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Imo, there’s not a single shred of evidence as to why WOW is favourite – it makes no logical sense at all. Maybe she had a problem before or at Epsom, and the quite unreal weight of cash that has forced her price into the ridiculous indicates something is up. But that’s straying into fantasy land a bit and we know the best horse here is DR, who slapped the comedy-favourite silly; SHE should be fav here and instead is 4 times the price. Don’t think any of us would mind if these scenarios kept repeating themselves, whatever happens today
Will give up if Seville wins the Leger
Youmzain mk 2 he’d be second to anything; he was my early season Leger horse but wouldn’t touch him now with other people’s money
you do say "I’m absolutely sick and tired.." an awful lot tho
is this the game for you, really?
Hi Zark
just re-wrote my thoughts on Purple:
Leaning back towards Green Destiny here
The Biscuit’s claim means he’s only 8lbs higher than his romp fto at HQ. Didn’t like him at Ascot because the general theme was that race he won was "hot"..but to me it was anything but, but he travelled very well and won doing handstands…At Ascot things went West straight away and in the end was inclined to give him kudos for finishing as close as he did in 7th
Pekan’s had an interrupted prep afaik, general consensus says he’s been "laid out" for this as he won fto at the track, but he missed Ascot’s handicap because of a problem so don’t agree there, and wasn’t as impressed as some with his win, looking more of a resolute galloper/stayer than anything, still holds an Ebor entry. Similar applies to Modun who did make Ascot and bombed out, looks 12f material…Sarrsar so so will be prominent but is vulnerable…Beachfire hellish task to win this from a mile back on this track…
Greeny D @ 8/1 e/w gl
backed Modun fto and unfortunately did so again at Ascot
i’m in the northwest and it’s lashing down, york may get some but that shouldn’t worry GD…modun up a stone still bothers me as does the trip, gl if you play
OJM not in as feared
Pekan could be gambled but he had a hold up hence missing ascot and only 1 run this season means he’s lacking experience…zarkava would point out the race he won has been a miserable trial for this race
but for me the main negative is his price is based more on stable and hope than anything else…could hose up but Varian backers got burned with Mijhaar and this looks similarGreen Destiny? Modun looks more a 12f type – 3 "group horses" in this handicap, maybe none are, quite like Sarrsar e/w, tricky race good luck those who play
repeating it doesn’t make it true, Zark…the key is to be flexible in analysis…he has an outstanding chance wherever he’s drawn, i fear and may back bated breath, the next best horse in there, but as it’s a sprint nothing would be a surprise, they all have a chance of sorts
thought Stoute did a superb job with her, not that i took notice of some unusual clues from him in the interview pre-race!
cracking performance, trainer and horse
Draw (stats based on new stall ordering)
Horses drawn in bottom 5 stalls: 6-9-50
Horses drawn in the middle: 3-6-60
Horses drawn in top 5 stalls: 1-5-50
There has been a definite bias to be drawn low with 6 of the last 7 winners coming from stall 7 or lower.
check again Zark, imo
Delegator is far and away the best horse in this race, but circumstances are, admittedly, doing all they can to thwart him. Dele’s rivals need it quick and quicker also, so they’ve no advantage from the ground, which, it seems, should now start to dry up
^^ can we have this prick deleted please?
Trap 17 for Dele, good grief, never easy is it
Think Snow Fairy has a cracking chance, any improvement from her excellent Hong Kong win and she should be right in the mix
Course. Here’s mine.
He:
a) doesn’t get 12f
b) isn’t a Group 1 3yo
c) wasn’t a Group 1 2yo
d) has been beaten by the same horse twice and had his dante run reversed easily
e) has been woefully priced all season based on his owner
f) hasn’t a prayer of getting 14f in a van let alone in a Grp1
g) all of the above
