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That one won, but, since deciding to post these they seem to have dried up.
So. I’m going to put them in a new thread that will have more selections.I have amended the pricing today by omitting the calculation from my ratings and including the Betfair 100% tissue and the advised RP 112% book tissue. This means that the odds are not synchronised with my ratings as an attempt to be realistic in my expectations but not easy. It will be interesting to see how it turns out – well I think so. The question is whether to dutch the two top-rated or possibly bet Zefooha? It is only a class 5 hcap on a Monday anyway. Hoping to gain enlightenment I took 3 other sources and these are their tips:
Columns are one4racing, Formcast, Timeform
3, 4, 4 = top-rated
5, 3, 5
1, 2, 3Musselburgh 3.20 (Race Cloth No, my ratings with alongside the Betfair 100% tissue and then 112% RP forecast book tissue in brackets)
1. 6 20/1 (18/1), off track 118? Hcap mark?
2. 10 11/1 (10/1), D?
3. 15 9/2 (4/1) Park’s Prodigy, reliable and has a chance.
4. 15 7/2 (3/1) Zefooha, mare versus males? Shortlisted.
5. 21 4/1 (7/2) [b:24cpwjsl]Cat O’Nine Tails[/color:24cpwjsl][/b:24cpwjsl][/size:24cpwjsl], weight? Filly versus males? Well beaten last time but easier today.
6. 3 8/1 (7/1), form?
7. 5 16/1 (14/1), off track 113? Mare versus males?
8. 21 7/1 (6/1) Toshi, off track 367? D? Not to be discounted of this mark.That’s the one for me.
Should place for sure!Just for FORMATH
I have approached this race with the method I’m using at present. I would not normally be interested in this race btw..Don 2.40
Opinion Poll *** 87
Askar Tau (discretionary inclusion) ** 60+
Dirar ** 53
Electrolyser ** 53+
Samuel ** 60
Motrice – discarded
Rest of the field discarded.I would say
Opinion Poll
is a good thing to at least place.
Good Luck.Going off topic and waffling a bit now
Regarding VDW consistency from the last 3 outings of the first 5/6 in the betting forecast and looking at the two top-class races at Doncaster today, and the following is the difference that I use in my assessments now.
Doncaster 3.10
VDW indicates – 3 Wooton Bassett, 3 Murbeh, 4 Forjatt.
Formath indicates – 5 Wooton Bassett, 5 Murbeh, 5 Forjatt
Doncaster 3.45
VDW – 6 Eastern Aria, 7 Roses For The Lady, 10 Meznah
Formath – 4 Eastern Aria, 3 Dyna Waltz, 2 RumoushI don’t know if it proves anything but it interested me
The results you got there (well done) backs up what I have always advocated. One must put their own spin on basic VDW methods. I do, but I’ve now gone further than that. I’m concentrating on h/caps of class 4 and above with just 5-6 runners. I’m sure you can see the logic there. It’s proving to be very successful.
Good Luck withyour
take on things.
‘By the way, any feedback/comment regarding my posts would be welcome as I sometimes feel I am operating in limbo
‘That made me smile Proprice
Yeah. that’s what happens on this particular forum-DLAP.
Without a decent blurb no-one will take you seriously. Results don’t matter. What matters is waffle.Regarding your posts and the methods employed. I too have VDW at the core of my selection method(s). I’ve found however, that a rating and a price, even an acceptable price, are often incompatable. I’ve come to the conclusion that the selection is all that matters. By taking bfsp I feel I’m geting a fair deal.
Good Luck!
Today, Midday will beat Sariska, who will beat Snow Fairy, who will beat the rest.
Cheers before and after the race.Stop assumning everyone knows wtf the Haskell is.I know but many don’t…….times dates and venue please!!!!!!!!!!!
The epitome of politeness as usual eh?
OK! So, not many keen on Wagner.
How about a bit of sinister ballet?I quite enjoy a bit of Wagner now and again.
MrE’s input is certainly worth consideration. There are several aspects that one should note carefully. However, MrE did not write the Punters Bible. There is no Bible. You must have faith in your own methods of selection and staking. Trial and error young man. That’s the only solution.
Not so clear cut this one. Although I have
Daryakana
ahead, Celimene and/or Youmzain could make things very difficult.
For this race,
JV
appears to be o’B’s best chance.
Moterosso
should take care of it though.
CD won @ 6.8
Curr 2.20
Place only bet on Chinese White (Akdarina)Ncle 2.30
Jonny Mudball
DamikaNcle 3.05
Chiberta King
Bernie The BoltWind 3.30
Iver Bridge Lad
Cockney Lass
Edge CloserNcle 3.40
Hajoum
Golden ShaheenNmkt 3.55
Tinshu
AlcaldeWind 4.00
Magicalmysterytour
Mildoura
Free Agent
I have approached this race with the method I’m using at present. I would not normally be interested in this race btw..
before and after the race.