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The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

FinalFurlong91

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Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 6,486 total)
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  • in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695993
    FinalFurlong91
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    Yes tongue

    They could get an inch they could get nothing

    Just have to see which way the wind blows

    And play accordingly when the going report is updated Friday morning

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695983
    FinalFurlong91
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    Not sure they are for the lazy

    They give you a good idea which type of profile horse wins each particular race

    They likely won’t help you find any extra winners but are likely to put you off backing plenty of losers

    Just one of the things to look at when analysing a race

    in reply to: Oaks 2024 #1695941
    FinalFurlong91
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    • Total Posts 6657

    7 of the 12 runners have had 4 or less runs

    Could be anything lurking

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695887
    FinalFurlong91
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    5.2 on the going stick so directly between soft and heavy atm

    Soft being 5.8 and heavy being 4.6

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695854
    FinalFurlong91
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    Money continues to come for Ancient Wisdom

    Into a best of 5/1 now

    Los angeles a best of 9/2

    City of troy and Ambiente friendly on the drift

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695713
    FinalFurlong91
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    Can see Ancient Wisdom going off 2nd fav if the ground is soft or worse

    Just depends on how much rain falls

    in reply to: Derby 2024 #1695712
    FinalFurlong91
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    The prix du jockey club has been won by

    Ace Impact
    Vadeni
    St marks basilica
    Mishriff
    Sotsass

    The last 5 years.

    2 Arc winners an Arc 2nd (vadeni would surely have made it 3 Arc winners on better ground)

    The derby has been won by

    Auguste rodin
    Desert crown
    Adayar
    Serpentine
    Anthony van dyck

    The prix du jockey club has become the best 3yo race in europe

    in reply to: Tattersalls Gold Cup 2024 #1695669
    FinalFurlong91
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    Very impressive that

    Looks like the main challenger for passenger in the Prince of Wales now

    Both by ulysses both look better at 4 than 3

    in reply to: Irish 1000 Guineas 2024 #1695664
    FinalFurlong91
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    Opera singer had a setback Ham so is very unlikely to be as fit as River Tiber was for yesterday’s race

    Couldn’t back her myself

    But i don’t really like any of the others at the prices so happy to just watch

    in reply to: Tattersalls Gold Cup 2024 #1695663
    FinalFurlong91
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    Just a question of which Rodin turns up

    Couldn’t back him couldn’t back against him

    I’d quite like him to flop again as a passenger Prince of wales backer

    in reply to: Prix D’Ispahan 2024 #1695662
    FinalFurlong91
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    Cracking watch that was

    Admirable filly would’ve been unlucky had she not won the head bobbing finish as she was marginally in front

    Wonder if the owners of blue rose cen and big rock are thinking they’ve messed up moving all their horses from Christopher head

    in reply to: Prix Vicomtesse Vigier 2024 #1695643
    FinalFurlong91
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    Probably pocket talking but that was a dreadful ride

    First he’s held him up last, when his best run was front running winning the group 1 prix royal oak

    Then he’s made his move way too early and the horse got tired

    in reply to: Irish 2000 Guineas 2024 #1695636
    FinalFurlong91
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    Notable speech is the progressive 3yo isn’t he?

    Didn’t even make the track as a 2yo

    Hopefully we’ve got a top miler on our hands with that one

    FinalFurlong91
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    Mini book building like ginger does is a very common way of playing a race

    You seen to be making out that method makes him some sort of unconfident coward

    Which is frankly an odd opinion

    There is more than one way to skin a cat

    We find what works and use it, we find what doesn’t and throw it away

    The aim being each year to be a better punter than last year

    For instance iv given up betting in group sprint races unless I very strongly fancy one

    The results this season and last have shown they are all poor horses for the grade and the form book isn’t worth a lot it’s just which horse gets the best run through the race

    in reply to: Irish 2000 Guineas 2024 #1695579
    FinalFurlong91
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    I’d imagine they’ll try river tiber in sprints now

    Commonwealth cup very likely

    They have nothing else for it and vandeek blotted his copy book

    in reply to: Commonwealth Cup 2024 #1695567
    FinalFurlong91
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    Jassour 16/1

    Have vandeek backed too

    He will need much better ground than he got today

    Dissapointing performance either way, but he’s very fast and he pulled too hard today.

    in reply to: Random number generator vs Group Sprint races #1695566
    FinalFurlong91
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    Me -2pts
    RNG +16.2pts

    Why do I feel like this is going to be very one sided :wacko:

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 6,486 total)