The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

1 of 2

Home Forums Archive Topics Systems 1 of 2

Viewing 12 posts - 18 through 29 (of 29 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #300717
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    I notice DM won @ 4.04.
    I’m changing the staking slightly for this.
    10 units per race, 8 win on

    bold

    , 2 win on the other.

    Asc 2.30 Gp1

    Goldikova

    Paco Boy

    Asc 3.05

    Kingsgate Native

    Total Gallery

    Asc 5.00
    Junior

    Tyrrells Wood

    #301004
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Goldikova @ 2.51 and Junior @ 12.1 both won yesterday.

    Asc 3.50 Gp1

    Mawatheeq

    Presvis

    Asc 4.25 Cl 2 H/cap
    Dandy Boy

    Fareer

    #301055
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Hi Emian….. that was a couple of good winners yesterday, well picked….. I note that your betting on a 2pt and 8pt basis, I would have thought that the most profitable bet would be a straight "dutch"…… it’s easy enough to either dutch to a fixed stake (risk) or to dutch to make a fixed profit, I prefer the latter…… if your selection method is as good as it looks, a decent staking plan will surely be the way forward….. I just dont think the 2/8pts will show as much profit as a dutch…… it’s my opinion only, others may have better ideas…..
    :D :D :D

    MrE

    #301442
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Thanks for your opinion MrE. Much appreciated.
    I like having the bigger stake on the bigger price as opposed to a straight dutch. There is more value with bfsp longer prices. I suppose I could compromise and go 6-4 though. :)

    Asc 3.50

    Kite Wood

    Manifest
    I’m very much tempted to have a large place only bet on KW too.

    #301630
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Hi Emian…. I always try not to let greed get in the way of my betting…. if I have more profit from horse A than I will from horse B, then that scenario lets emotion into the equation…. that’s because I will always be wanting the "outsider" to win and I’ll swear like a good ‘un when the selection that I’ve only got £2 on wins instead of the one thats got £8 on…… it is only a personal thing, but I much prefer to win the same amount no matter which horse wins….. but as I said, that’s only a personal thing….
    You are doing great the way your betting at present, but it’s always warming to have other strings to your bow…. at least by listening and noting all the comments made, you will be in a position to pick and choose ideas to suit yourself….. nice one Emian, this appears to be going OK at present, I hope it keeps up…… and if some of this doesn’t make sense, please ignore me…. it’s cos I’m on the "sauce"….. well, it is 11.30pm and I’m entitled to my nightcap….. lol….
    :D :D :D

    MrE

    #301715
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Thanks again for your input MeE. :)
    Here are the top 3-4 per race without a staking recommendation.
    * means it scored well in a particular category. There are five categories.
    The number is a consolidated rating. Maximum is 100.

    Asc 3.50
    Anna Salei **** 75
    Lillie Langtry *** 65+
    Lady Of The Desert *** 65

    Asc 4.25
    Rainbow Peak *** 76
    Indian Days *** 64
    Tartan Gigha *** 60
    Eastern Aria *** 52

    Asc 5.35
    Swift Gift *** 76
    Day Of The Eagle *** 64
    Brae Hill *** 52
    Treadwell ** 68

    Good 8.30
    Ermyn Lodge **** 85
    Victoria Montoya **** 70
    Times Up *** 55

    #301907
    MrE
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2170

    Hello Emian….. I’ve only just had time to look at your post from yesterday and that’s quite impressive mate….. I am not in a position to see the wood for the trees, but just having a quick peak, I did notice that from your top two rated in all 4 races, you had three winners from the 4 races…. and at super prices…. if your results are always this good, then dutching to a sensible staking plan could be the way forward, it does appear so….
    The possibility remains that you can actually have two separate betting banks for each selection (column A and column B) and use a staking plan for each column, that way you are building two separate banks and both could be equally profitable….. all angles are worth considering…..
    :D :D :D

    MrE

    #301960
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Thanks again MrE. Yep, I’ve been ‘skew’ dutching for quite some time. I always aim to win a bit more with the higher priced selection. I use a percentage of my bank per race and ratchet regularly.
    Selections today are in

    bold

    , with a

    reserve

    .

    Asc 3.50

    Showcasing
    Kinsale King

    Fleeting Spirit

    Asc 4.25

    Genki
    Kaldoun Kingdom

    Ingleby Lady

    Asc 5.00

    Imposing
    Final Victory

    Sweet Lightning

    #302704
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Pretty poor on Saturday with just a couple placed.
    Two Class 2 h/caps today to keep things ticking over.

    Salis 3.15
    Avon River
    Gaily Noble
    (Huzzah)

    Worc 4.00
    The Jigsaw Man
    The Real Deal

    #302917
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    Just a couple of places. Must keep plugging away though.

    N/cle 3.20
    Tartan Gunna
    Kay Gee Be

    #302999
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    TG won @ 3.89. Got hammered into. KGB was 3rd.
    Leaving early for the coast tomorrow, so…

    Ncle 7.25
    Fol Hollow
    Captain Dunne

    #303221
    emian
    Member
    • Total Posts 114

    CD won @ 6.8

    Curr 2.20
    Place only bet on Chinese White (Akdarina)

    Ncle 2.30
    Jonny Mudball
    Damika

    Ncle 3.05
    Chiberta King
    Bernie The Bolt

    Wind 3.30
    Iver Bridge Lad
    Cockney Lass
    Edge Closer

    Ncle 3.40
    Hajoum
    Golden Shaheen

    Nmkt 3.55
    Tinshu
    Alcalde

    Wind 4.00
    Magicalmysterytour
    Mildoura
    Free Agent

Viewing 12 posts - 18 through 29 (of 29 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.