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Just checked out what her name means. So perhaps she’s not difficult but often can’t decide whether she want so to go in the stalls or not; girl after my own heart, really.
29 degrees in Melbourne with just the chance of a shower, but Melb can have 4 seasons in one day. Over here if a horse has the same name they put My or Our in front sometimes the original hasn’t raced for yonks so a bit annoying. Just worried that Ambivalent wasn’t right for the Caufield Cup and had to be scratched.I left Fawkner out but he is a class horse who could go close.I don’t like the internationals not having had a prep run here.I may be wrong but Mutual Regard to me looked like a dour win, didn’t have that bit of zip, but as i said he could prove me wrong.
Anything on the under card worth backing Jolly?
Nathan in race 5 i like the top weight Law, only about 5 to 7-1 but think he will go close.In race 8 horse 8 Vilanova ew at around 10 to 12-1. A hard day big fields.Just checked it out big money for Law a bit skinny at 5-2, 3-1, but think with no bad luck he looks to have better form than the others.
well done to the two old boys – Red Cadeaux and Gerald (who took out the HK jockey challenge on Sunday).
always placing here – very much their time of year.
The rise and rise of the German bred horse. Not sure why the Murtagh horses weren’t dropped out more but I guess it proves how important it is to have a prep run, if only to get the fizz out of them; yet again the winner is in a 5-14 stall. Sounds like quite a ride by Ryan Moore. At least I’ll get my money back on Cavalryman
race video here:
Well Protectionist looks like the winner to me drawn nicely 11 of 24 and i am tipping that the ‘butcher of Flemington’ Ryan Moore will get it right this time and win the cup.Moore has had 2 rides in the cup and he certainly wouldn’t want to view the races again…Like Frankie, rode well over there but got lost here. Roger Varian must have plenty of Group 1 wins as he threw away one today putting Andrea Atzeni on Faaraaj ,was a certainty beaten, a massive run in the million $ Mckinnon stks.The horse drew badly in 15 but Atzeni had a brain eexplosion sitting 3 deep outside the leaders on the pace the whole trip of 2000 mtrs. IF you are caught 3 deep you try and cuddle them off the pace a first year apprentice would do what Atzeni did today.He was the talk of the town and not in a good way….I think old Red Cadeaux could be the blow out horse at 20-1 he is an old marvel and loves Flemington.Hardest to beat Admire Rakti as the Japanese have much superior stayers to the rest of the world but 58.5 kg hasn’t been carried to win a Cup for 39 years.The Sydney mare Lucia Valentina ran a bottler in the Caufield Cup and a big danger.Finally i hope Ryan Moore can show his class and win it, he is a world class rider but has 2 shockers out of 2 in the cup, a 10 to 12 draw is about perfect in the Cup and Protectionist has drawn 11, so Moore gets his chance to win it.
Well tipped up there with the 1-2, terrific stuff.
I wouldn’t have backed Red Cadeaux if he had been 50/1, based on modest form from himself this year and his trainer’s very quiet season overall, yet he has run a cracker again without landing the big one. A credit to his trainer.
The winner has hosed in there and struck a big blow for German horses. Ryan Moore looks like he’s learned from his previous outings and it obviously helps that he was on a horse with plenty to give.
My abysmal record in the race continues and Vintage Crop seems a distant glory for me. I felt Fawkner ended up very short odds for a horse with a stamina question and the same concern was even more of a worry with My Ambivalent, even if there was a chance on breeding, because it was a fair old step up the distance ladder for her today.
Shame about the favourite and it put a dampener on proceedings but well done to anyone who picked out the good winner, who was priced up at 25/1 on the out of date odds list I saw on ATR’s website yesterday!!
Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.
You Thanks Steve things went my way, sorry Nathan for the shitty tips.Very sad to hear Admire Rakti died, a real downer, good day i got our trifecta for 145% and first 4 for 48% so a $100 outlay returned $10 646, very happy and wife won best dressed woman and i won best dressed man…..But i was hot……Anyway Ryan Moore you legend i coaxed it out of you, the best ride in the race, now Australia knows he is world class and yes in the bestriders in the world.Poor Admire Rakti, a real sad part to the day i was on him in the Caulfield Cup
Great stuff Jolly! Might pay for another trip to Ascot next year?????
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Excellent piece Jolly,not only tipping the first 2 home but the general write up with it.Well done to our Aussie contributor.
sorry Nathan for the shitty tips
I had gone to bed by the time you had put them up Jolly. Managed to get Precious Gem at 6/1 along with 2 losers so not too bad.
Well done on the big one.
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