January 15, 2020 at 18:01 #1479846
Thursday 16th January 2020
Just the 6 races at Meydan this Thursday starting off with an old favourite….
2.30 ….Riviera 2 Handicap (Turf) – 6 furlongs
ALMANAARA – 4/1– £10 WIN
Back in stall 1 again after his scintillating win 2 weeks ago and again running on the turf. Also back to running over 6 furlongs which should all suit.
Jim Crowley takes the ride this time and I’m certain we are going to see a repeat performance with Almanaara (1) holding off challenges from Dream Today (9) and Moqarrab (12).
Summerghand (7) will have course experience on his side this time but he was unable to get close to Ekhtiyaar last time 2 and a half lengths behind Dream Today and carrying 5lb more weight.
I would like to think that Doug Watson has a good tow into this race comparing Ekhtiyaar’s performance with Almaanara and is confident, as I am, his horse has the beating of this field.
Almaanara – £10 Win – 4/1
3.05 …. Al Furjan Handicap (Dirt) – 6 furlongs
Initially I wanted to go all out for Simon Crisford’s Intuitive (10)-EW this a a recent addition to his yard from James Tate off the back of a Class 3 win over 7f at Kempton last October but he seems to find trouble in running in most of his races and here we need something that will be quickly away kicking up the dirt so going for Doug Watson to put in an early double with….
This horse, drawn 9, has been highly tried (although only successful once) at Group Level but he loves running on the fast dirt track and I believe he is the class act in this race.
The Godolphin trained Tribal Quest has not run for almost 18 months and would like to see how he fares in this after his long lay off.
MY CATCH – 4/1 – £5 win
Intuitive – £2.50 each way – 11/1
3.40 – Zabeel Turf – Listed Handicap – 1m2f
DREAM CASTLE (2) – £10 WIN – 4/1
Was withdrawn from taking on Benbatl last Thursday and goes for this slightly easier option against 5 other Godolphin horses.
Always goes well fresh and won 3 on the trot here last year before losing his way. He is the class act here and a return to form very much expected.
Of the other Godolphin horses:-
Loxley(10) – has never won at Meydan and hasn’t won a race since August 2018.
First Nation(4) – Won a similar event last year from Nordic Lights.
Art Du Val(9) – I do like this horse ridden by Barzelona and he won here last year ridden by William Buick who has chosen to ride Loxley.
Desert Fire (7) – Won here over 1 mile and mile and a half last year.
Dubai Horizon (3) NB – Ran 8th in a Listed Handicap over a mile and half two weeks in race won by Universal Order running on well in the last two furlongs but this has always been his best distance and he is currently priced at 28/1.
So a bit of a puzzler amongst the other ‘boys in blue’ runners but going to go….
DREAM CASTLE – £10 WIN @ 4/1
Dubai Horizon £2.50 Each Way @ 28/1
4.15 …. Cape Verdi (Group 2) Fillies and Mares – Turf – 1 Mile
MAGIC LILY(3) – £10 Win – 9/2
This lightly tried but talented filly has run well in Group 1 company in 2017 as a 2yo three quarters of a length 3rd to Larens and September at Newmarket in the Fillies Mile. She has only run 4 times in her career but showed signs of improvement when running at St. Cloud last year in a Listed Fillies race over 1m2f but feel that this distance will suit her better.
Beyond Reason (7) has never won over a mile and hasn’t won a race since Aug.18
Dubai Blue(8) has only had 4 races in her career with 2 x wins at Lingfield at Class 4 and Class 3 level.
She will need to improve to win this.
Taking a chance Each Way with Maamora (5) 14/1 who went into my notebook at Newmarket last year with a good 2nd to Lavender’s Blue at the Craven Meeting, she led until the final furlong when Lavender’s Blue asserted and won going away. Her best win was a Cl.2 at Chelmsford last Autumn and think she holds good each way credentials here.
MAGIC LILY – £10 WIN @ 9/2
Maamora – £2.50 EW @ 14/1
4.50 .. Taking a breather here and sitting this one out as I fancied Dubai Icon to win and he is a non runner.
5.25 …. Aliyah Handicap (Turf) 1 mile
MAJOR PARTNERSHIP (13)
Won’t have the rail to help him this time and has to overcome a wide draw this time to win this. Up to 1 mile he now has 9.0 to carry against his rival Suedois who remains at 9st6lb for his one and half length beating. It’s going to be a close call.
Ultra consistent and rarely out of the first 3, this time he has a real chance to win with the weights in his favour. However I believe Major Partnership won his race easily with Suedois not quite getting home.
Royal Marine hasn’t won a race since Oct.18 but it was a Group 1.
He went off 5/6f last year for the UAE 2000 Guineas Trial Dirt but missed the break and came home a distant 4th to Walking Thunder. I just can’t trust him until he shows more.
MAJOR PARTNERSHIP – £5 EW @ 5/1
Hoping to get out of the red this week and into profit.
Look forward to hearing from Hein, BigG, FF and anyone who has any views on what might be winning at Meydan tomorrow afternoon.
Good luck with your bets.. Jac
Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 15, 2020 at 18:38 #1479848hein bollowBlocked
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Hi folks , I don’t like to sound like a repeating record , but this card appears absolutely lethal to me. The only bet I would think about would be Summerghand on place, but his last week’s run wasn’t too convincing..
So best of luck to Jac and the rest of the gangJanuary 15, 2020 at 21:32 #1479861
I agree it’s a difficult card but I’ve enjoyed trying to work it out and with a bit of luck find a few winners.
Summerghand has a bit to find with Dream Today from Ekhtiyaar’s race last week and has 5lb extra to carry. It will be interesting.
I think Suedois in the last would be a great place play, he always runs a great race…best of luck Hein. JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 12:18 #1479903BigGParticipant
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Hi all, I did my studying last night and got my bets on. I was ready to do my full write up,
but Mrs G has just lost a cap We are heading to the dentist, which is still our old
dentist before we moved so it’s a round trip of 3 hours so I’m not going to see the racing.
I mean, how many teeth does a person need
Anyway here’s my bets
2.30 Summerghand 11/1 Betfred
3,05 Beachcomber Bay 12/1 Paddy Power
3.40 Art Duval 10/1 Bet365
4.15 Magic Lily 4/1 Betvictor
4.50 George Villiers 14/1 betvictor
5.25 Above N Beyond 20/1 Bet365
Good luck allJanuary 16, 2020 at 13:40 #1479910
Best of luck with your selections Graham some brave choices there and it’s a tricky day.
Hope your wife gets her cap sorted and it doesn’t end up costing an arm and a leg. You’re going to need a few of those to come home knowing what dentists and hygienists charge these days.
Hope you get to see one or two of the races and look forward to catching up with you later…best of luck..JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 15:51 #1479922
Oh dear..week 3 and they’re all hitting the bar
Still have last 2 races to go.
Well done with your place on Summerghand HeinThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 16:26 #1479924
Phew…that was a close call but Magic Lily just got there in the last gasp.
Well done also to Graham at 4/1 and 9/2 we did well with taking the prices earlyThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 16:27 #1479925Blackcountry KidParticipant
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Being a relative newcomer to the site I’ve still to discover some of the gems hidden away.
Found this thread while watching Meydan.
Just watched Soumillon wreak any chance his mount had before going from first to last in about a furlong!
If you don’t mind I can add an occasional tip for your consideration …having put forward Moment of Silence e/w in Trends,Research & Notebooks section.(Tails from the blackcountry)January 16, 2020 at 17:00 #1479928FinalFurlong91Participant
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Think my two are still running
Hope everybody else has done betterJanuary 16, 2020 at 17:34 #1479932FinalFurlong91Participant
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Aftertiming I know but had a few quid e/w on suedois as he is rock solid and thought the fav was too short
I really thought hed got chinned then so was very happy when the result came through on skybet
Makes it a small winning day for me and gives me some bonus ammo for saturdayJanuary 16, 2020 at 17:43 #1479933
No need to ask BCK you’re tips are most welcome here and look forward to hearing some of your thoughts for next Thursday’s Meydan meeting.
Well done with Moment Of Silence placed in the first, it was a tricky day today and some exciting finishes especially Magic Lily and Suedois in the last.
See you next Thursday and good luck with your Thread on the TR&N’s section. JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 17:51 #1479934
Well done FF I also gave Suedois a good write up today and telling no lies I put him in as my winning horse last night and then swapped him out for Major Partnership …I was that close to making a profit today
Only £5 down on the day, could have been so much worse.
Come back and do it all again next week but even better than the last 3 ..
Ever the optimist..
JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 17:56 #1479935
With Magic Lily winning today – 9/2 taken – £55.00 returned on a £60 stake.
Graham hope you backed EW on some of your horses today and that the trip to the dentist didn’t cost you too much out of your winning stash. JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...January 16, 2020 at 19:15 #1479942BigGParticipant
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Got back a short time ago, only the 1 winner with Magic Lily who got there by the skin of her
teeth. Well done Jac getting the 9/2, the money really came for her. I should have taken George
Villiers, 14/1, and Summerghand, 11/1, e/w if I had enough sense….not my strong suit
but I did have Above N Beyond e/w at 20/1 so I was in profit by the end of the day. Fortunately
Mrs G hadn’t swallowed the tooth Jac, so the dentist was able to just cement it back in. I did
suggest before we left that I could do it for her and watch the racing, but she was having none
of it. The ingratitude of some people
Well done with Suedios FF, the last race is always the best race of the day to win
Nice to see you in here Blackcountry, good luck if you’re throwing your hat into he ring
next weekJanuary 16, 2020 at 22:34 #1479965
Well done with your 20/1 Above And Beyond EW Graham and for keeping in profit.
Wish I’d listened to my inner self and gone Suedois for the last, I knew he would run a good race…he always does.
Anyway have to try harder next week as
-£13.85 down against a total stake of £171.00 for 3 Meydan Thursdays and a few away bets at Chelmsford AW.
Glad all worked out with Mrs BigG’s tooth Graham and hopefully you are enjoying catching up with those races now..JacThings turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
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