead, we all know Santenay ran a good second that day, but I have Santenay running faster the race before, I will go

    Santenay to win and Intersky to follow him home.

    in reply to: Best flat jockey in the world #102543
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    I like Fallon allways trying

    in reply to: Hand Inn Hand #85712
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    hi tooting,

    this is a sickner when this happens, its happened to me a few times on the flat and its sods law if you miss it its sure to win  a good tip would be to subscribe to an email reminder service  there are a few about nowerdays. good luck mate!

    in reply to: Professional Punters #101947
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    hi all,<br>I will add my bit on this subject, I visit the northern tracks regular,Redcar for instance is a small friendly track,  its easy to spot the faces, and  when I travel to the other local tracks they are there, you get to know these faces when you see them rush in with a wad when the price is right,  often £500 bets or more, I carnt say if these guys are pro’s but there are about 7 or8 of the same faces that I recognise, I have learned to look out for them and sometimes follow their bet on a smaller scale.

    in reply to: Pro Gambling #100964
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    Hi all , just a couple of points I would like to make first to jw and to people that go racing you asked what to look for in the paddock well jw its so simple most of the time, its a must for racegoers to visit the paddock, I am no expert but believe me most of the time its so obvious, I have seen odds on shots in the ring that look so weak they should be 33/1 outsideres, I have seen a redhot fav run at Redcar with more bandages on than a mummy, kicing and bucking in the ring, imo the easiest to start with is the 2yo if you have say 8 in the ring they are very easy to compare to each otherI look for maturity first,and are they playing up ? some get very much on edge and some dont, look for a nice shine on the coat its easy to spot, watch when the jockey mounts the horse  in the ring, some 2yo’s are just big babys and you can see they panic in the ring they dont know what the hell they are doing there, and they are useing up loads of energy panicking, they sweat buckets, like I say jw I am no expert but most of what I look for is common sense, when you get the older more experienced horses in its much harder to spot a good thing, more form comes into play,muscle  ect.

    I have an excellent record backing horses on course, after seeing them, compared to studying the form book at home where like most us I usually  lose money.

    Larry Layer if your there mate can you tell me when you are on the exchangers do you find it easier to make money on football and if you do, do you have a stop loss on inplay games if you are loseing, I must agree with you you learn to read them after a while, I am a small player on backing and laying usually a stright hundred pounds per game but if things are not going to plan I find it hard to bring my stop loss into play and can easy lose the lot through not being disiplined, Do you believe the bots are still sucking the value out I think they have gone recently as I can back and lay befor matches to make a profit but obviosly have to risk a lot more than a ton, what are your views?

    in reply to: Luke Harvey Answers your Questions #89946
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    Cheers Luke, loved the reply to An Capall’s question, and Oldrope I know the feeling.

    <br>

    in reply to: Amelia runs Leicester 2:20 Sunday 16/6/02 #99659
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    GET IN THERE,  it makes it all worth while, well done Amelia

    in reply to: Amelia runs Leicester 2:20 Sunday 16/6/02 #99651
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    hi guys,

    all the best today with Amelia,I have always thought that this is the distance for Amelia,but imo you could not have picked a harder race, if the ground is good or better today I am going  max on Ffynnon Gold, I think after following the fillie for a while she is around 8lbs better than her mark, after spending a lot of time studying this race, there is one outsider that should be backed to cover your main bet imo., and that is Moonlight Song,@ 25/1. connections have booked the ultimate featherweight job jockey for this race in G.Bradwell 3wins from 3runs this season for  John Harris, although the fillie has not got the form to win this race ,she has had a good lay off and with this booking makes me wonder why.

    hope you get a good run today.

    in reply to: WHAT DID YOU SEE? #99026
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    what did I see? i saw Falcon Hill win the Cammidge trophy last week at Donny 6f, and looked very usefull,then I see him entered in the Easter Stakes over 8f and being backed, then I read that MJ says his trip WILL be 6 or7f in Ahead on the Flat, and will be aimed at the Cammidge 6f, which he won, and The Free Handicap at the Craven meeting over 7f, Then he will follow the foriegn route.

    <br>All Falcon Hill’s form suggests he will be  a stiff 6f or possibly7f. horse. What I cannot understand is why MJ has spoiled this horses 3 yo record when he knew the colt would not stay, the horse went out like a light just after the 6f mark, after travelling really well and finished last of 9. any ideas why MJ would do this?

    in reply to: WHAT DID YOU SEE? #99011
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    Hi Esc, just like to update Sentinel’s last run comments from Superform.

    5th  btn  5L 38+ <br>754    SENTINEL 3 [7] 3-9-0 S Carson (3) 16/1: 065:  <br>- Stdd start, bhd, late gains under kind ride, nrst fin: qck reapp: caught the eye under tender handling, expect significant improvement in h’caps over further.  <br>

    in reply to: Speedratings #99170
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    Hi Guskennedy, thanks for all the input, its really interesting, how I would love to be able to calculate time ratings myself, my hobby is reading form, I can spend 20hours or more a week just looking at form,time and pace, and digging deep, allthough I only show a small profit on my punting, I enjoy the time I put in  reading, but Iam afraid to make my own time figures would be way way above me, I will be  looking forward to your next post.

    cheers Paul

    in reply to: WHAT DID YOU SEE? #98999
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    Looks like G Butler is after an easy mark for this one.

    SENTINEL 9 [2] 3-9-0 V Slattery 11/2: 06:  <br>- Dwelt & al bhd: op 4/1: rtd higher 718 (debut, polytrack).  

      SENTINEL [13] 3-8-7 V Slattery 20/1: 8:  <br>- Bhd, rdn/mod hdwy: op 12/1, Hector Protector colt.  <br>

    in reply to: Flat or NH #98498
    paul101
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    • Total Posts 27

    Flat for me without a doubt, I enjoy studying the form on the flat much more than  the jumps, and I think we have more of a chance  this year,  to money on the flat by laying  unworthy fav’s on the pp betting sites.

    in reply to: Was Istabraq turning up a bit of a stitch up? #98621
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    hi Kathy, you talk of an incentive for the connections to run isty I believe the biggest incentive in the history of horse racing was on offer, although isty was clearly not 100% he had to be given the chance to become the greatest of all time with HATTONS GRACE,SIR KEN, PERSIAN WAR and SEE YOU THEN not being able to do the impossible I belive  connections thought isty had to be giving the chance, and if he had pulled it off it would of put the record straight, as it stands, NIGHT NURSE is thought to be the best ever hurdler, with ISTABRAQ joint 2nd with MONKSFIELD.

    in reply to: Last Favourite Lay #39518
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    hi larry, nice to see your still going, you were due a bad day,but keep the system going.

    I used to get In The Know racing mag, last flat season and they gave I think it was £50 for the months best system’s why not Email them with your system its worth a try!

    in reply to: Last Favourite Lay #39497
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    Larry, it looks as though you have a winner with this system, do us all a favour and keep it going as long as you can, a 17.5% profit after 1 week is excellent, I really can not see a 17.5% profit every week, but it would be very interesting to see this thread after another month or so.

    good luck Paul  

    in reply to: Betting Patterns #98184
    paul101
    Member
    • Total Posts 27

    It would be interesting to know how Timeform had him rated in the race, Superform had him 12lbs in at the weights although not giving him the AW mark. can anyone expand?

    Glen,  forget about his last race, he won it, I am sure connections would rather win a race like that by a couple of lenths rather than a street would you not agree?   and read ALL his other form.           <br>

    (Edited by paul101 at 12:27 pm on Feb. 24, 2002)

Viewing 17 posts - 1 through 17 (of 26 total)