Supreme novices hurdle 2017

[Jaymo74]

Didn’t the owners say he’d go straight there ( ATR ) If not, i need to buy a new t.v

[Zarkava]

I have no idea, I quoted Ruby. 5/1f in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle for a once-raced maiden hurdle winner. LOL. Your head needs testing if you’re backing that, seriously.

[Jaymo74]

Zarkava wrote:

I have no idea, I quoted Ruby. 5/1f in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle for a once-raced maiden hurdle winner. LOL. Your head needs testing if you’re backing that, seriously.

I’ll see you at the fez. You’ll recognize me as i’ll have a bundle of 50’s at 1.35pm on tuesday

[charlie87]

Jaymo74 wrote:

Zarkava wrote:

I have no idea, I quoted Ruby. 5/1f in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle for a once-raced maiden hurdle winner. LOL. Your head needs testing if you’re backing that, seriously.

I’ll see you at the fez. You’ll recognize me as i’ll have a bundle of 50’s at 1.35pm on tuesday

Are you a bookmaker

[Jaymo74]

charlie87 wrote:

Jaymo74 wrote:

Zarkava wrote:

I have no idea, I quoted Ruby. 5/1f in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle for a once-raced maiden hurdle winner. LOL. Your head needs testing if you’re backing that, seriously.

I’ll see you at the fez. You’ll recognize me as i’ll have a bundle of 50’s at 1.35pm on tuesday

Are you a bookmaker

Lol, very good mate

[Jasolong]

When you put it like that yes it does sound pathetic. One races maiden winner.
I just haven’t seen anything be impressive at all though except Charli parcs who will be my nap wherever he goes.
Melon won his maiden convincly and has a lofty reputation at home.
Many of supreme horses didn’t win first time out that cosily.
But agree 5/1 is very short but the 10/1 before the race was the key.
If Charli parcs races he wins though so just bare that in mind

[Jaymo74]

Jasolong wrote:

When you put it like that yes it does sound pathetic. One races maiden winner.
I just haven’t seen anything be impressive at all though except Charli parcs who will be my nap wherever he goes.
Melon won his maiden convincly and has a lofty reputation at home.
Many of supreme horses didn’t win first time out that cosily.
But agree 5/1 is very short but the 10/1 before the race was the key.
If Charli parcs races he wins though so just bare that in mind

Have you backed Charli for any race yet or keeping your powder dry till declaration time??

[Jasolong]

Yeah I’ve got him to win any race.
I think he will have 2 more runs before Cheltenham which will lower his odds drastically so have to bet him now. He runs at Musselburgh Saturday and will probably be 1/10 and win in a canter but the bookies will probably half his odds just because they can

[Jaymo74]

Jasolong wrote:

Yeah I’ve got him to win any race.
I think he will have 2 more runs before Cheltenham which will lower his odds drastically so have to bet him now. He runs at Musselburgh Saturday and will probably be 1/10 and win in a canter but the bookies will probably half his odds just because they can

The way bookies slash the odds for horses winning uncompetitive races is a rip off to the punter. Are you worried about the fact that Charlis been kept to flat tracks??? IMO opinion,if JP had more amo,i think Charli would miss the fez and turn up at aintree instead

[Zarkava]

Jasolong wrote:

But agree 5/1 is very short but the 10/1 before the race was the key.

See, this is the thing. It’s not 10/1. Obviously it depends on the prices, but if you’re backing every Mullins talking horse to win the Supreme, you’re going to end up with bad odds. If you backed Crack Mome at 10/1 the other day before he got beaten, and then 10/1 today on Melon, in the hope he’ll be Mullins’ Supreme horse, you’re getting 5/1. So if someone’s done level stakes on Crack Mome and Melon at 10/1, they are in a worse situation than they would have be had they just waited for something more solid. Then throw in Cilaos Whatever and Senewalk, plus whatever other one they fancied and you’re looking at unfathomably stupid odds, maybe even 2/1.

My concern with Charli Parcs is that if he runs at Musselburgh and Kempton, as seems to be the plan, his 3 runs in the UK will have all been on right-handed, flat tracks. You’d also be a fool not to be a little concerned about being a 4yo up against slightly older horses. What price have you got to win any race?

[Jasolong]

To be fair I never bet Mullins hotpots and I haven’t this year. The only exception was today and the only reason I done it was because there was literally no horses out there that have impressed me enough to want to back them for this race other than CP. so I thought surely melon will finally break the mould and put up a decent performance and he did so I was just extremely lucky.
I much prefer Henderson hotpots for this as they are much better value although didn’t pay off this year as I bet Jenkins at 20/1 who may not run although it worked last year with Altior I got 20/1

[Jaymo74]

Jaymo74 wrote:

On ages ago at 20s and also had 10’s NRNB and 9’s NRNB – Melon

Jaymo74 wrote:

50s 25’s 10’s NRNB 16s NRNB – Crack Mome

I’ll redirect you to my prices on Melon and Crack Mome. Cant see how that gets me 2/1, but you know more than me mate

[Zarkava]

I’m not talking about you, Jaymo. Chill.

[Jaymo74]

Zarkava wrote:

I’m not talking about you, Jaymo. Chill.

Are you sure???

[Zarkava]

I literally asked you before he ran what price you got on Melon and you told me 20/1

[Jaymo74]

Ok mate, only 6 weeks to go then the horses can do the talking. Cheers

[thejudge1]

Melon looks like the real deal.

[Author]

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