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If AR has off day and he will need to Up and Under form solid around other runners , and was well ahead of Tower of London this season and he looks smart . At 12s Ladbrokes his form with White Birch makes him decent each way value to me when viewed where White Birch sits in market .
Nice and fresh into race .Actually one I noticed back on the track last week was The Summit , 2 nd in French Derby few years back , went to HK I assume for big money ran poor . He has been gelded , had 2 and half years off . Went ok fresh up without trial , he will get a win in OZ , will need to shed some rating points but big yard has him so must be showing a glimmer of old ability .
Pure Champion who was Steinbeck at Ballydoyle raced in HK and then ended up in NZ , raced a few times and has a spot at stud .
Sweet Orange was Warning Flag in Ireland and after HK ended up at Stud in NZ but I think he’s gone to mainland China now as was not a success at stud .
Akeed Mofeed came out of HK and seems to produce the odd decent horse in OZ , so old Waipiro has a small window of hope .Plenty of ex HK horses out in OZ and NZ that get another go and pick up a few wins . There are a couple of trainers very good at getting them back in the mood , bit of time in nice green field seems to sort them out .Lastest figures on internet are August 2022 . 1150 active racehorses in HK , approximately 98 per cent geldings . 25 colts, 2 fillies , 2 rigs .
Waipiro does look a very nice horse .He will be short odds on to be gelded, last three runnings HK Derby has had one filly and three colts . Two remain intact according to records , one retired , one still racing and Russian Emperor gelded a few races after Derby . He is by a champion out of a champion . Waipiro got no chance dodging that one imho .
Wildensteins got to be head of world rankings in dummy spitting owner division.
Vacarme was followed by some other incidents i think .
Be a few other dummy spitters no doubt .I suppose those that pay the bills call the tune .It would be a big risk on very likely heavy for first time , most give he’s ever run on was Good at Meydan , even the two Arc winners on his Dams side won their Arcs on Firm , it’s got to be long odds on to be soft or worse .
Going to have go EW Spangled Mac , great run yesterday , will be finishing strong over 6 , looks like he likes quick back ups too . Comes out gate close to some favoured runners might help Callan with move into race .
I enjoy watching Spencer ride , you know what you get with him he likes riding for luck but can adapt well . Hes got me a few nice collects over the years . Three of his best imho .
1 ) went midweek Lingfield late winter many years back , Spencer would have been early in career . Was riding horse called Silvertown for Barney Curley . I thought right double my money plus interest cover some costs . He cruised upsides , won a head without moving . Formline says ” cleverly ” . More to point the horse beaten a head formline reads ” no chance with winner ” .
2) Side Glance 2013 Mackinnon at Flemington for Andrew Balding . Decent odds , broke slow , pulls a bit . Spencer adapts goes forward and rides the Ozzie jocks to sleep , kicks at perfect point off bend and holds on , perfection !!
3) Crystal Mile 2019 Moonie Valley Chief Ironside , big odds round tight circuit times his run to perfection and noses it on line again showing the OZ jocks how it done on their turf.
A seriously good jockey imhoBeat Le Bon got into GE in 2019 off a 5 of 6 in Celebration mile and ran 6th picking up 55k , Light Infantry picked up 95k for 6th last year .
Good win ,I wonder if they will try get into the Golden Eagle over 7 and half with the connections to OZ . Not quoted yet I can see . 4th richest race in world now and only one chance at it . Light Infantry ran 6th last year , will need to creep rating up with a group win id guess , will get e pound age allowance .
Great training to get the winner to the race let alone win.
Running style imho huge in races like this , Yabir in the end wanted 3 miles plus to bob into a place as once he woke up late he started to go past a few .I cannot recall Yabir pulling and failing to settle recently , more the opposite sitting out the back and finding the line too late . He hits the line hard enough in his races when on song , brother won 3 mile hurdle at Clonmel in heavy so family stays . Seems like perfect horse to at least give himself a chance to run home hard in last furlong .
I’ve had a little each way interest on The Grand Visir . Been round in these types races for years , liked his
Chester Cup run , drops a few pounds and reasonably fresh after light year or so , might sweeten the old fella up .
One of the last of Frankel’s first crop still going round .I will have a go with Yibir ,has had pipe opener, can drop in relax then come past them with his turn of foot he can produce from the back .
Thanks AP racing , glad the horse Big Speil was not a false memory although quite clearly my memory of his alleged ability is slightly warped
